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TurcoPundit
3 February 2009
  February 03, 2009

020309f - FOREIGN PRESS REVIEW (FPR) - ‘Relevant news, views, comments and analyses for informed debate’ Compiled by Şanlı Bahadır Koç U.S. / Britain / Turkey / Magazines / Think-tanks / Blogs / Misc /Books / Quickread / Numbers / Reports - Subscribe to FPR FPR Table - H4 NYT WP GU H7 ME Isr H10 CSM IHT Eur FSU Asia H13 Times WSJ FT LAT H16 USP DT Ind H19 Mil Int Ter Wonk H21 Misc

H1 Washington Post Maliki Supporters Post Election Gains

Preliminary Results Show Iraq Leaning Toward a Strong Central Government

No Time to Be Cutting the Defense Budget By Robert Kagan, Five reasons for Obama to repudiate calls to weaken our armed forces.

FT When globalisation goes into reverse Intellectually, world leaders are convinced of the need to keep markets open. Politically, they are under pressure to respond to voters who are angry, frightened and demanding protection. Recent developments suggest angry citizens will take priority, writes Gideon Rachman

Niall Ferguson: Beyond the age of leverage: new banks must arise There is a better way to go – in the opposite direction. The aim must be not to increase debt but to reduce it, writes Niall Ferguson Beyond the age of leverage: new banks must ariseMore debt is not the answer, says Niall Ferguson

World Economic Outlook Update: Global Economic Slump Challenges Policies Source: International Monetary Fund Direct lInk to Document (PDF; 533 KB)

Live stream Herzliya Conference

Watch addresses by top opinion makers. Among today's speakers: David Horovitz, Ya'alon, Steinitz, Aznar, Amos Gilad, Kramer and Ehud Barak.

Gareth Porter / IPS Inter Press Service: US-IRAQ: Generals Seek to Reverse Obama Withdrawal Decision

Independent A coup for Maliki and a secular Iraq Patrick Cockburn: Voters have rebuffed religious parties – and cemented the power of the Prime Minister.

Leading article: Iraq takes a step forward

EurasiaNet Iran: Revolutionary Guards are Taking Over in Tehran
BY RICHARD WEITZ As Iran
s Islamic revolution turns 30, some experts on Iranian affairs contend that the countrys clerics are losing control over the government. The new and rising center of authority in Tehran is the Revolutionary Guards.

New York Times Iraq’s Victory, Iran’s Loss By JOHN R. BOLTON Uncomfortable though it may be for some on the American left to admit, Iraq’s provincial elections show that the “surge” continues to work, politically and militarily.

Iraq Voted. Did Democracy Win?

Iraqis went to the polls for the fourth time, with elections in 14 of the country’s 18 provinces. Three Iraqi bloggers share their impressions of the day.

Financial Times Chinese leadership besieged by caution Beijing is concerned above all to ensure that a sharp slump in growth does not trigger regime-threatening unrest

Drawing poison It is not for the sake of Wall Street that bank rescues are necessary; it is Main Street that needs working banks. While it is unclear which banks are safe, the sector will remain damaged

Averting a slump: it’s the politics, stupid Remember the 1930s, says Philip Stephens

Beware of promising too much on lending Krishna Guha on Obama’s stimulus

NPR U.S. Monitoring Three Ailing Foreign Leaders The United States is keeping a close eye on the situations in Saudi Arabia, North Korea and Cuba

BBC Iran makes first satellite launch

Iran launches its first domestically made satellite, described as "another achievement under sanctions".

The IMF and the Global Crisis: Role and Reform Peterson Institute

Four Keys to Success in Afghanistan BY: Fareed Zakaria | The Washington Post The war in Afghanistan is not going well; almost all trends are moving in the wrong direction. But we still have time to focus, improve our strategy, calibrate our means.

CRS “War in Afghanistan: Strategy, Military Operations, and Issues for Congress” (pdf), January 23, 2009.

Will China Buy American Debt? - Gordon Chang, Commentary Magazine

The Times Selling China Wen Jiabao's tour of Western capitals underlines the fragility of China's prosperity

Iraq in the Obama Administration
Source: United States Institute of Peace + Full Report (PDF; 221 KB)

Islamic Peacemaking Since 9/11
Source: United States Institute of Peace Full Report (PDF; 620 KB)

Guardian Guantánamo: what would Niebuhr do? Alan Johnson: President Obama wants to face the dilemmas surrounding the camp's closure, borrowing a sensibility from his favourite philosopher

How Will Obama Handle a 'Bibi' Israel? - Tony Karon, The National

Feb 2 IA# 492 - An Escalating Regional Cold War –
Part I: The 2009 Gaza War

Hard Lessons: The Iraq Reconstruction Experience
Source: Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction High resolution cover (PDF; 421 KB) + Full Report (PDF; 2.1 MB) + End notes (PDF; 581 KB)

Russia Deepens Gas Hegemony BY: Robert M. Cutler | ISN Security Watch Eastern Europe freezes as Brussels fiddles, while with Moscow's help Gazprom extends its grasp of energy production in the Caspian Sea region.

Moving target Russia revamps military to face new global realities

Israel's Empty Two-State Rhetoric by Arnaud de Borchgrave

Iraqi Elections Shed New Light on Country's Political Progress

Iraqi Election Success? Not So Fast
Foreign Policy

The Return of Realist Interventionism

H2 Stratfor Erdogan's Outburst and the Future of the Turkish State By George Friedman

MESH » Behind the blow-out at Davos Middle East Strategy at Harvard Michael Reynolds

WSJ Erdogan's Chutzpah Turkey's Prime Minister forgets who his friends are.

Jerusalem Post Jews check Armenian genocide stance

Turkey might not get US Jews' support, official says following deterioration in Israel-Turkey ties.

A climate of fear "No Jews allowed, but dogs welcome," reads sign in Istanbul shop window.

Stephen Walt The real significance of Erdogan's Davos outburst Foreign Policy

The Dangers Of Rejecting Turkey Melik Kaylan Forbes

Turkish Outburst Is Nothing New - Asli Aydintasbas, Forbes

Turkey no longer seen as 'honest broker' after Erdogan outburst

Gaza Highlights Turkey's Unique Role In Middle East NPR

Erdogan teaches Arab leaders a lesson
Tehran Times

Turkey - an ally Israel can't afford to lose
The National

Turkey: A Regional Power out of hibernation « Adonis Diaries

Turkey says it wants to 'preserve' ties with Israel after Gaza spat

UN's Ban tells Erdogan, "Mideast needs Turkey's mediation"

Will the AKP's Foreign and Economic Policies Help in Local Elections?

İç Basında Türk Dış Politikası Dış Basında Türkiye BBC Türkçe 0700 1800 – VOA Türkçe 0630 1345 2130 DW - (UTC) 0830 1130 1530 Turkish Press Review Google News Turkey TurcoPundit ASAM

Google News Fırat News Agency KurdishMedia Kurdish Kurdish Aspect Dış Basında Irak BBC Monitoring Inter-national

Kirkuk Benchmark for Tolerance?

Iraq's Kurds to elect parliament on May 19

Cevdet Aşkın

Google News Greece Cyprus Turkish Cypriot Press ABHaber Dış Basında Türkiye-AB İlişkileri Günlük Haftalık

Ergenekon and Turkey’s fourth ‘D’ Cyprus
Cyprus Observer

Almanya Vatandaşlık Testini 'Başarılı' Buluyor

Hedo Okur Tuncay Nihat Altintop

H3

Son Dakika Milliyet Hürriyet Zaman GH Türkiye

Birinci Sayfalar Akşam Birgün Bugün Cumhuriyet Dünya Hürriyet Milli Gazete Milliyet Posta Radikal Referans Sabah Star Taraf Tercüman Türkiye Vakit Vatan Yeni Şafak Zaman Arşiv

Video NTV CNNTürk Milliyet

Cengiz Çandar

Ahmet Taşgetiren

Ruşen - Çakır

Taha Akyol

Fikret Bila

Hasan Cemal

Murat Yetkin

İsmet Berkan

Fehmi Koru

Taha Kıvanç

Şamil Tayyar

Ali Bayramoğlu

Yasemin Çongar

Ertuğrul Özkök

Hasan Ünal

Ahmet Hakan

M Ali Birand

Cüneyt Ülsever

Enis Berberoğlu

Oktay Ekşi

Özdemir İnce

Mehmet Y Yılmaz

MUHARREM SARIKAYA

ERDAL ŞAFAK

ENGİN ARDIÇ

ERGUN BABAHAN

EMRE AKÖZ

Umur Talu

HASAN BÜLENT KAHRAMAN

NAZLI ILICAK

MEHMET BARLAS

MAHMUT ÖVÜR

YAVUZ DONAT

Ekonomi

ABDURRAHMAN YILDIRIM

Ercan Kumcu

Erdal Sağlam

H4 New York Times Iraq’s Victory, Iran’s Loss By JOHN R. BOLTON Uncomfortable though it may be for some on the American left to admit, Iraq’s provincial elections show that the “surge” continues to work, politically and militarily.

Iraq Voted. Did Democracy Win?

Iraqis went to the polls for the fourth time, with elections in 14 of the country’s 18 provinces. Three Iraqi bloggers share their impressions of the day.

Obama’s Ethics Reform Promise Faces Early Test After vowing to usher in a new era of responsibility, President Obama has shown a willingness to compromise between campaign rhetoric and the realities of Washington.

American U.N. Official Is Abducted in Pakistan

Disparate Iraqis Vote for Stability and Security

Greek Farmers Clash With Riot Police

Qaddafi, as New African Union Head, Will Seek Single State

China Puts Joblessness for Migrants at 20 Million

Bombing Blocks Supply Route for Afghan War

Bomber Kills 21 Policemen in Afghanistan

DAVID BROOKS Ward Three Morality Rich people no longer get to set their own rules. Now they are set by people who live in Ward Three, a section of Northwest Washington, D.C.

BOB HERBERT Risking the Future

We do not seem to learn much from history. Time and again an economic boom has followed a period of sustained infrastructure investment.

H5 Washington Post Maliki Supporters Post Election Gains

Preliminary Results Show Iraq Leaning Toward a Strong Central Government

No Time to Be Cutting the Defense Budget By Robert Kagan, Five reasons for Obama to repudiate calls to weaken our armed forces.

Hill Tapped as Ambassador to Iraq

Assistant Secretary of State Was Top N. Korea Negotiator

Panel: Future Economic Bright Spots

Chinese Official Outlines Ways to Lessen Unrest Triggered by Economic Downturn

Local Leaders Must Reach Out To Protesters, Official Counsels

21 Afghan Police Die in Taliban Bombing — Suicide Attack Was the Second Major Strike in Two Days

American Abducted in Pakistan

Kidnapping Underscores Deteriorating Security Across the Country

Idiots of the Universe - On Planet Wall Street, $18 Billion in Bonuses

On Planet Wall Street, $18 Billion in Bonuses By Eugene Robinson, The latest round of bonuses suggests a failure to comprehend Wall Street's new standing.

Obama's Stimulus Plan: $100 Billion and Little Change By Richard Cohen,

Obama's stimulus is mostly more of the same -- especially when it comes to education.

Obama Is Upbeat On Stimulus Plan

Lawmakers' Differences 'Modest,' He Says

Editorial

H6 Guardian Democratic dawn in Iraq William Shawcross: Polling was peaceful, the results encouraging. We could yet be looking at a model for Arab states

Guantánamo: what would Niebuhr do? Alan Johnson: President Obama wants to face the dilemmas surrounding the camp's closure, borrowing a sensibility from his favourite philosopher

Bad news about the news Maura Kelly: Today is 'National buy a newspaper day' in America – as the US print media's survival becomes a charity case

Bad bank, bad plan Dean Baker: Barack Obama's plan to subsidise failing banks is a bad deal. Instead, the US should take posession of them

Gunmen kidnap UN official in PakistanKilling of 21 policemen in Afghanistan underlines the escalating violence in both countries

,

Rift with EU as US sticks to Bush line on 'war on drugs' Negotiations, which have been going on for three months, are due to resume with no indication of a breakthrough

Winter discontent Editorial: Every effort must be made to ensure economic anxieties do not spill over into xenophobia

H7 Geopolitical Diary: NATO Members Free To Seek Iran's Assistance NATO's senior military commander has said individual alliance members can work out deals with Iran for the transit of supplies to their troops in Afghanistan.

Ahmadinejad rides the American tide Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadinejad has thrown his hat into the ring for another term, and if he manages to distract attention from his four years of unfilled promises by continuing with his “death to America” rhetoric he just might win again. Meanwhile, opponents of the hardliner are furious that reformist Mohammad Khatami has not yet presented his nomination for the June elections. - Sami Moubayed

Hard Lessons: The Iraq Reconstruction Experience
Source: Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction High resolution cover (PDF; 421 KB) + Full Report (PDF; 2.1 MB) + End notes (PDF; 581 KB)

Fixing a Broken World

The Economist In almost any discussion of world affairs, there is one thing on which doves and hawks invariably agree: much more needs to be done to shore up states that are failing, in a state of collapse, or so poor that they are heading in that direction.

Global Freedom in Decline for Third Consecutive YearBY: Ezekiel Tan | Diplomatic Courier Freedom House released the results of preliminary findings of its annual survey of global political rights and civil liberties on January 12, 2009. The full 2009 survey will be available in late spring 2009. Freedom in the World, the international non-governmental organization’s flagship publication, has been published on an annual basis since 1972 with survey ratings and narrative reports on 193 countries and 16 disputed territories.

Economic Death Spiral at the Pentagon by Chalmers Johnson and Tom Engelhardt

Time for a Defense Policy That Defends America by Doug Bandow

Time's Up on Mideast Solution - Arnaud de Borchgrave, Washington Times

Who are the 'extraordinary' Muslims? Asia Times Most Muslims want to better their lives, as United States President Barack Obama told an Arabic television channel last week, but their lives are getting worse rather than better, and nothing they know can make things better. In theory, there might be a future in which the Islamic world could live in peace and prosperity, but today's Muslims cannot get there from here

The Iranian Revolution at 30 - Clifford May, Washington Times

Gaddafi vows to push Africa unity
Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi vows to pursue a United States of Africa, as he is elected African Union chairman.

Iran: BBC Persian TVs Alternative View Catches On with Iranian Viewers

Was Iran's Revolution A Success?

This week and next, Iran is marking the 30th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution. The 10 days of observances mark the time it took the revolution's leader, Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Kohomeini, to topple the last vestiges of the Shah's rule following his return to Iran on February 1. Since then, the Islamic Revolution has proved to be one of the world's most durable. But has it succeeded in making life better for ordinary Iranians?

H8 Iraq Updates IraqSlogger Google News Iraq Iran Syria Mideastwire.com - NPR Iraq

Iran Denies Rumors of High-Level US Talks

Sunnis, Nationalists Make Gains in Iraq

Iraq's Main Shi'ite Party Denies Election Setback

Centralizing Parties advancing in Iraq's Provincial Election Results

Iran makes first satellite launch

Iran launches its first domestically made satellite, described as "another achievement under sanctions".

Iran's first spy satellite launch Tuesday signifies nuclear-capable rocket in hand

Iraqi Military Puts Anbar Province Under Curfew

Iraq Tribes Threaten to Take Up Arms Over Election Fraud

Lead Negotiator in North Korea to Be Next Envoy to Iraq

H9 Ha’aretz ANALYSIS / Political infighting delaying Israel response to Gaza rockets Discord among Olmert-Livni-Barak troika holding IDF back even more than operational considerations

Iran claims it launched first home-made satellite into space

Elections 2009 / Livni: Election choice between Jewish and binational state

How the plot to assassinate Golda Meir was foiled Secret documents reveal how the NSA uncovered a Black September terrorist's 1973 plot to bomb NYC

Jerusalem Post

Don't Rebuild Gaza - Efraim Inbar, Jerusalem Post

The Palestinian revolution of rising expectations


When the material and educational standards rise, the people develop expectations.

The Israeli solution

[ CAROLINE GLICK, The best way to move forward is to reject the calls for a solution and concentrate instead on stabilization.

Yedioth Ahronoth

Failure in Gaza

Yehuda Wegman says leaders again wanted to create deterrence without the risk of casualties

Daily Alert.orgHebrew Press Editorials (2008) - Middle East Progress - EJC Israeli Press Review – Google News Israel - Palestine

How Will Obama Handle a 'Bibi' Israel? - Tony Karon, The National

CRS “Israel and Hamas: Conflict in Gaza (2008-2009),” January 15, 2009.

Gaza tunnel proposed Israeli defence minister proposes linking Gaza Strip with West Bank

World Court Investigates Israeli War Crimes

H10 Christian Science Monitor

Iran's waiting game for Obama

First, the US must deal with Europe to begin talks. But how impatient is it for quick results?

Moderate Islamists take on hard-liners in battle for Somalia

Sheikh Sharif Ahmed, a moderate, was elected president last week by Somalia's transitional parliament. But hard-line militant Islamists are fighting to take over the country.

In tough times, US consumers forging new behaviors

American spending has fallen further in the past six months than it has since 1974.

Pakistan: UN official's kidnapping highlights security threat

Gunmen abducted John Solecki, head of the UN refugee agency in Quetta, on his way to work Monday.

ASIA

Four Keys to Success in Afghanistan BY: Fareed Zakaria | The Washington Post The war in Afghanistan is not going well; almost all trends are moving in the wrong direction. But we still have time to focus, improve our strategy, calibrate our means.

CRS “War in Afghanistan: Strategy, Military Operations, and Issues for Congress” (pdf), January 23, 2009.

Will China Buy American Debt? - Gordon Chang, Commentary Magazine

Appointment of Richard Holbrooke Unnerves South Asia BY: Paul Richter | Los Angeles Times The new envoy, a veteran diplomat nicknamed 'the Bulldozer,' called the Afghan government a failure and put pressure on Pakistan to battle extremists.

American U.N. Official Is Abducted in Pakistan

Beijing rocked by 26 million lost jobs

What a Trade War with China Would Look Like - James Bacchus, Forbes

Beijing Strikes Out Against Tibet - Antoaneta Bezlova, Asia Times


Hillary Clinton's Challenge to China - Richard Holloran, Taipei Times

Obama Magic Unlikely to Work on India - Harsh Pant, Japan Times


Calling Pakistan's Bluff - Vir Sanghvi, Hindustan Times

Sri Lankan president says Tamil Tigers near defeat Civil war victory claim hours after nine die and 20 are injured in hospital shelling in rebel-held territory

Victory but not peace Editorial: The real challenge for the Sri Lankan government and the Tamil leaders will come after the guns fall silent

Fundamentalist parties have never figured prominently in Pakistan election outcomes

Taliban ideology echoes across the valley From being Pakistan's premier tourist destination, the Swat Valley is essentially off-limits as the Taliban forge ahead in their quest to implement sharia law. Taliban leader and spokesman Haji Muslim Khan traces the roots of this struggle to the system of government the country inherited from the British, and laments how his countrymen have become "slaves". Khan gives his side of the story over alleged Taliban misdeeds and in sourcing weapons, and reserves his strongest vitriol for "traitorous" Pashtuns. He speaks to Syed Saleem Shahzad. (Feb 2,'09)
This is the final article in a four-part series. Part 1: A battle before a battle
Part 2: Faceless Taliban rule
Part 3: Swat Valley: Whose war is this?

WSJ Iraq Waste Repeated in Afghanistan Waste and corruption that marred Iraq's reconstruction risks being repeated in Afghanistan, government watchdogs warned.

F-22 Export Ban, Collective Security Test U.S.-Japan Defense Ties BY: Jason Miks | World Politics Review Despite having denied newspaper reports that it is planning to drop its efforts to acquire the F-22 Raptor, the Japanese government seems no closer to securing an order of the stealth fighter in the face of an American export ban

Tough Rhetoric Is No Way to Sway Beijing BY: Lyric Hughes Hale | Financial Times The Chinese government is well aware of the dangers of a new US president. The Clinton administration began with a flurry of anti-Chinese rhetoric. This was reversed as both countries prospered, ushering in the golden age of US-China relations.

H11 IHT Obama on Al Arabiya

Obama said some things the Arab world needs to hear from the new American president.

WHY CHINA FEARS OBAMA

The danger of an attractive America

By JOHN LEE

Beijing is wary of a president who may revive U.S. leadership and influence.

EUROPE European press review

NATO Surge in Afghanistan Unlikely

Berlin Split on How to Deal with Obama - Der Spiegel

Population Aging and Pension Reforms in Europe: What is the Role of the EU in Meeting the Challenge?

Georgia: has Europe let Russia off the hook?

The Slovenian-Croatian Border Question IFIMES

H12 RFE/RL

Russia Deepens Gas Hegemony BY: Robert M. Cutler | ISN Security Watch Eastern Europe freezes as Brussels fiddles, while with Moscow's help Gazprom extends its grasp of energy production in the Caspian Sea region.

Moving target Russia revamps military to face new global realities

Georgia: A New Prime Minister Is Nominated, as President Fends Off Criticism over Turnover While Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili has downplayed any hint of instability in the government in Tbilisi, his spotty record with prime ministers is causing analysts to raise questions about the chain of command in Tbilisi.

Putinism On The Wane

Vladimir Putin tried to build an unshakable political system over the past decade. But with oil prices tanking and Russia's economy faltering, his vaunted "power vertical" is showing signs of strain. Suddenly, regional leaders are less willing to toe the Kremlin line, and schisms are even widening at the top.

Will There Be a Thaw in U.S.-Russian Relations? BY: Cathy Young | The Boston Globe If Obama's inaugural speech message will be the foundation of his policy on Russia, then the president has struck the right note, confronting autocracy but leaving the door open to partnership.

The Case for a Gas Transit Consortium in Ukraine: A Cost-Benefit Analysis CEPS A 13-page policy brief arguing for a comprehensive and robust solution to the Russia-Ukraine gas dispute

Faced with a Crippled Economy, Putin Strikes a Conciliatory Tone at Davos

Russia in outer darkness
Russian share prices are falling even as the oil price rises. This is the equivalent of outer space. No wonder that everyone in the Russian market - from the oligarchs down - is gasping for an oxygen mask and a safety belt. - John Helmer

Google News Azerbaijan

IndependentDissent Beginning to Spread Across Russia as Crisis Bites The Independent The Kremlin's rule is beginning to look much shakier than at any time since Vladimir Putin came to power, after a series of protests in cities across its vast landmass this weekend by Russians disgruntled about the economy. And as the country starts to feel the effects of the global credit crunch, there are also signs of a growing rift between Prime Minister Putin, and his hand-picked successor as President, Dmitry Medvedev.

Putin: No More Fat in Russia - Andrei Kortunov, Moscow Times

H13 The Times Selling China Wen Jiabao's tour of Western capitals underlines the fragility of China's prosperity

North Korea 'ready to test long range missile'Satellite image reportedly shows an object - likely a missile capable of striking the US - being transported through the country

Republicans threaten to block Obama rescue plan The President is facing intense opposition from Senate Republicans over the sheer scale of the proposed public spending

China's downturn hits 20 million migrant jobs Party orders complete obedience from army in face of threats to stability as downturn forces millions back to the land

India set to follow cheap car with £7 laptop Government-developed computer is latest in ultra-cheap engineering and will assist in bridging divide between rich and poor

What shoe? Chinese media silent over flying shoe The Chinese media reported glowing accounts of their Premier’s visit to Britain, but no mention of the shoe thrown at him

Wall Street Journal

Bret Stephens: Iraq Is Obama's Mideast Pillar

What Other Financial Crises Tell Us By Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff The lesson of history is grim: Expect a prolonged slump.

Congress's Phony War on Torture By William McGurn Why not ban waterboarding once and for all?

The IMF and the Global Crisis: Role and Reform Peterson Institute

H14 Financial Times When globalisation goes into reverse Intellectually, world leaders are convinced of the need to keep markets open. Politically, they are under pressure to respond to voters who are angry, frightened and demanding protection. Recent developments suggest angry citizens will take priority, writes Gideon Rachman

Niall Ferguson: Beyond the age of leverage: new banks must arise There is a better way to go – in the opposite direction. The aim must be not to increase debt but to reduce it, writes Niall Ferguson Beyond the age of leverage: new banks must ariseMore debt is not the answer, says Niall Ferguson

Chinese leadership besieged by caution Beijing is concerned above all to ensure that a sharp slump in growth does not trigger regime-threatening unrest

Drawing poison It is not for the sake of Wall Street that bank rescues are necessary; it is Main Street that needs working banks. While it is unclear which banks are safe, the sector will remain damaged

Averting a slump: it’s the politics, stupid Remember the 1930s, says Philip Stephens

Washington and Tehran

Beware of promising too much on lending Krishna Guha on Obama’s stimulus

The thrill is gone As the west’s drivers keep their vehicles for longer, carmakers are struggling to get back on the road to growth

Economists’ Forum A grand bargain? The world economy, already on its knees, cannot afford escalating economic tension between China and the US, writes Eswar Prasad. A grand bargain between the two countries is needed

Iran launches first home-made satellite Technology can be used for launching weapons

Khatami to mount reformist challenge Mohammad Khatami, Iran’s former president, is expected to announce he will contest the presidential elections in June, as pressure intensifies to unseat Ahmadi-Nejad

Talk turns to dialogue on Revolution Street Revolution Street earned its name 30 years ago, when students joined in the uprising that gave birth to an Islamic republic promising independence from centuries of foreign interference

Tough review of US weapons budget America’s defence industry is bracing itself for cuts to the government’s weapons budget after early signals from President Barack Obama’s administration of “hard choices” ahead

China to go on European spending spree Wen anxious to stem protectionism during London visit

Republican rhetoric hardens on stimulus Obama urges senators to put aside differences

Greek riot police quell farmer protest Riot police took over the Greek port of Piraeus on Monday to stop about 1,200 protesting olive oil producers from the island of Crete driving tractors into central Athens

H15 Los Angeles Times Iraq's provincial elections show the power of the tribe The support of a tribal leader can play a key role in getting a candidate elected

Iraq vote turnout fails to meet expectations Just over half of the country's voters cast ballots in provincial elections, and turnout is as low as 40% in at least one province. But officials, including U.S. envoy Crocker, express satisfaction.

Appointment of Richard Holbrooke unnerves South Asia The new envoy, a veteran diplomat nicknamed 'the Bulldozer,' called the Afghan government a failure and put pressure on Pakistan to battle extremists

EditorialThe nation needs jobs, not a political agenda Use the stimulus package to prop up the economy, not push a party line.

Political fight forming on financial regulation The Obama administration is under pressure to advocate new rules to prevent a repeat of the financial crisis.

H16 American Politics

Washington Lobbying Grew to $3.2 Billion Last Year, Despite Economy
Source: Center for Responsive Politics (OpenSecrets.org)

realclearpolitics memeorandum

Daily Beast Cheat Sheet

Politico ABC’s The Note MSNBC FirstReadTime ThePage Politico Playbook

PoliticsHome fivethirtyeight US News Political Bulletin

Poll: Republicans Want Party To Be Like Palin

H17 Daily Telegraph Obama is right to stick with rendition Obama's administration is finally coming to terms with the global security challenges it faces, writes Con Coughlin.

Life without the EU Parliament If the European Parliament disappeared, who would notice wonders Daniel Hannan.

Iraq's fragile elections Telegraph View: Fortunately, Iraq has come a long way since January 2007, when more than 2,000 people were killed.

H18 Independent A coup for Maliki and a secular Iraq

Patrick Cockburn: Voters have rebuffed religious parties – and cemented the power of the Prime Minister.

Leading article: Iraq takes a step forward

Dominic Lawson: Nationalism has its roots in socialism as well as fascism

H19 Military Intelligence Terrorism

Quadrennial Roles and Missions - Review Report (PDF; 1.3 MB)
Source: U.S. Department of Defense

Moving target

Russia revamps military to face new global realities

Tough review of US weapons budget America’s defence industry is bracing itself for cuts to the government’s weapons budget after early signals from President Barack Obama’s administration of “hard choices” ahead

CRS “Homeland Security Intelligence: Perceptions, Statutory Definitions, and Approaches,” updated January 14, 2009.

“Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty: Background and Current Developments,” updated January 28, 2009.

F-22 Export Ban, Collective Security Test U.S.-Japan Defense Ties BY: Jason Miks | World Politics Review Despite having denied newspaper reports that it is planning to drop its efforts to acquire the F-22 Raptor, the Japanese government seems no closer to securing an order of the stealth fighter in the face of an American export ban

Barack Obama Grants CIA Permission to Retain Right to carry Out Renditions The London Times Under executive orders signed on January 22, the CIA appears to have preserved its authority to carry out renditions – by which hundreds of terrorist suspects have been abducted and transferred to prisons in countries with questionable human rights records such as Egypt, Morocco or Jordan.

H20 Slate

Off-limits US oil, gas worth $1.7 trillion to government: study
Source: American Petroleum Institute (ICF International)

H21

Except for the miracles of Sherman’s and Grant’s decisive victories in the field, Lincoln would have been defeated in 1864. How different things would look... more»

Like it or not, maybe as much as 40% of your political attitudes are determined by your genes. James Q. Wilson explains... more»

A perfect forgery may give us the same visual pleasure as an original, but we still feel cheated: it lacks the originality of mind we expect fom art... more»

What does a woman want? Does she know? Does science know? Is this a deeply unanswerable question?... more»

Malcolm Gladwell’s nifty little stories may seem on the face of it to explain his general rules. Often they do not... more»

India to unveil the £7 laptop Government hopes world's cheapest mini-computer will bridge the digital divide between rich and poor

Google and Nasa back new school for futurists New university envisions self-improving computers

Cash on delivery

The movement to give every American a trust fund at birth. (By Rebecca Tuhus-Dubrow, Boston Globe)

Twitter -- The Tedium of the Medium

Technology has given us tools to overcommunicate a lot of uninteresting stuff.

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Foreign Policy Blogs Passport : Tom Ricks : Dan Drezner : Stephen Walt : David Rothkopf : Marc Lynch : The Cable : Madam Secretary : Shadow Govt. : The Argument : The Call

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U.S. foreign policy, Middle East, Turkey and Beyond

ABD dış politikası, Orta Doğu, Türkiye ve Ötesi

Şanlı Bahadır Koç,


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Makaleler


Ankara ve Güneydeki Riskler 29 Aralık 2011
İslamcı Dalga Üzerine 5 Aralık 2011
Ankara’ya Suriye ile İlgili Bazı Tahlil, Tahmin, Uyarı ve Öneriler 2 Kasım 2011
İran ile İlgili Son Amerikan İddiaları ve Türkiye 16 Ekim 2011
Ankara Suriye’de “Rejim Değişikliği” Politikasına Geçerken 28 Eylül 2011
Türk Dış Politika Gündemine Dair 7 Kısa Not 6 Eylül 2011
“Zafer İlan Et ve Kaç:” ABD ve Afganistan’dan “Sorumluca” Çekilmenin Mantığı 23 Haziran 2011
Orta Doğu'da Durum Raporu 25 Mayıs 2011
Bin Ladin’in Öldürülmesi Üzerine Notlar 25 Mayıs 2011
Bin Ladin’in Öldürülmesi Üzerine 15 Kısa Not 3 Mayıs 2011
ABD ve Karadeniz Nisan 2011

Türkiye Beşar’a Ne Demeli? Suriye'de “52 Cuma” Reformsuz Geçmez 20 Nisan 2011
Amerika-Sonrası Dünyanın Provası Olarak Libya Krizi ve Türkiye 22 Mart 2011
“Demokratikleştiremediklerimizden misiniz?”: Orta Doğu’daki Değişim Dalgasının Neden, Şekil ve Olası Sonuçları 10 Şubat 2011
Analiz Üzerine Notlar 14 Ocak 2011
Wikileaks Üzerine Notlar ve Yorumlar 23 Aralık 2010
Enerji ve Güvenliği Üzerine Notlar 29 Kasım 2010
Amerikan Travması ve Kongre Seçimleri 23 Kasım 2010
Füze Savunması Üzerine 20 Soru ve 5 Seçenek 20 Ekim 2010
Obama Ekibinde Yaprak Dökümü - Beyaz Saray’dan Kaçış mı? 12 Ekim 2010
"Kürt Devleti" Üzerine Notlar ve Çeşitlemeler 23 Eylül 2010
Mullen’ın Ankara Ziyareti 7 Eylül 2010
ABD’nin Afganistan’daki Seçenekleri 24 Ağustos 2010
Financial Times Haberinin Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri Üzerine Düşündürttükleri 18 Ağustos 2010
İsrail-ABD-İran-Türkiye Dörtgeni 26 Temmuz 2010
Bay Netanyahu Washington’a Gitti: Böyle mi Olacaktı, Obama? 16 Temmuz 2010
Stratejik Dehlizlerde Derinlik Sarhoşluğu: Bir AKP Dış Politikası Eleştirisi Temmuz 2010
Rus Casusluk Olayı: "John Le Carre mi, Austin Powers mı?" 5 Temmuz 2010
“Mahalleye Hoş Geldin”:Türkiye’nin Orta Doğu’da İlk Günü 02 Haziran 2010
Nükleer Takas: “Savaşı Bitiren Anlaşma” mı, “Acem Oyunu” mu? 20 Mayıs 2010
ABD Irak’tan Çekilirken Riskler ve Hesaplar 1 Mayıs 2010
ABD-İsrail İlişkilerinde “Normalleşme” Sancıları 22 Nisan 2010
Obama’nın Nükleer Cazibe Taarruzu: Bardağın Üçte Biri Dolu 9 Nisan 2010
ABD-İsrail İlişkilerinde “Tektonik Kayma” mı? 5 Nisan 2010
Irak Seçimleri: Sonun Başlangıcı, Başlangıcın Sonu 19 Mart 2010
Ermeni Karar Tasarısı Üzerine Notlar, Yorumlar ve Öneriler 8 Mart 2010
Ermeni Karar Tasarısı Üzerine Notlar, Yorumlar ve Öneriler 8 Mart 2010 (word)
Bütçe Açığı ve Amerikan Gerilemesinin Ekonomi Politiği 19 Şubat 2010
Cemaat-skeptic 6 Ocak 2010
AKP bir seçim daha kazanırsa burası FC olur 4 Ocak 2010
ABD bu işin neresinde? 29 Aralık 2009
Türkiye-Ermenistan Protokolü Üzerine Düşünceler 3 Eylül 2009
"Obama’nın Savaşı":AfPak Üzerine Notlar 20 Nisan 2009
Obama’nın Ardından 17 Nisan 2009
Obama’nın Türkiye Gezisi ve Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri 19 Mart 2009
ABD ve Orta Doğu Barış Süreci Mart 2009
Obama’nın “Kırkı Çıkarken” Mart 2009

ABD-PKK “İlişkisi” Üzerine Notlar Şubat 2009
Mahşerin Üç Atlısı: Ross, Holbrooke ve Mitchell 5 Şubat 2009
SOFA ABD için Irak’ta “Sonun Başlangıcı” mı? Ocak 2009
Obama Döneminde ABD ve Asya 15 Ocak 2009
Obama’nın Güvenlik Kabinesi Üzerine Notlar 4 Aralık 2008
Yeni ABD Başkanı Obama ve Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri 6 Kasım 2008
ABD Başkanlık Seçimlerinin Türk-Amerikan İlişkilerine Muhtemel Etkileri 30 Ekim 2008
ABD Başkanlık Seçimleri Ekim 2008
Obama’nın Biden’ı Tercihinin Bir Tahlili 26 Ağustos 2008
Amerikan Sağı Üzerine Notlar Ağustos 2008
Gürcistan Krizi, ABD ve Türkiye 11 Ağustos 2008
Obama'nın Dış Gezisi 29 Temmuz 2008
Başkan Bush’un Avrupa Gezisi ve Transatlantik İlişkileri 18 Haziran 2008
ABD Seçimleri (ppt) - 10 Haziran 2008
"Sessiz Tsunami": Global Gıda Krizi (ppt) - 29 Nisan 2008
Amiral Fallon'un İstifası 13 Mart 2008
ABD ve PKK İlişkisi Üzerine Notlar 22 Kasım 2007
“İçeride Liberal, Dışarıda Şahin”: K. Irak’a Harekat Üzerine Notlar 25 Ekimy 2007
K.Irak'a Ekonomik Müeyyideler Üzerine Sorular 25 Ekimy 2007
Irak "Hamle"sinin Muhasebesi Eylül 2007
Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri - Yeni Dönemin Gündemi Eylül 2007
ABD, K. Irak ve Türkiye Üzerine Notlar ve Sorular Haziran 2007
ABD ve Orta Doğu: "Müflis mirasyedi" mi "stratejik deha" mı? Mayıs 2007
Recommendations for Strengthening U.S.-Turkish Relations February 26, 2007
ABD'nin Irak'taki Seçenekleri Ocak 2007
'Topal Ördek'le İki Yıl Daha: 2006 Kongre Seçimleri Aralık 2006
U.S.: Empire, Gulliver or the “First Among Unequals” (ppt) - ASAM 2023 Conference - October 2006
Türk-Amerikan İlişkilerinde “İkinci Bahar” mı, “Sonun Başlangıcı” mı? Stratejik Analiz - Haziran 2006 -
Irak’ta Direnişin ve İşgalin Gölgesinde Demokrasi Deneyi Avrasya Dosyası - İslam ve Demokrasi Özel Sayısı
Gurur ve Önyargı: ABD İran Gerginliği ve Türkiye Stratejik Analiz Nisan 2006 - (pdf)
Arzın Merkezine Seyahat: ABD Ulusal Güvenlik Konseyi - Journey to the Center of the World: U.S. National Security Council Avrasya Dosyası 2005
Dört Tarz-ı Siyaset: Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri ve Başbakan Erdoğan’ın Washington Ziyareti Temmuz 2005
11 Eylül’den Sonra Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri: Eski Dostlar mı Eskimeyen Dostlar mı? Avrasya Dosyası - 2005
“Dört Yıl Daha”: Yeni Bush Yönetimi ve Dünya Aralık 2004
2004’ten 2005’e Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri Aralık 2004
Türkiye, Iraklı Kürtler ve Statükonun Meşruiyeti Nisan 2004 - eksik
Askerî Alanda Devrim: Askerî Bir Senfoni Ocak 2004
Çirkin Amerikalı’ ile ‘Güven Bunalımı’: ‘Süleymaniye Krizi ve Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri Temmuz 2003 - ( pdf )
The Middle East: A Land of Opportunity and Peril for Turkey - May 2003
Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri Üzerine Notlar: Ataerkil Yapıdan Tüccar Mantığına mı? Mayıs 2003
Türkiye, ABD ve Irak Harekâtı: Hayır Diyebilen Türkiye? - Şubat 2003
Değişim, ‘Sense of Proportion’ ve Tarihin Yararları ile Sınırları Üzerine Nisan 2003
ABD Güvenlik Politikalarında Güç Kullanımı ve Caydırıcılık Ağustos 2002
“Yalnız Kovboy” ya da “Eşit Olmayanlar Arasında Birinci”: ABD Dış Politikasında Tektaraflılık-Çoktaraflılık Tartışmaları Mart 2002
İyi, Kötü ve Çirkin: ABD'nin Orta Doğu Politikaları Ocak 2002
Unilateralism corrupts, absolute unilateralism corrupts absolutely Turkish News, May 21, 2002
ABD ve Afganistan: Çıkış Var mı? Kasım 2001
Realism and Change
Crime and Punishment - Deterrence and its Failure in Theory and Practice 2001
“Tüketebileceğimizden Daha Fazla Değişim” ya da Eskimeyen Dünya Düzeni Ekim 2001
“ABD-AB İlişkilerinde Metal Yorgunluğu” Haziran 2001
It never rains circa. 1991.
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