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TurcoPundit
11 May 2009
  May 11, 2009

051109f - FOREIGN PRESS REVIEW (FPR) - ‘Relevant news, views, comments and analyses for informed debate’ Compiled by Şanlı Bahadır Koç from ASAM (Eurasian Center for Strategic Studies) -- U.S. / Britain / Turkey / Magazines / Think-tanks / Blogs / Misc /Books / Quickread / Numbers / Reports - Subscribe to FPR FPR Table - H4 NYT WP GU H7 ME Isr H10 CSM IHT Eur FSU Asia H13 Times WSJ FT LAT H16 USP DT Ind H19 Mil Int Ter Wonk H21 Misc

H1 Central Intelligence Agency Center for the Study of Intelligence · A Tradecraft Primer: Structured Analytic Techniques for Improving Intelligence Analysis This primer highlights how structured analytic techniques can help one challenge judgments, identify mental mindsets, stimulate creativity, and manage uncertainty. In short, incorporating regular use of techniques such as these can enable one to structure thinking for wrestling with difficult questions.

Full Video: Obama's White House Correspondents Dinner Speech

Ha’aretz U.S. puts October deadline on Iran talks J'lem receives confidential report stating special envoy Ross setting deadline for U.S. policy change

Alongside talks, Obama renews sanctions against Syria

ANALYSIS / Netanyahu is beginning to look worried

The Times King’s ultimatum: peace now or war next year Jordan’s King Abdullah emerges as key player in President Obama’s hugely ambitious peace plan for the Middle East TRANSCRIPT: 'A 57-state solution... or war'

Jordan is leading a peace initiative that could finally break the deadlock in the Middle East, King Abdullah tells The Times

Washington Post The Fault Line Between Pashtuns and Punjabis in Pakistan By Selig S. Harrison, Key to keeping Pakistan stable is understanding its ethnic conflicts.

OPINION Saudi Gazette

Obama worsening Afghan-Pak state By Graham E. Fuller

Los Angeles Times Confusion over Taliban muddies the issues in Pakistan Are fighters religious zealots, thugs or revolutionaries? The perceptions of the public, leaders and U.S. are at odds, but the overriding sentiment in Pakistan is that 'America created this problem.'

Memos shed light on CIA's use of sleep deprivation Many see it as more effective and less objectionable than other methods, but memos show it's no picnic.

Newsweek Change We Can't Believe In

by Fareed Zakaria Pakistan's military has lost every conventional war. It's far better at guerrilla wars.

A Foreign Affairs roundtable discussion on the causes of instability in Pakistan and what, if anything, can be done about them; and who gets a state, and why? Stephen Krasner investigates.

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee
· Engaging Iran: Obstacles and Opportunities [May 6, 2009]

MESH Iran and the bomb: Israel’s analogies

· Why Washington is Waiting for Mussavi BY: Amir Taheri | Asharq Alawsat Waiting for Mussavi! This is the name of a new diplomatic game much in fashion in Washington these days. Home to a veritable industry of political speculation, the American capital has been working overtime to make President Barack Obama's confused foreign policy statements look coherent if not actually meaningful.

NYT General Sees a Longer Stay in Iraq Cities for U.S. Troops

· STEPHEN WALT Why Obama is the new Nixon

Financial Times Taboo broken in US Middle East offensive A period of high-level diplomacy on the Middle East opens in New York on Monday, promising further insights into an emerging strategy from Barack Obama’s administration that is already raising concerns among Israel’s supporters

An assured Assad Syria: As Barack Obama’s new Middle East policy offers the country a way out of isolation, Damascus is in danger of a miscalculation that could cost it political influence

Talk to Russia, remember Georgia The real test of the Obama approach to Russia will come in how the US responds to Moscow’s claims for primacy in its ‘near abroad’, the former Soviet Union

How panic gripped the world’s biggest banks In the second extract from her new book, Gillian Tett reveals how the accumulation of mortgage-backed securities proved to be super-toxic and spoiled the banking binge

Like a fish, Europe is rotting from the head Wolfgang Münchau on a weak response to the crisis

US joblessness hits 25-year high

US unemployment climbed to 8.9 per cent in April, its highest level in a quarter of a century, as the economy shed more than half a million jobs, official figures showed

The allies fight the ‘wrong’ war in Afghanistan Max Hastings on the need to refocus the campaign

Desperate ‘baby boomers’ return to work The impending retirement of America’s 78m-strong “baby boomer” generation has caused consternation among policymakers for years. Now the “silver tsunami” may be on hold

Petraeus: Al Qaeda No Longer Operating in Afghanistan — Gen. David Petraeus says affiliated organizations still have “enclaves and sanctuaries” in the country.

CFR Gwertzman Interview with Bruce Riedel on Pakistan's internal political dynamics

Afghan drug trade thrives with help, and neglect, of officials McClatchy Newspapers When it's harvest time in the poppy fields of Kandahar, dust-covered Taliban fighters pull up on their motorbikes to collect a 10 percent tax on the crop. Afghan police arrive in Ford Ranger pickups — bought with U.S. aid money — and demand their cut of the cash in exchange for promises to skip the farms during annual eradication.

Toll Rises as Iraq Slows Surge - Charles Levinson, Wall Street Journal. Violence is on the rise in Iraq as American troops withdraw. A ground-level look at the handover provides one explanation: The Iraqi government is neglecting many of the successful counterinsurgency initiatives it is inheriting from the US military.

New York Times The Trouble With Zero

By PHILIP TAUBMAN No nukes at all. A goal deemed quixotic in the era of Stalin gets new life in the age of the Taliban.

Task Force Report: U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy, a report of an Independent Task Force co-chaired by William J. Perry and Brent Scowcroft, and directed by Charles Ferguson

Arrest of Ex-Militant Who Switched Sides Shows Iraqi Reconciliation Pitfalls

Shaky Pakistan Is Seen as a Target of Plots by Al Qaeda Foreign operatives of Al Qaeda are moving to sow chaos in Pakistan and strengthen the hand of the militant Islamist groups there, U.S. and Pakistani intelligence officials say.

Many Try to Run for President in Iran, but Few Will Be Allowed

Baker Institute Executive Summary - Russia and the Caspian States in the Global Energy Balance

May 8 SD# 2348 - Pakistani Author Ahmed Rashid: 'The Pakistani Taliban Movement is Turning Into a Multiethnic Movement [Not Limited to Pashtuns]; I No Longer Say That There's a Creeping Talibanization In Pakistan – It's a Galloping Talibanization'

Washington Post Carlos Lozada -- Review of Leslie H. Gelb's "Power Rules: How Common Sense Can Rescue American Foreign Policy" A Big Washington Book by a man who embodies big Washington.

Iraqi Forces' Conduct on Humanitarian Mission Raises Questions About Future

Local Forces' Conduct During Mission to Help Disabled Children Raises Questions About Future After U.S. Withdrawal

A Reality Check for Obama on Afghanistan and Pakistan

By Jackson Diehl, Obama couldn't scare Karzai and Zardari.

Reporters have a Jones for NSC profiles (Politico)

Ha'aertz: Netanyahu sets up Iran task force:

Ha’aretz 'Obama's peace plan: Muslim world must recognize Israel'Jordan king describes new U.S. plan to Times of London, calls Netanyahu-Obama meet a critical juncture.

Akiva Eldar / Obama is changing the rules of Mideast pressure Like a spoiled child, Israel is in no rush to willingly surrender real estate it has held for decades

Amira Hass / Israel knows that peace just doesn't pay Successive cabinets understood that peace with Palestinians could seriously damage national interests

Army War College · Parameters, Spring 2009, v. 39, no. 1
*“Winning in Afghanistan” by Ali A. Jalali

“Deterrence in the Israeli-Iranian Strategic Standoff” by W. Andrew Terrill

Shimon Peres on Iran: Overreaction Is Better than Underreaction - Interview with Jeffrey Goldberg

Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS)
· The Dynamics of the "AfPak" Conflict: Metrics and Status Report [Updated May 09 2009]

Global Monitoring Report 2009: A Development Emergency
Source: World Bank

Jerusalem Post Iran to procure Chinese defense system

After failing to buy the S-300 from Russia, Teheran will reportedly turn to Beijing. (The Media Line)

· The rupture [ DAVID HOROVITZ

· Obama's green light to attack Iran CAROLINE GLICK

Yedioth Ahronoth '2-states will help on Iran' US ratchets up pressure on new Israeli government ahead of PM Netanyahu's visit as National Security Advisor says Israel should work towards advancing talks with Palestinians if it is worried about nuclear threat from Tehran

9 tips for the road Eitan Haber offers Prime Minister Netanyahu some words of advice before trip to America

CFR Meeting Transcript, Audio, Video: U.S. policy toward Russia, with Graham Allison, Maurice Greenberg, Gary Hart, Dimitri Simes, and Peter Osnos

Testimony by Stephen Sestanovich on prospects for engagement with Russia before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee

Poll: Obama, headed to Middle East, is winning Arab hearts As President Barack Obama prepares to journey to Egypt to address the Muslim world, his overtures to the Middle East are paying off in positive feelings from Arab peoples that far outpace the region's critical view of the United States, according to a new McClatchy/Ipsos Poll

Christian Science Monitor

Stability lets Basra, a city of poets, return to its roots

In the southern Iraqi city, poetry and music have returned since Iraqi forces wrested control from Shiite extremists last year.

Islam and democracy can – and do – coexist Just look at successes in Indonesia and Turkey.

Pakistani Taliban under pressure from tribal rival

A escalating feud could distract Baitullah Mehsud and his 10,000-plus men from fighting Western forces in Afghanistan

Asia Times Balochistan is the ultimate prize Strategically, the Pakistani province of Balochistan is mouth-watering: east of Iran, south of Afghanistan, and boasting three Arabian sea ports, including Gwadar - a harbor built by China - which is the absolute key. The only acceptable scenario for the Pentagon is to take over Gwadar, gaining a prime confluence of Pipelineistan and the US empire of bases. The die has been cast. - Pepe Escobar

Guardian · Putin ponders presidential comeback

Russia's PM gives strong hint in interview with Japanese press about return to Kremlin in 2012

· Eastern partners

Editorial: The ex-balkan region does not need hothead nationalists who start wars they cannot win with Russia. It needs pragmatists who recognise the constraints of their geography and economy

· The end of the age of free

Many of the media's big players - including Rupert Murdoch - are thinking of charging for content

Editorial: Is the era of free news over?

Peace in our time? Ben White: There is growing speculation about a revamped peace plan for the Middle East. But what will it contain – or achieve?

Torture makes a mockery of the brave Ian Buruma: Those who try to pass off torture as an act of war undermine the armed forces' discipline and morale

Nato exercises threaten Russian thaw Irina Filatova: It seems Russia is trying to play 'good guys' Europe against 'bad guys' Nato, an odd policy when you look at Nato's composition

The Power of the First Impression - Elliott Abrams, Wall Street Journal.

· How Obama's America Might Threaten Israel

By Norman Podhoretz
From Commentary:
Determined fecklessness on Iran could lead to nuclear war.

Is Obama calling out Israel's nuclear program? BY LAURA ROZEN

H2 The Question of Kurdistan: Where Will It Lead? Voice of America mp3

Guardian New deal on Turkey-EU gas pipeline Ankara reaches agreement with EU on new pipeline project unlocking potential Caspian energy bonanza

German, French Leaders Oppose Turkey Joining EU

Wall Street Journal

FT Berlin and Paris unite over Turkey

ANALYSIS-Coup probe tests reform in Turkey


NATO and Freedom in Turkey - Ali Aslan, Today's Zaman

Davutoglu Promoting "Strategic Depth" in Turkish Foreign Policy
Jamestown Foundation

Turkey will not accept IMF demands to curb spending-PM

Turkey's Davutoglu leaves for US

Turkish military defends guard system

TURKEY: CAN TURKEY'S MAIN SECULARIST PARTY MAKE A COMEBACK?
EurasiaNet

Turkey has not scored big at the UNSC yet, no major accident either

İç Basında Türk Dış Politikası Dış Basında Türkiye BBC Türkçe 0700 1800 – VOA Türkçe 0630 1345 2130 DW - (UTC) 0830 1130 1530 Turkish Press Review Google News Turkey TurcoPundit ASAM

Google News Fırat News Agency KurdishMedia Kurdish Kurdish Aspect Dış Basında Irak BBC Monitoring Inter-national

Iraqi Government OKs Kurds Crude Oil Export

Iraq's Kurds to begin oil exports in June

No plans to abolish Turkey's rural militia-minister

The Question of Kurdistan: Where Will It Lead? Voice of America

Kürdistan Petrolü Ceyhan’a akacak

BBC reports about Kurdish state channel

Iraq demands Turkey, Iran to preserve Iraq's water shares

Kerkuk is common denominator between Sadr, Turkish leaders ...

Turkish military defends guard system

Gül: Kurdish problem is the most important problem of Turkey

Aboard A C-17 To Turkey

CBS News Flying to an American airbase in Incirlik, Turkey from Kabul in a C-17 cargo plane, a massive, lumbering aircraft which is like traveling in a Beacon's .

ABD'den Türkmenlere yakınlık

Turkish PM Due in Tehran Soon

Iraq Kurds say to start Tawke crude exports June 1

Elections a stimulus for the reshaping of the PUK

Turkish-Syrian ties no strategic shift Middle East Times

Cevdet Aşkın

Google News Greece Cyprus Turkish Cypriot Press ABHaber Dış Basında Türkiye-AB İlişkileri Günlük Haftalık

Sarkozy ve Merkel'den Türkiye Karşıtı Yeni Açıklamalar

Turkey won't accept less than full membership, says FM

Minister voices strong willingness for EU bid

European Union says it's on same page with Turkey on foreign policy

Hot reasons to end EU coolness to Turkey

Turkish military defends guard system

Davutoglu Promoting "Strategic Depth" in Turkish Foreign Policy
Jamestown Foundation

Islam and democracy can – and do – coexistChristian Science Monitor -

FM Davutoglu Receives Phone Call From U.S. Secretary of State Clinton

Greek FM wants no problem with neighbors

'Europe needs Turkey, its enthusiasm'

(GEN) AMERICAN-TURKISH COUNCIL MEETINGS TO START ON MAY 31

Turkish-American business group to meet May 30

Greece's Muslim population finds a safe harbor in Turkish identity

Vartan Oskanian: Time to take stock
Armenian Reporte

Stop pandering to the hardliners
Cyprus Mail

Rethinking Azerbaijan | Policies | Energy | Supply | European Voice

NATO-Azerbaijan: Assessing the Past, Looking Into the Future ADA This Azerbaijani article assesses the current level of partnership achieved between Azerbaijan and NATO

Hedo Okur Tuncay Nihat Altintop

Hiwakan (The Hopes): Fethullah Gülen Versus Said Kurdi (Said Nursi)

Turkey's budget deficit drops to 534 mln liras

Local spending a headache for IMF

UNESCO satisfied about work in Istanbul

Erzurum could become a hot destination for Iranian tourists

H3

Son Dakika Milliyet Hürriyet Zaman GH Türkiye

Birinci Sayfalar Akşam Birgün Bugün Cumhuriyet Dünya Hürriyet Milli Gazete Milliyet Posta Radikal Referans Sabah Star Taraf Tercüman Türkiye Vakit Vatan Yeni Şafak Zaman Arşiv

Video NTV CNNTürk Milliyet

Cengiz Çandar

Ahmet Taşgetiren

Ruşen - Çakır

Taha Akyol

Fikret Bila

Hasan Cemal

Murat Yetkin

İsmet Berkan

Fehmi Koru

Taha Kıvanç

Şamil Tayyar

Ali Bayramoğlu

Soli Özel

Yasemin Çongar

Ertuğrul Özkök

Hasan Ünal

Ahmet Hakan

M Ali Birand

Cüneyt Ülsever

Enis Berberoğlu

Oktay Ekşi

Özdemir İnce

Mehmet Y Yılmaz

ERDAL ŞAFAK

ENGİN ARDIÇ

EMRE AKÖZ

Umur Talu

HASAN BÜLENT KAHRAMAN

NAZLI ILICAK

MEHMET BARLAS

MAHMUT ÖVÜR

YAVUZ DONAT

Ekonomi

ABDURRAHMAN YILDIRIM

Ercan Kumcu

Erdal Sağlam




H4 New York Times The Trouble With Zero

By PHILIP TAUBMAN No nukes at all. A goal deemed quixotic in the era of Stalin gets new life in the age of the Taliban.

Arrest of Ex-Militant Who Switched Sides Shows Iraqi Reconciliation Pitfalls

-Shaky Pakistan Is Seen as a Target of Plots by Al Qaeda Foreign operatives of Al Qaeda are moving to sow chaos in Pakistan and strengthen the hand of the militant Islamist groups there, U.S. and Pakistani intelligence officials say.

Many Try to Run for President in Iran, but Few Will Be Allowed

Iraqi Leaders and Kurds Reach Oil Deal; Pelosi Makes Surprise Visit

Gates’s Plan to Shift Military Spending Faces Skepticism

7 Are Killed in Suicide Bombings in Afghanistan

Pope Celebrates Mass in Jordan

Putin Says NATO Exercises in Georgia Hinder U.S.-Russia Relations

Editorial A Lot More to Cut

President Obama should have further cut the Pentagon budget by harvesting savings from costly weapons systems designed for the cold war.

A Table for Tyrants

By VACLAV HAVEL

The absence of competition in the election for the United Nation’s Human Rights Council suggests that states that care about human rights simply don’t care enough.

The G.D.P. Question

By BOB PACKWOOD

The real question is not how much we want to tax, but how much we want to spend

Who Will Replace Souter?

By DAVID BROOKS and GAIL COLLINS Here's hoping for someone Gail Collins likes, and David Brooks can live with.

From Air and Ground, Pakistan Strikes Back at Taliban

Frank Rich The American Press on Suicide Watch The real question is for the public, not journalists: Does it want to pony up for news, whatever the media that prevail?

Editorial After the Stress Tests Investors, consumers and taxpayers alike must wait and see if the nation’s biggest banks will begin to function normally.

MAUREEN DOWD Put Aside Logic Just as Spock swoops in to rescue the world from red matter in J. J. Abrams’s dazzling new “Star Trek,” imagine Barack Spock rescuing read matter for the world.

Administration Plans to Strengthen Antitrust Rules The Obama administration plans to reverse a Bush administration policy shift that precluded antitrust actions against big corporations.

China Emerges as a Leader in Cleaner Coal Technology

While the United States debates the use of so-called clean coal, China is mastering the technology and driving down the cost.

NICHOLAS D. KRISTOF The Killer No One Suspects Pneumonia is an illness that is easy to treat, yet more than two million children die each year.

For Victims of Recession, Patchwork State Aid As millions of Americans seek aid, many are finding it dispensed through a jumble of disconnected programs that reach some and reject others.

Parks Fortify Israel’s Claim to Jerusalem A $100 million effort to develop parks outside the Old City of Jerusalem may strengthen Israeli claims to the land.

Pope Deplores ‘Ideological Manipulation’

Cadets Trade the Trenches for Firewalls In war games at military schools, hackers replace snipers and the only mines are computer viruses.

Gaps Appear in G.O.P. Solidarity

H5 Washington Post Iraq Militant Group's Pipeline Through Syria Revives After Long Gap

Pipeline to Iraq Back In Business After Lull

The Fault Line Between Pashtuns and Punjabis in Pakistan By Selig S. Harrison, Key to keeping Pakistan stable is understanding its ethnic conflicts.

Carlos Lozada -- Review of Leslie H. Gelb's "Power Rules: How Common Sense Can Rescue American Foreign Policy" A Big Washington Book by a man who embodies big Washington.

Iraqi Forces' Conduct on Humanitarian Mission Raises Questions About Future

Local Forces' Conduct During Mission to Help Disabled Children Raises Questions About Future After U.S. Withdrawal

A Reality Check for Obama on Afghanistan and Pakistan

By Jackson Diehl, Obama couldn't scare Karzai and Zardari.

White House Proposes Cuts in Military Recruiting Budget

Obama Plan Would Spend 11% Less

The Right Fight Over President Obama's Supreme Court Nominee

By E.J. Dionne Jr., Liberals should welcome a debate on the Supreme Court -- and win it.

The Great Tax Dodge Demystified

By Robert J. Samuelson, Page A17

Are multinationals not paying their fair share?

In Surprise Iraq Visit, Pelosi Promises ‘Intense Political Involvement' by U.S.

Army Families Under Fire

By Kristina Kaufmann, As we approach eight years of war, too many families are coming apart at the seams.

More Airstrikes Against Taliban Possible, Says U.S. Official

Human Rights Work in Putin and Medvedev's Russia By Fred Hiatt,

Obama must remember the cause of human rights in Russia.

Fear and Worry Pervade Refugee Camps As Pakistanis Flee Assault on Taliban

Biden's Advisory Role Expands to Supreme Court Pick

Will The Post Figure Out Its Future in a New-Media World? By David Ignatius

Taliban-Style Justice Stirs Growing Anger

Sharia Being Perverted, Pakistanis Say

Obama Delivers the Zingers at Journalists' Dinner

The President's Budget

Leaving the hard choices for the next one

Iraqi Leader Sees Fraud as a Top Worry

Obama's Missed Opportunity for Budget Sense By David S. Broder

H6 Guardian · Putin ponders presidential comeback

Russia's PM gives strong hint in interview with Japanese press about return to Kremlin in 2012

· Eastern partners

Editorial: The ex-balkan region does not need hothead nationalists who start wars they cannot win with Russia. It needs pragmatists who recognise the constraints of their geography and economy

· The end of the age of free

Many of the media's big players - including Rupert Murdoch - are thinking of charging for content

Editorial: Is the era of free news over?

Peace in our time? Ben White: There is growing speculation about a revamped peace plan for the Middle East. But what will it contain – or achieve?

Torture makes a mockery of the brave Ian Buruma: Those who try to pass off torture as an act of war undermine the armed forces' discipline and morale

Nato exercises threaten Russian thaw Irina Filatova: It seems Russia is trying to play 'good guys' Europe against 'bad guys' Nato, an odd policy when you look at Nato's composition

The lessons of swine flu

Ian Scoones: We must accept the uncertainty surrounding potential pandemics and prepare for surprises if we are to respond effectively

Beijing's capital ideas

Kerry Brown and Peter Wood: China's £2 trillion of foreign currency reserves, accrued through two decades of strong exports and foreign investment, is ­casting a long shadow

Pakistani civilians flee Swat valley as offensive draws closer

Army orders residents to leave during lull in fighting, prompting warning of humanitarian crisis Analysis: Crucial to Pakistan's credibility

US worst hit by swine flu, WHO says World Health Organisation reveals figures as health officials announce America's third death from virus

· Israel 'extends East Jerusalem control' Peace groups say government's secret plans with settler groups could prevent two-state solution

Invest in Iraq, if you dare

Ranj Alaaldin: The Invest Iraq conference outlined the huge potential of taking a stake in the nation's future, but could not disguise the pitfalls

· All the president's emails: Sesame Street Production Office, David Axelrod, Joe Biden

A selection of Barack Obama's emails from recent days: As seen by Oliver Burkeman

· In praise of ... the Council of Europe Editorial: The continent's 'other club' inevitably lives in the EU's shadow but it remains the only forum to span the whole map

· Sharia solution Editorial: Piracy off the coast of Somalia has galvanised the international community, but the cause of a failed state in its 18th year of conflict goes unaddressed

Obama has them rolling in the aisles President's gags tickle Washington journalists at annual White House correspondents' dinner

,A web of destructionPeter Preston: Be it our high streets, our newspapers or the climate, the internet and the digital lifestyle is ruining the way we live

We need a global tax plan

David McNair: Barack Obama must champion a much better exchange of tax information to help the developing world deal with evasion

The Observer Do not be fooled by green shoots in the City – our pain will continue

Will Hutton: We need a mindset more like the 1930s – trying to develop our economy, encouraging innovation and insisting our banks serve business

Dialogue, not symbolism

Ed Kessler: If Pope Benedict is to deepen relations with Jews, he cannot ignore the theological questions about the Christian perspective of Judaism

H7 Toll Rises as Iraq Slows Surge - Charles Levinson, Wall Street Journal. Violence is on the rise in Iraq as American troops withdraw. A ground-level look at the handover provides one explanation: The Iraqi government is neglecting many of the successful counterinsurgency initiatives it is inheriting from the US military.

Leslie Gelb: Wonky Witness to History - Carlos Lozada, Washington Post

CFR The Financial Crisis and Global Financial and Monetary Cooperation (Audio)

· MARC LYNCH It's time for a Mideast policy about more than terrorism

• 'Iraq: Trends in Violence and Civilian Casualties' by Anthony Cordesman, Center for Strategic and International Studies

The Great Depression analogy will not provide easy answers
By Harold James

Obama must move beyond pseudo-events
By Leon T. Hadar

Between Egypt and Hizbullah, a crisis just waiting to happen
By Gamal A. G. Soltan

Syria Eats Sanctions but Looks to Mitchell Visit for Understanding

A Realpolitik of Nice

Daily Star US talk of Lebanon's sovereignty sounds like a remix of an old song

Putting Lebanon's elections in context By Rami G. Khouri

The pope's pilgrimage of healing

A symbolic figure on pilgrimage to a symbolic place, Pope Benedict XVI has opportunities to heal ancient and modern wounds. (By James Carroll, Boston Globe)

Iran Increases its Political and Economic Presence in Latin America IICC A 40-page Israeli report on how Iran is increasing its political and economic presence in Latin America


The Return of American Realism - Richard Haass, RealClearWorld

The Pope's Mideast Opportunity - Tariq Ramadan, The Guardian


Obama's Financial Unilateralism - F. Smith & J. Berlau, Washington Times

Jamestown Foundation
· Terrorism Monitor, May 8, 2009, v. 7, no. 12
*Latest Surge of Violence in Iraq Tests al-Maliki’s Government

Whatever Happened to Muqtada al-Sadr? - Mark Kukis, Time

Islam and Democracy Can Coexist - John Hughes, Christian Science Monitor


Free Roxana Saberi! - Clifford May, Washington Times


Obama's Yemeni Gitmo Dilemma - Ginny Hill, Foreign Policy

Fickle Gods of Global Warming - Rex Murphy, Globe and Mail

The Road From Damascus by Marty Peretz

H8 Iraq Updates IraqSlogger Google News Iraq Iran Syria Mideastwire.com - NPR Iraq

· Iraq Ends Ban, Allows Kurds to Export Oil

The Iraqi federal oil ministry said it will allow the autonomous Kurdish government in northern Iraq to start exporting crude oil after blocking such shipments for the past two years.

Economic downturn finally hits Iraq Many thought Iraq, with its unsophisticated banking and high oil revenues, would be unaffected. But with oil prices and consumer spending down, the economy is stalling.

Iraq Militant Group's Pipeline Through Syria Revives After Long Gap Pipeline to Iraq Back In Business After Lull

Humanitarian Mission Raises Questions in Iraq: Local Forces' Conduct During Mission to Help Disabled Children Raises Questions About Future After U.S. Withdrawal

General Sees a Longer Stay in Iraq Cities for U.S. Troops

Middle East Feels the Pinch

Four contenders register for Iran polls Registration for Iran’s presidential election has ended with Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad officially seeking re-election next month in a race with three main rivals

Poll: Arab world favors Obama, but still wary of U.S.

US Forces Not Needed in Iraqi Cities: Maliki

We Don't Need GIs in Cities, Iraq PM Tells Pelosi

Syrian offhand about US sanctions, policy reversal

Obama to address Muslim world again – from Egypt

Hale: No Syria deal at Lebanon's expense

Obama to Travel to Egypt, Give Speech to Muslim World
Voice of America

Obama Picks Egypt as Speech Venue -

King Abdullah in Mid East warning

Jordan's king warns that failure to reach a Middle East peace deal would result in a new conflict within 12-18 months.

A tale of two conflicts with Iraq

Iran: Handling of Nuclear Crisis Model for Palestinian ‘Resistance’

Iraqi Forces: Rebuilt and Stronger, but Still Stumbling

Oil Falls on Speculation Increased Supplies Will Limit Gains

Obama renews sanctions on Syria for one year

iPhones in Iraq – the US Army's new weapon

Iraqi Leader Sees Fraud as a Top Worry - Nada Bakri, Washington Post.

Arrest of Ex-Militant Shows Reconciliation Pitfalls - Sam Dagher, New York Times

Pelosi Wants US to Strengthen Intelligence in Iraq

Pelosi makes suprise visit to Iraq to talk intelligence

U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi made a surprise visit to Iraq on Sunday, meeting with the prime minister and the speaker of the iraqi parliament. Based on comments from all three politicians, intelligence gathering was the main topic of conversation, with Pelosi saying the U.S. could need to increase its intelligence gathering in Iraq as its troop prsence declined.

'It's Time for the Iraqis to Step Up' - Ernesto Londoño, Washington Post

Pope Visits Mosque in Muslim Outreach - Dale Gavlak, Washington Times.

Syria: No Need to Amend Arab Peace Initiative

Gulf economies to contract, says IMF The Gulf’s largest economies are expected to contract this year as Opec-mandated cuts in oil production and declining petroleum revenue erode growth

Iraq wants Israel to pay for bombing reactor

H9 Ha’aretz U.S. puts October deadline on Iran talks J'lem receives confidential report stating special envoy Ross setting deadline for U.S. policy change

'Obama's peace plan: Muslim world must recognize Israel'Jordan king describes new U.S. plan to Times of London, calls Netanyahu-Obama meet a critical juncture.

Akiva Eldar / Obama is changing the rules of Mideast pressure Like a spoiled child, Israel is in no rush to willingly surrender real estate it has held for decades

Amira Hass / Israel knows that peace just doesn't pay Successive cabinets understood that peace with Palestinians could seriously damage national interests

'80% of prisoners in Palestinian jails being held without trial'

Alongside talks, Obama renews sanctions against Syria

ANALYSIS / Netanyahu is beginning to look worried

Report: Syria criticizes renewal of U.S. sanctions Syrian state-run paper calls on U.S. to 'get rid of foolish policies and replace them with openness.'

Netanyahu: Israel must ease restrictions on Palestinians Prime Minister tells cabinet economic relief for West Bank residents not a substitute for diplomatic efforts

Zvi Bar'el / Easing Gazans' plight is political necessity for Israel

Israel has secret plan to thwart division of Jerusalem

Shlomo Avineri / The pope and the Palestinian NakbaWhile the finest Israeli writers confront the moral challenge of upholding the justice of the Zionist enterprise while understanding the Palestinians' pain and rights, we hear no comparable moral voice on the other side.

Gideon Levy / We deserve to know what the IDF did in our name in Gaza

But let's assume Amnesty is lying, Human Rights Watch is fabricating, B'Tselem is embellishing, the UN is anti-Israel and the media is full of hatred against us - isn't there enough in the IDF's own figures to shake us to the core?

'No Jews' policy employed at Austria hotel

Tsunami in a test tube The importance that Obama places in moving toward that difficult goal of a nuclear weapons-free world provides Israel with a rare opportunity for launching a unilateral, nonbinding initiative.

Facebook founder's roommate recounts creation of Internet giant Arie Hasit, who immigrated to Israel two years ago, roomed with Mark Zuckerberg at Harvard

What we must insist on The Palestinians are right when they say the diplomatic custom is to recognize a country, not its regime. Of course, our situation is more complex.

Mubarak to urge Netanyahu: Relaunch talks with Palestinians Palestinians, Iran and Hezbollah cell captured in Egypt to top Netanyahu-Mubarak agenda in Sharm.

Jerusalem Post Iran to procure Chinese defense system

After failing to buy the S-300 from Russia, Teheran will reportedly turn to Beijing. (The Media Line)

With Obama and Netanyahu, it's the trust that counts

[ HERB KEINON,

India to finally receive Phalcon AWACS

· The rupture

[ DAVID HOROVITZ,

· Obama's green light to attack Iran [ CAROLINE GLICK

How Ahmadinejad helped Israel


His anti-Israel angst reflects more than political calculations, and may require psychological analysis.

So, what's Obama's position on linkage? by Shmuel Rosner

'Iran boosts need for 2-state solution'

NSC chief tells ABC that US agrees that Teheran's nuclear ambitions pose "existential threat" to Israel.

Blair: We've reached 'moment of truth'

Quartet's envoy tells 'Post' why choices facing region might now prompt progress toward reconciliation.

Syrian state-run paper criticizes renewal of US sanctions

Front-page 'Tishrin' editorial urges Obama to abandon "foolish policies," says Damascus hopeful US will not cave in to Israeli pressures.

An open message to the pope


I hope you reiterate the theological principle that Jews needn't convert to merit redemption.

Yedioth Ahronoth '2-states will help on Iran'
US ratchets up pressure on new Israeli government ahead of PM Netanyahu's visit as National Security Advisor says Israel should work towards advancing talks with Palestinians if it is worried about nuclear threat from Tehran

Our enemies’ mistakes/ Bechor Guy Bechor says this was good year for Israel, as our enemies made series of mistakes

Iran-Israel linkage harmful Illogical linkage makes anti-Iran campaign a hostage in hands of Palestinian terrorists

9 tips for the road Eitan Haber offers Prime Minister Netanyahu some words of advice before trip to America

Disrespecting other faiths

Pope Benedict XVI holds negative, divisive views regarding other religions, writes MK Horowitz

'Iran doesn't speak for us'

Abbas distances himself from Ahmadinejad's anti-West rhetoric ahead of meeting with Obama

PM vows Israel won't leave Golan

Daily Alert.orgHebrew Press Editorials (2008) - Middle East Progress - EJC Israeli Press Review Google News Israel - Palestine

The Power of the First Impression - Elliott Abrams, Wall Street Journal.

· How Obama's America Might Threaten Israel By Norman Podhoretz From Commentary: Determined fecklessness on Iran could lead to nuclear war.

Is Obama calling out Israel's nuclear program? BY LAURA ROZEN

Comment on Iran and the bomb: Israel’s analogies by Walter Laqueur

The Paradox of Israel's Pursuit of Might by Max Hastings

Pope to Take 'Prudent' Approach With Israel

Pope Benedict XVI arrives in Israel on Monday, shouldering 2,000 years of often-rocky ties between Catholics and Jews

In U.S., A Change In Tone On Israel

Don't Blame Israel - Alan M. Dershowitz, New York Post opinion.

Hamas Claims U.S., E.U. Are Reaching Out - Marc Perelman, Time

Israel, Lebanon: Indications of Possible Conflict A reduction in the U.N. force monitoring southern Lebanon hints at possible Israeli preparations for a rematch with Hezbollah.

New pressures for Netanyahu will lead to the same old manoeuvres

James Zogby : The Obama administration has made clear its intention to achieve a two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

· Israel 'extends East Jerusalem control'

Peace groups say government's secret plans with settler groups could prevent two-state solution

Gaza's Real Civilian Death Count - Simona Weinglass, The New Republic


Hostages to Israel's Far Right - J. Algazy & D. Vidal, Le Monde Diplomatique

Shimon Peres on Iran: Overreaction Is Better than Underreaction - Interview with Jeffrey Goldberg

FACTBOX - Main issues in Middle East peace process

· 'Do as I Say Not as I -- Never Mind' BY: Uri Dromi | Miami Herald Avigdor Lieberman, Israel's foreign minister, has raised some concerns because of his hawkish positions and blunt language. However, European foreign ministers who met him this week were happily surprised by his pragmatism

The War to Begin All Wars [review of Benny Morris] by Gershom Gorenberg

Report: Syria, Iran Set Conditions For Support Of Hamas, Islamic Jihad

With nationalist demagogues rising to power in both India and Israel, Pankaj Mishra examines their parallel histories.

Arab World Needs to Stop Banning Books and Movies about Jews - H.D.S. Greenway

Pope Benedict starts Israel visit

Pope Benedict, on a tour of the Holy Land, travels to Jerusalem amid tension between the Israeli government and the Vatican

H10 Christian Science Monitor

Stability lets Basra, a city of poets, return to its roots

In the southern Iraqi city, poetry and music have returned since Iraqi forces wrested control from Shiite extremists last year.

Islam and democracy can – and do – coexist Just look at successes in Indonesia and Turkey.

Pakistani Taliban under pressure from tribal rival

A escalating feud could distract Baitullah Mehsud and his 10,000-plus men from fighting Western forces in Afghanistan.

Pope embarks on Mideast fence-mending trip

His pilgrimage this week is also a chance to reassure Jews and Muslims about Vatican views.

Cut hours, not employees

In some ways, reduced time can enrich our lives.

Obama passes the stress test, too

His economic team forces a transparency on troubled banks that needs to be permanent.

China quake: From rubble, civil society builds

Volunteerism stands strong one year later – and has even won support from local authorities normally wary of grass-roots movements.

Pakistan's sharia cease-fire: I knew it wouldn't work, Zardari says

Political and military leaders in the region try to look to the positive as Taliban fighters entrench in Pakistan's Swat Valley.

US tries, tries again to revive North Korean talks

US envoy Stephen Bosworth is visiting Beijing, Seoul, and Tokyo, after Pyongyang rejected six-party dialogue and threatened to test another nuclear bomb.

ASIA

From Air and Ground, Pakistan Strikes Back at Taliban - Andrew Kannapell, New York Times.

Pakistan Again Faces a Test It Has Often Failed Before - Matthew Rosenberg

From Strategy to Implementation: The Future of the U.S.-Pakistan Relationship [May 6, 2009]

Geopolitical Diary: U.S. Limitations in Afghanistan The situation in Afghanistan is not presenting the United States with any good options for getting the Taliban to the negotiating table

An 'Afpak' About-Face For Obama - Jackson Diehl, Washington Post opinion.

Inside the Taliban's besieged Swat fortress as battle rages

Obama's Big Bet on Pakistan - Doyle McManus, Los Angeles Times opinion. The United States has just acquired a new client state -- one with 170 million people, nuclear weapons, an Islamist insurgency and Osama bin Laden. And that's the good news.

Taliban-Style Justice Stirs Growing Anger - Pamela Constable, Washington Post.

Confusion Over Taliban Muddies the Issues in Pakistan - Mark Magnier, Los Angeles Times

Jerusalem Post Iran to procure Chinese defense system After failing to buy the S-300 from Russia, Teheran will reportedly turn to Beijing. (The Media Line)

India's Role in Democracy Promotion - Council on Foreign Relations

China stirs a
pot of gold

China's strengthening of its gold reserves still leaves those holdings as a very small fraction of both its total monetary reserves and US holdings of the precious metal. It nevertheless points to a strategic trend that other surplus nations can be expected to follow. The biggest winners will trade their dollars for gold before there's a rush for the door. - John Brown

Pakistani President: Osama bin Laden Is Dead

Coalition Gov't in India? No Thanks - Vir Sanghvi, Hindustan Times

Where Pakistan Is Winning - Haider Ali Hussein Mullick, Newsweek

North Korea's Cries for Attention - Joel Brinkley, Global Post

North Korea Not Coming to Party - Donald Kirk, Asia Times

Pakistan On the Precipice - Kapil Komireddi, Los Angeles Times


From the Eyes of Pakistanis - Saif Qarni, RealClearWorld

Indian Communist Chic - Siddharth Varadarajan, Wall Street Journal

Let China Launch Its Carrier - Tetsuo Kotani, Japan Times

· STEPHEN WALT Time to talk to the Taliban?

US Dismisses Karzai Demand to Halt Air Strikes

Pakistan ready for combat

Army prepares for house-to-house combat with Taliban in Swat Valley

Karzai Jockeys to Stay in Power He might not be the Obama administration's preferred candidate, but President Hamid Karzai looks poised to win another term in office that will test both his relationship with Washington and his ability to lead a fractured country

Obama's Vietnam? - Washington Times editorial.

Independent Leading article: President Zardari's gamble

Karzai's warlords They are brutal, bloodthirsty – and becoming increasingly influential in Afghan politics.

Pakistan faces biggest human flood since 1947 Half a million people are being displaced by Pakistan's military operations against the Taliban

Patrick Cockburn: Who killed 120 civilians? The US says it's not a story

Moving Beyond Gut-Check Diplomacy - Eleanor Clift, Newsweek opinion. Pakistan could be the source of the biggest nuclear crisis to face an American president since the Cold War.

Pakistani Taliban under pressure from tribal rival

A escalating feud could distract Baitullah Mehsud and his 10,000-plus men from fighting Western forces in Afghanistan.

Is It Too Late to Help Pakistan? BY ROBERT HADDICK

Shaky Pakistan Is Seen as a Target of Plots by al-Qaeda

China quake: From rubble, civil society builds

Volunteerism stands strong one year later – and has even won support from local authorities normally wary of grass-roots movements.

Pakistan army lets refugees flee Swat battle, and camps fill

At least 250,000 people have registered as refugees since Pakistan's army began an offensive four days ago to retake the district of Swat from the Taliban. The lifting of a curfew in Swat for a few hours Sunday set off a surge of refugees to the city of Mardan, some coming on foot, others in cars, tractor trolleys and donkey carts. Officials say it's possible as 700,000 people will flee the violence

Petraeus: Al Qaeda No Longer Operating in Afghanistan — Gen. David Petraeus says affiliated organizations still have “enclaves and sanctuaries” in the country.

Pakistan hangs back from major Swat offensive, talks secretly to Taliban

China overtakes the USA as Brazil's largest trading partner...

U.S. Rejects Calls to End Air Strikes The conflict over U.S. air strikes comes as Obama seeks to launch a counter-insurgency strategy in Afghanistan, and could hobble cooperation to rein in the Taliban.

Pakistan on the precipice

By Kapil Komireddi

Pakistanis must act to save their country. But Washington also must help safeguard its nuclear arsenal.

FT Opinion: The allies fight the ‘wrong’ war in Afghanistan

Western forces find themselves engaged in an ill-defined campaign to stabilise Afghan tribal society, while being unable to use troops across the border, writes Max Hastings

Pakistan Again Squares Off Against Taliban in Swat - Matthew Rosenberg, Rehmat Mehsud and Zahid Hussain, Wall Street Journal.

US to review Afghan air strikes

A top US general orders a probe into the use of air strikes in Afghanistan, following protests about civilian casualties.

US denies using white phosphorus in Afghan strikes

The United States has said it will not halt air strikes in Afghanistan as demanded by President Hamid Karzai after civilian deaths, and it denied using burning phosphorus in the attacks.

Hearts and Minds in Afghanistan - Trudy Rubin, Philadelphia Inquirer opinion.

Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis (IFPA)
· Realigning Priorities: The U.S.-Japan Alliance and the Future of Extended Deterrence

In Reprisal, India Probes U.S. Trade Barriers BY: Rama Lakshmi | The Washington Post India has begun a tit-for-tat study on the barriers its exporters face in the United States, part of an effort to aggressively counter an American investigation into Indian trade hurdles

Pakistani Public Opinion Swings Against The Taliban

As the Pakistani military prepares to fight a decisive battle against the Taliban in the western Swat Valley, the public mood in Pakistan has visibly turned against the Taliban. Analysts maintain that the change in public perceptions might prove crucial in denying the extremists public support and mobilizing the state to confront them head-on instead of trying to contain and appease them through peace agreements.

Real Bridge to Nowhere; China's Foiled North Korea Strategy USIP A 37-page US working paper examining the complexities of Chinese-North Korean relations, taking into account the perspective of China’s border areas, a vital aspect of China’s relationship with the Korean peninsula that is often overlooked.

With nationalist demagogues rising to power in both India and Israel, Pankaj Mishra examines their parallel histories.

China Emerges as a Leader in Cleaner Coal Technology

Pakistan, Taliban and Global Security – Part I

H11 IHT

EUROPE European press review

Wolfgang Münchau: Like a fish, Europe is rotting from the head There is nothing in European politics that stinks more than the apparent inevitability of another five-year term for the Portuguese president of the Commission, writes Wolfgang Münchau

Threat to German welfare systemGermany’s generous welfare system could collapse as early as this year because of the economic crisis and misguided confidence-boosting measures by the government

WSJ Europe Betrays Its Mission in Prague By Borut Grgic Its eastern partnership plan is just seven pages of ramble.

The Securitisation of Islam in Europe CEPS This 17-page research paper summarises the main hypotheses and results of the research on the securitisation of Islam. It presents recommendations to facilitate the greater inclusion of Muslims within European public spheres

German parties widen political gap Chances run high that a grand coalition of the country’s two main parties could again take government after September’s election as two smaller parties rule out alternative tie-ups

Centre for European Reform
· Will Spain Remain a Small Country?

Synergies vs. Spheres of Influence in the Pan-European Space CEPS This 104-page report investigates whether and how the European Union, in its policies towards Russia, the Eastern partner countries and Central Asia, might build stronger common programmes and projects across these three political ‘spaces’

Women in European politics - time for action Source: European Commission: Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities Full Document (PDF; 2 MB) At European level, the members of the European Parliament comprise 31% women and 69% men. This is a better balance than in national parliaments but progress towards gender equality has stagnated and there has been little change since the 1999 elections. The 2009 elections represent an opportunity to take the next step forwards. In national parliaments across the European Union, slightly less than one in four members of parliament are women (24%). Sweden, the Netherlands and Finland are the only EU countries with more than 40% women in parliament.

Services sector starts to feel more confident Service sector companies in European and emerging markets have recovered much of the confidence lost as the global recession took its toll, providing another sign of green shoots

NATO-Azerbaijan: Assessing the Past, Looking Into the Future ADA This Azerbaijani article assesses the current level of partnership achieved between Azerbaijan and NATO

A Look in the EU's Unbalanced Books - Christopher Booker, Daily Telegraph

Where Is Italy Headed? - John Lloyd, Financial Times

· Berlusconi rejects 'multi-ethnic' Italy PM denies claims Italy violated international law when navy returned more than 200 'boat people' to Libya

Historic role How Hungary cut a hole in the iron curtain, in 1989

H12 RFE/RL

Google News Azerbaijan

CFR Meeting Transcript, Audio, Video: U.S. policy toward Russia, with Graham Allison, Maurice Greenberg, Gary Hart, Dimitri Simes, and Peter Osnos

Testimony by Stephen Sestanovich on prospects for engagement with Russia before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee

Geopolitical Diary: Russia's Shifting Relations with Washington and Warsaw

· 4 F's for the 4 I's BY: Vladislav Inozemtsev | The Moscow Times Dmitry Medvedev came to power promoting the doctrine of "Four I's" -- that is, to develop the country's institutions, infrastructure, innovation and investment. But he was hostage to a system that had been created over the preceding eight years by his mentor, former President Vladimir Putin.

Russia warns foes in Soviet-style show of might … Russia on Saturday sternly warned its foes not to dare attempt any aggression against the country, as it put on a Soviet-style show of military might in Red Square including nuclear capable missiles.

Moscow show of strength hides military weakness Parade intended to symbolise the return of Russian might, but it cannot mask the dismal state of the armed forces

Icy winds threaten US-Russia thaw

Nato exercises and spying case hit détente

· Georgia President to Meet Protesters

Mikheil Saakashvili will meet opposition leaders to try to break a monthlong political deadlock.

Human Rights Work in Putin and Medvedev's Russia

By Fred Hiatt, Page A17

Obama must remember the cause of human rights in Russia.

Azerbaijan: Diaspora Organization Tries to Counter Armenian-American Influence in Washington
A new front has opened in the Azerbaijan-Armenia conflict and it is centered in Washington, DC. Frustrated by the effectiveness of Armenian-American advocacy groups to shape debates in the United States, Baku is now looking to its diaspora for a little public-relations support

· A Czar in Chains BY: Benjamin Bidder | Der Spiegel One year after taking office, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev's track record has been less than impressive. Prime Minister Vladimir Putin still pulls the strings of power while his former protégé struggles unsuccessfully to free himself.

Central Asia and Caucasus: Terrorist Threat on Rise in Ferghana Valley - US State Department
BY JOSHUA KUCERA
The threat posed by Islamic militant groups in Central Asia, especially in the Kyrgyz and Tajik portions of the Ferghana Valley, appears to be growing, according to the US State Department’s recently released annual report on terrorism.

H13 The Times King’s ultimatum: peace now or war next year Jordan’s King Abdullah emerges as key player in President Obama’s hugely ambitious peace plan for the Middle East TRANSCRIPT: 'A 57-state solution... or war'

Jordan is leading a peace initiative that could finally break the deadlock in the Middle East, King Abdullah tells The Times

Time for a Deal The Arabs and the Americans must seize a rare chance for Middle East peace

Obama aims high on his first Arab visit

Obama: 'It is time for Middle East progress'

The American President regards his early peak of global popularity as offering the opportunity to revive the peace process

Netanyahu’s ‘make or break’ peace meeting

King Abdullah of Jordan says that a failure by Obama to find a solution to the Middle East conflict would point to another war

Gordon Brown set for election wipeout Analysis shows that Gordon Brown is heading for a humiliating third place in next month’s local elections

Karzai in move to share power with warlord Extremist on America's list of most-wanted terrorists is to hold talks with the Afghan government in coming weeks

Israel fears Jewish attack on ‘Hitler Youth’ Pope

Security is stepped up for the controversial Benedict XVI's visit to the Middle East amid worries over reprisals

Moscow show of strength hides military weakness

Parade intended to symbolise the return of Russian might, but it cannot mask the dismal state of the armed forces

China and us – a cultural revolution

Britain is their largest European investor. Today's summit will develop this vital relationship

Damage limitation is Labour’s only option

This Parliament is exhausted. We need new MPs, a new Speaker and a new Prime Minister

Thousands flee Taleban battle zone Civilians streamed out of the Swat Valley in Pakistan after Government lifts curfew but aid workers warn over relief camps

Timing of attack on Taleban is no accident

The Pakistan Army's assault on the militants seems designed to coincide with President Zardari’s visit to Washington

CIA terror suspects 'kept awake for 11 days'

Justice Department memos reveal prisoners shackled to floor dressed in nappies and deprived of sleep for up to 11 days

Pope pleads for Middle East Christians Pope Benedict XVI called for Christians to be better protected in the Middle East as he addressed a crowd of 20,000 in Jordan

Stelzer Much of the news of late has been a lot cheerier than the reports that descended on us only a few months ago

Wall Street Journal

Global Monitoring Report 2009: A Development Emergency
Source: World Bank

H14 Financial Times Taboo broken in US Middle East offensive A period of high-level diplomacy on the Middle East opens in New York on Monday, promising further insights into an emerging strategy from Barack Obama’s administration that is already raising concerns among Israel’s supporters

An assured Assad Syria: As Barack Obama’s new Middle East policy offers the country a way out of isolation, Damascus is in danger of a miscalculation that could cost it political influence

Talk to Russia, remember Georgia The real test of the Obama approach to Russia will come in how the US responds to Moscow’s claims for primacy in its ‘near abroad’, the former Soviet Union

How panic gripped the world’s biggest banks In the second extract from her new book, Gillian Tett reveals how the accumulation of mortgage-backed securities proved to be super-toxic and spoiled the banking binge

Like a fish, Europe is rotting from the head Wolfgang Münchau on a weak response to the crisis

US joblessness hits 25-year high

US unemployment climbed to 8.9 per cent in April, its highest level in a quarter of a century, as the economy shed more than half a million jobs, official figures showed

The allies fight the ‘wrong’ war in Afghanistan Max Hastings on the need to refocus the campaign

A tale of two conflicts with Iraq
Financial Times

Desperate ‘baby boomers’ return to work The impending retirement of America’s 78m-strong “baby boomer” generation has caused consternation among policymakers for years. Now the “silver tsunami” may be on hold

Shareholder duties Stronger action against the perverse incentives for risk-taking by bankers could have saved shareholders money – and made financial sector collapse less likely

Kindling the news One of the media industry’s best hopes lies in that clutter of gadgets that is starting to litter your coffee table and weigh down your handbag

Icy winds threaten US-Russia thaw

Relations have gone awry between the two powers because Russia expelled two Canadian diplomats from Nato’s mission in Moscow while the alliance went ahead with a long-planned military exercise in Georgia

Amid economic rubble, Shangkong will rise Jeffrey Garten on a Shanghai-Hong Kong partnership

A new hunger for headlines

Christopher Caldwell on hunger strike tactics

America’s classroom equality battle

Fixing US education means firing the worst teachers and shutting the worst schools, but in many parts of the country sacking a teacher, however incompetent, is next to impossible. Will Mr Obama dare to face down this powerful Democratic party constituency, asks Clive Crook

H15 Los Angeles Times Confusion over Taliban muddies the issues in Pakistan Are fighters religious zealots, thugs or revolutionaries? The perceptions of the public, leaders and U.S. are at odds, but the overriding sentiment in Pakistan is that 'America created this problem.'

Economic downturn finally hits Iraq Many thought Iraq, with its unsophisticated banking and high oil revenues, would be unaffected. But with oil prices and consumer spending down, the economy is stalling.

Memos shed light on CIA's use of sleep deprivation Many see it as more effective and less objectionable than other methods, but memos show it's no picnic.

The nation needs a better GOP

By Mickey Edwards

Republicans have to put a leash on attack-dog tactics and engage in a constructive manner to deal with serious problems facing the country

Pope encourages Christians in Middle East to persevere

Benedict XVI, closing a visit to Jordan, holds Mass for 20,000 before heading to Israel and the West Bank.

Obama chooses Egypt for address to Muslims The president's promised speech to Muslims worldwide will be June 4 during a multinational trip

Pope calls for cooperation between Christians and Muslims

Pope Benedict XVI, speaking at a mosque in Amman, Jordan, also expresses concern about the discrimination that he says Christians and others face in Islamic nations such as Saudi Arabia and Iraq

Pelosi visits Iraq, discusses economy

BAGHDAD — U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi made a surprise one-day visit to Baghdad today and discussed U.S.-Iraqi economic relations with the prime minister, the government spokesman said.

Cheney backs Limbaugh for GOP future

Editorial

H16 American Politics Full Video: Obama's White House Correspondents Dinner Speech

Barack Obama's rich supporters fear his tax plans show he's a class warrior

Huckabee warns GOP could become ‘irrelevant’

WSJ Republicans and the 'Public Option'

Is the Conservative Movement Losing Steam? Posner

The Serious Conflict in the Modern Conservative Movement-Becker

The nation needs a better GOP By Mickey Edwards

Republicans have to put a leash on attack-dog tactics and engage in a constructive manner to deal with serious problems facing the country

The Republican Party ignores young 'millennials' at its peril The new generation of voters is unified, committed and, for the foreseeable future, overwhelmingly...

Buzzwords: Rephrasing Obama's lexicon Scratch "cap and trade" and "global warming," Democratic pollsters tell Obama. They're ineffective. Republicans are also rethinking how to use words to their advantage.

What Republicans need is a mutiny

By Richard A. Viguerie

The party establishment is out to sea, so conservatives need to start rocking the boat.

Cheney: Obama endangers the nation

Gates’s Plan to Shift Military Spending Faces Skepticism

The Torture Trials Of 2010 - Jonathan Rauch, National Journal


How the Republicans Can Come Back - Joe Scarborough, Time

Frank Newport / Gallup: Democrats Do Best Among Generation Y and Baby Boomers

Obama Delivers the Zingers at Journalists' Dinner

Guests: Nat'l Sec. Advisor Jones, Sen. McCain - This Week

realclearpolitics memeorandum

Daily Beast Cheat Sheet

Politico ABC’s The Note MSNBC FirstReadTime ThePage Politico Playbook

PoliticsHome fivethirtyeight US News Political Bulletin

Will Congress keep paying for these two wars?The debate over how — and how long — the United States should fight wars in Iraq and Afghanistan returns to Washington's political stage this week as a wary Congress begins considering new funding for the conflicts. The House of Representatives is scheduled to spar over a $96.7 billion plan to pay this year's costs for the wars and flu prevention strategies, with final passage likely by the end of the week. The Senate Appropriations Committee plans to write its version on Thursday.

Why Policy Changes During Obama Presidency Will Be More Significant than During Clinton, Reagan Administrations
Source: PS: Political Science & Politics (via American Political Science Association)

Obsessive Housing Disorder. Nearly a century of Washington’s efforts to promote home ownership has produced one calamity after another... more»

H17 Daily Telegraph Pakistan army ready for house-house combat with Taliban

The Pakistani military has prepared for house-to-house combat to flush the Taliban from its urban strongholds in the Swat Valley.

The Pope brings the Truth - not a peace planGeorge Pitcher says that critics of Pope Benedict have the wrong idea about his role in the modern world.

H18 Independent Exclusive Interview David Cameron: I'll pull plug on Brown He's miles ahead in the polls and next year Cameron can expect to be PM. Except that he knows he can afford to take nothing for granted.

Karzai's warlords

They are brutal, bloodthirsty – and becoming increasingly influential in Afghan politics.

Pakistan faces biggest human flood since 1947 Half a million people are being displaced by Pakistan's military operations against the Taliban

Patrick Cockburn: Who killed 120 civilians? The US says it's not a story

Leading article: President Zardari's gamble

H19 Military Intelligence Terrorism

Cadets Trade the Trenches for Firewalls In war games at military schools, hackers replace snipers and the only mines are computer viruses

A Model for Population-Centered Warfare (Full PDF Article)

Petraeus: Al Qaeda No Longer Operating in Afghanistan — Gen. David Petraeus says affiliated organizations still have “enclaves and sanctuaries” in the country.

Australia Department of Defence
· Defending Australia in the Asia Pacific Century: Force 2030

Brookings Institution
· Assessing Counterinsurgency and Stabilization Missions

Army War College
· Parameters, Spring 2009, v. 39, no. 1
*“Winning in Afghanistan” by Ali A. Jalali
*“Enhancing the Footprint: Stakeholders in Afghan Reconstruction” by Bas Rietjens, Myriame Bollen, Masood Khalil, and Sayed Fazlullah Wahidi
*“Responsibility and Proportionality in State and Nonstate Wars” by Michael Walzer
*“The End of Proportionality” by Jonathan F. Keiler
*“Russia’s Conventional Armed Forces and the Georgian War” by Roger N. McDermott
* “Deterrence in the Israeli-Iranian Strategic Standoff” by W. Andrew Terrill

An excerpt from Baghdad at Sunrise: A Brigade Commander's War in Iraq by Peter R. Mansoor.

FPRI The Role of Nuclear Weapons in International Politics: A Strategic Perspective

American Enterprise Institute (AEI) · The Jidahist International: Al Qaeda's Advance in the Levant

iPhones in Iraq – the US Army's new weapon

Applications prove invaluable for soldiers on the battlefield

Greg Miller / Los Angeles Times:

Memos shed light on CIA use of sleep deprivation — Though widely perceived as more effective and less objectionable than other interrogation methods, memos show it's harsher and more controversial than most realize. And it could be brought back.

Center for Defense Information (CDI)
· The Defense Monitor, v. 38 - April/May/June 2009

Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA)
· Budget Request Begins Shift Toward Balanced Defense Posture

Deutsche Welle:
Germany says US data on Guantanamo inmates insufficient

Myglesias / Matthew Yglesias: Defense Spending as a Global Public Good

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)
· Does Nuclear Deterrence Apply in the Age of Terrorism?

RAND · International Cooperation with Partner Air Forces

H20 Slate

· Climate report calls for tough action

Government report recommends radical overhaul of global institutions to combat climate change

Congressional Budget Office (CBO) · Potential Impacts of Climate Change in the United States

Century Foundation
· Fighting Off Fatigue: The UN Cornerstone of Antiterrorism Action

A Value Oriented Legal Theory for Muslim Countries in the 21st Century: A Comparative Study of Both Islamic Law and Common Law Systems
Source: Cornell Law School Graduate Student Papers Series Full Paper (PDF; 224 KB)

H21 · The end of the age of free Many of the media's big players - including Rupert Murdoch - are thinking of charging for content

US newspapers eye government support

Congress is looking at handful of ideas to keep the fourth estate ticking over

Editorial: Is the era of free news over?

An article on solving the mystery of the vanishing bees.

Fortune goes inside the world's biggest hedge fund: Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio's intense focus on principles helps him make money in good times and bad — now he's bracing for some very tough times indeed.

The split between scientists and writers CP Snow once said the divide threatened western civilisation. So what has changed?

Why Is Google So Dominant?
NPR

Evening Standard Says 'Sorry' to Readers As newspapers around the world frantically search for ways to keep readers, The Evening Standard is trying an unusual tactic: apologizing for its past coverage

How Do Americans Really Feel About God?

Charles Darwin did not invent the idea of evolution, or even the idea that a process of evolution had occurred in the history of life... more»

· Copyright Critics Rationalize Theft

By Mark Helprin
Writers, composers, designers and other content creators need to fight back.

“The emotions you get from listening to Mozart are like the faint glimpses of ultimate reality we get from quantum experiments.” Yeah, in Quantum Theory, anything goes... more»

Amis, Osborne, Larkin, and Tynan. Blokes with no time for social disciplines: self-assertion and pleasure were what they were after... more»

The end of East Germany was ushered in by massive protests across the land. But opposition to communist rule had started with a whisper... more»

where are the paleo-Schumpeterians when we need them?:

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U.S. foreign policy, Middle East, Turkey and Beyond

ABD dış politikası, Orta Doğu, Türkiye ve Ötesi

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Makaleler


Ankara ve Güneydeki Riskler 29 Aralık 2011
İslamcı Dalga Üzerine 5 Aralık 2011
Ankara’ya Suriye ile İlgili Bazı Tahlil, Tahmin, Uyarı ve Öneriler 2 Kasım 2011
İran ile İlgili Son Amerikan İddiaları ve Türkiye 16 Ekim 2011
Ankara Suriye’de “Rejim Değişikliği” Politikasına Geçerken 28 Eylül 2011
Türk Dış Politika Gündemine Dair 7 Kısa Not 6 Eylül 2011
“Zafer İlan Et ve Kaç:” ABD ve Afganistan’dan “Sorumluca” Çekilmenin Mantığı 23 Haziran 2011
Orta Doğu'da Durum Raporu 25 Mayıs 2011
Bin Ladin’in Öldürülmesi Üzerine Notlar 25 Mayıs 2011
Bin Ladin’in Öldürülmesi Üzerine 15 Kısa Not 3 Mayıs 2011
ABD ve Karadeniz Nisan 2011

Türkiye Beşar’a Ne Demeli? Suriye'de “52 Cuma” Reformsuz Geçmez 20 Nisan 2011
Amerika-Sonrası Dünyanın Provası Olarak Libya Krizi ve Türkiye 22 Mart 2011
“Demokratikleştiremediklerimizden misiniz?”: Orta Doğu’daki Değişim Dalgasının Neden, Şekil ve Olası Sonuçları 10 Şubat 2011
Analiz Üzerine Notlar 14 Ocak 2011
Wikileaks Üzerine Notlar ve Yorumlar 23 Aralık 2010
Enerji ve Güvenliği Üzerine Notlar 29 Kasım 2010
Amerikan Travması ve Kongre Seçimleri 23 Kasım 2010
Füze Savunması Üzerine 20 Soru ve 5 Seçenek 20 Ekim 2010
Obama Ekibinde Yaprak Dökümü - Beyaz Saray’dan Kaçış mı? 12 Ekim 2010
"Kürt Devleti" Üzerine Notlar ve Çeşitlemeler 23 Eylül 2010
Mullen’ın Ankara Ziyareti 7 Eylül 2010
ABD’nin Afganistan’daki Seçenekleri 24 Ağustos 2010
Financial Times Haberinin Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri Üzerine Düşündürttükleri 18 Ağustos 2010
İsrail-ABD-İran-Türkiye Dörtgeni 26 Temmuz 2010
Bay Netanyahu Washington’a Gitti: Böyle mi Olacaktı, Obama? 16 Temmuz 2010
Stratejik Dehlizlerde Derinlik Sarhoşluğu: Bir AKP Dış Politikası Eleştirisi Temmuz 2010
Rus Casusluk Olayı: "John Le Carre mi, Austin Powers mı?" 5 Temmuz 2010
“Mahalleye Hoş Geldin”:Türkiye’nin Orta Doğu’da İlk Günü 02 Haziran 2010
Nükleer Takas: “Savaşı Bitiren Anlaşma” mı, “Acem Oyunu” mu? 20 Mayıs 2010
ABD Irak’tan Çekilirken Riskler ve Hesaplar 1 Mayıs 2010
ABD-İsrail İlişkilerinde “Normalleşme” Sancıları 22 Nisan 2010
Obama’nın Nükleer Cazibe Taarruzu: Bardağın Üçte Biri Dolu 9 Nisan 2010
ABD-İsrail İlişkilerinde “Tektonik Kayma” mı? 5 Nisan 2010
Irak Seçimleri: Sonun Başlangıcı, Başlangıcın Sonu 19 Mart 2010
Ermeni Karar Tasarısı Üzerine Notlar, Yorumlar ve Öneriler 8 Mart 2010
Ermeni Karar Tasarısı Üzerine Notlar, Yorumlar ve Öneriler 8 Mart 2010 (word)
Bütçe Açığı ve Amerikan Gerilemesinin Ekonomi Politiği 19 Şubat 2010
Cemaat-skeptic 6 Ocak 2010
AKP bir seçim daha kazanırsa burası FC olur 4 Ocak 2010
ABD bu işin neresinde? 29 Aralık 2009
Türkiye-Ermenistan Protokolü Üzerine Düşünceler 3 Eylül 2009
"Obama’nın Savaşı":AfPak Üzerine Notlar 20 Nisan 2009
Obama’nın Ardından 17 Nisan 2009
Obama’nın Türkiye Gezisi ve Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri 19 Mart 2009
ABD ve Orta Doğu Barış Süreci Mart 2009
Obama’nın “Kırkı Çıkarken” Mart 2009

ABD-PKK “İlişkisi” Üzerine Notlar Şubat 2009
Mahşerin Üç Atlısı: Ross, Holbrooke ve Mitchell 5 Şubat 2009
SOFA ABD için Irak’ta “Sonun Başlangıcı” mı? Ocak 2009
Obama Döneminde ABD ve Asya 15 Ocak 2009
Obama’nın Güvenlik Kabinesi Üzerine Notlar 4 Aralık 2008
Yeni ABD Başkanı Obama ve Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri 6 Kasım 2008
ABD Başkanlık Seçimlerinin Türk-Amerikan İlişkilerine Muhtemel Etkileri 30 Ekim 2008
ABD Başkanlık Seçimleri Ekim 2008
Obama’nın Biden’ı Tercihinin Bir Tahlili 26 Ağustos 2008
Amerikan Sağı Üzerine Notlar Ağustos 2008
Gürcistan Krizi, ABD ve Türkiye 11 Ağustos 2008
Obama'nın Dış Gezisi 29 Temmuz 2008
Başkan Bush’un Avrupa Gezisi ve Transatlantik İlişkileri 18 Haziran 2008
ABD Seçimleri (ppt) - 10 Haziran 2008
"Sessiz Tsunami": Global Gıda Krizi (ppt) - 29 Nisan 2008
Amiral Fallon'un İstifası 13 Mart 2008
ABD ve PKK İlişkisi Üzerine Notlar 22 Kasım 2007
“İçeride Liberal, Dışarıda Şahin”: K. Irak’a Harekat Üzerine Notlar 25 Ekimy 2007
K.Irak'a Ekonomik Müeyyideler Üzerine Sorular 25 Ekimy 2007
Irak "Hamle"sinin Muhasebesi Eylül 2007
Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri - Yeni Dönemin Gündemi Eylül 2007
ABD, K. Irak ve Türkiye Üzerine Notlar ve Sorular Haziran 2007
ABD ve Orta Doğu: "Müflis mirasyedi" mi "stratejik deha" mı? Mayıs 2007
Recommendations for Strengthening U.S.-Turkish Relations February 26, 2007
ABD'nin Irak'taki Seçenekleri Ocak 2007
'Topal Ördek'le İki Yıl Daha: 2006 Kongre Seçimleri Aralık 2006
U.S.: Empire, Gulliver or the “First Among Unequals” (ppt) - ASAM 2023 Conference - October 2006
Türk-Amerikan İlişkilerinde “İkinci Bahar” mı, “Sonun Başlangıcı” mı? Stratejik Analiz - Haziran 2006 -
Irak’ta Direnişin ve İşgalin Gölgesinde Demokrasi Deneyi Avrasya Dosyası - İslam ve Demokrasi Özel Sayısı
Gurur ve Önyargı: ABD İran Gerginliği ve Türkiye Stratejik Analiz Nisan 2006 - (pdf)
Arzın Merkezine Seyahat: ABD Ulusal Güvenlik Konseyi - Journey to the Center of the World: U.S. National Security Council Avrasya Dosyası 2005
Dört Tarz-ı Siyaset: Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri ve Başbakan Erdoğan’ın Washington Ziyareti Temmuz 2005
11 Eylül’den Sonra Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri: Eski Dostlar mı Eskimeyen Dostlar mı? Avrasya Dosyası - 2005
“Dört Yıl Daha”: Yeni Bush Yönetimi ve Dünya Aralık 2004
2004’ten 2005’e Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri Aralık 2004
Türkiye, Iraklı Kürtler ve Statükonun Meşruiyeti Nisan 2004 - eksik
Askerî Alanda Devrim: Askerî Bir Senfoni Ocak 2004
Çirkin Amerikalı’ ile ‘Güven Bunalımı’: ‘Süleymaniye Krizi ve Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri Temmuz 2003 - ( pdf )
The Middle East: A Land of Opportunity and Peril for Turkey - May 2003
Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri Üzerine Notlar: Ataerkil Yapıdan Tüccar Mantığına mı? Mayıs 2003
Türkiye, ABD ve Irak Harekâtı: Hayır Diyebilen Türkiye? - Şubat 2003
Değişim, ‘Sense of Proportion’ ve Tarihin Yararları ile Sınırları Üzerine Nisan 2003
ABD Güvenlik Politikalarında Güç Kullanımı ve Caydırıcılık Ağustos 2002
“Yalnız Kovboy” ya da “Eşit Olmayanlar Arasında Birinci”: ABD Dış Politikasında Tektaraflılık-Çoktaraflılık Tartışmaları Mart 2002
İyi, Kötü ve Çirkin: ABD'nin Orta Doğu Politikaları Ocak 2002
Unilateralism corrupts, absolute unilateralism corrupts absolutely Turkish News, May 21, 2002
ABD ve Afganistan: Çıkış Var mı? Kasım 2001
Realism and Change
Crime and Punishment - Deterrence and its Failure in Theory and Practice 2001
“Tüketebileceğimizden Daha Fazla Değişim” ya da Eskimeyen Dünya Düzeni Ekim 2001
“ABD-AB İlişkilerinde Metal Yorgunluğu” Haziran 2001
It never rains circa. 1991.
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