| H1 Stratfor Fourth Quarter Forecast 2007 New York Times Washington Sees an Opportunity on Iran Senate Urges Bush to Declare Iran Guard a Terrorist Group Los Angeles Times Senate endorses policy to create a Balkans-style Iraq Washington Post Senate Endorses Plan to Divide Iraq: Action Shows Rare Bipartisan Consensus Defense Secretary Gates Seeks $190B for Wars New request is $42.3 billion more than initial projection; Gates says money is necessary to refurbish equipment and consolidate bases in Iraq. Israel, Syria and the Glaring Secret
Stratfor By George Friedman How to Build U.S.-Iran Relations By: Abbas Maleki and Kaveh L. Afrasiabi | The Boston Globe
The ongoing saga between Iran and the United States, more than a quarter of a century old, has all the marking of a potentially serious, even catastrophic, chapter in international relations. Wall Street Journal Bush and Iran Tehran has been told it will pay a price for killing Americans, but it never has The World Can Live With a Nuclear Iran Martin van Creveld | CFR A Conversation with Stephen J. Hadley [Rush Transcript; Federal News Services] Gareth Porter Hawks Win Round on Iraq Escalation? Kristol: Bush Dropped The Ball On Ahmadinejad Heritage Foundation Iran: Time for Sanctions of the Willing FT WORLD NEWS: Germans hit back in row over fresh curbs on Iran EU fears Kosovo deadlock Relations with Russia head for more trouble as an impasse over Kosovo raised the danger of instability spreading across a broader area of eastern Europe and Transcaucasia COMMENT: The Fed must weigh inflation against the risk of recession The Fed may have been right to be bold, but it cannot be foolhardy about inflation, writes Martin Wolf Education at a Glance 2007: OECD Indicators OECD NYRB The Victor? By Peter W. Galbraith Of all the unintended consequences of the Iraq war, Iran's strategic victory is the most far-reaching. Saddam Hussein 'wanted $1bn exile deal' Brzezinski on the power to control vs. power to destroy CFR Sick: Iranian Leader Sees Trip to New York as ‘Successful’ The Iran-Israel tangle, Trita Parsi The Possible Costs to the United States of Maintaining a Long-Term Military Presence in Iraq (PDF; 56 KB) Congressional Budget Office Foreign Policy Seven Questions: Is the Surge Working in Iraq? The List: Five Population Trends to Watch
Seven Questions: The World According to John Bolton Seven Questions: The Israel Lobby Revisited
American Conservative Easy Out
By Gregory Cochran Don’t overestimate the logistical impediments to a quick withdrawal. A Separate Peace By Leon Hadar
Iraq will move forward when America leaves it behind. Open Fire By Paul W. Schroeder
Americans still don’t understand that the Iraq War didn’t go wrong. The war was wrong. Asia Times The Iraq oil grab that went awry
US officials have consistently dismissed the notion that the Iraq war was all about oil as too simple-minded for serious debate. Now former Federal Reserve chief Alan Greenspan has waded in, writing that "the Iraq war is largely about oil". The dreams of black gold have spawned a story of greed, mismanagement and incompetence of spectacular proportions. - Dilip Hiro Asia Times Russia is far from oil's peak Russia has a radically different scientific approach to discovering oil, turning the Peak Oil theory on its head. With Moscow possessing this geopolitical trump card, it is not surprising that the US has gone about erecting a "wall of steel" - military bases and anti-missile shields - around Russia to cut its pipeline and port links to western Europe, China and the rest of Eurasia. - F William Engdahl How to Save Globalization from its Cheerleaders Source: Harvard University, Kennedy School of Government, Faculty Research Working Paper Series Full Paper (PDF; 264 KB) A Diplomatic Road to Damascus: The Benefits of U.S. Engagement with Syria Independent Institute Global Energy, Economic Interdependence, Iraq And the Gulf Source: Center for Strategic & International Studies Full Document (PDF; 528 KB) Nuclear Energy in the Next Quarter Century: The IAEA’s Role Source: International Crisis Group "Syrian Nuclear Science Bibliography: Open Literature Citations," September 2007. Why Climate Change Can't Be Stopped By: Paul J. Saunders and Vaughan Turekian | Foreign Policy Environmental advocates have finally managed to put the issue of global warming at the top of the world’s agenda. But the scientific, economic, and political realities may mean that their efforts are too little, too late. We must avoid missing terrorism's forest for the trees By Dominique Moisi Christian Science Monitor Bush's fiscal legacy: bigger debt Indebtedness of $5.5 billion will limit future US spending options. How to Deal with Iran - Joe Conason, New York Observer Talking to the Enemy: Track Two Diplomacy in the Middle East and South Asia
Source: RAND Corporation Summary (PDF; 164 KB)
+ Full Document (PDF; 890 KB) Getting the Policies Right: The Prioritization and Sequencing of Policies in Post-Conflict Countries Source: RAND Corporation Summary (PDF; 123 KB)
+ Full Document (PDF; 1.2 MB) USIP Engaging Moderate Islamists: Democratic Promise or Political Peril? Listen to the audio from this event. 1:56:56 - 21.4MB Dan Drezner Is the United States more anxious than it used to be?
Beyond the Bleak Binary Choice Revisited: Countering a Nuclear-Armed Iran with Dr. Gary Samore Geopolitical Diary: Setting the US Stage for Iranian Talks | H2 PKK'lı Karayılan da paketlenecek CFR Tend to Turkey - Council on Foreign Relations Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall Fall 2007 Democracy: A Journal of Ideas Washington silent over Gen. Başbuğ's criticism Erdoğan, Livni’ye yakıt tanklarını sordu ABD, ihtiyaç fazlasını Türkiye üzerinden çekiyor ABD, Türkiye üzerinden çekiliyor Kuzey Irak'ta Mehmetciğe şartlı vize 'Sıcak takip' yeniden Sınıra irtibat büroları Irak'la sıcak takip krizi Anlaşma tamam, Irak'tan sıcak takibe yeşil ışık Iraq gives green light for hot pursuit Turkey, Iraq Agree on Kurdish Rebels Irak ile imza bugün Irak’ın izniyle ’ara sıcak’ takip Turkey, Iraq in 'Kurd rebel deal' İran 'maliyeti artırdı' Tahran'ın, Irak'ın Kürt bölgesinde bir İranlı yetkilinin ABD tarafından tutuklanmasına tepki olarak Kuzey Irak'la olan sınırını kapatmasının Kürt bölgesi ekonomisine günlük maliyetinin 1 milyon d...» Babacan, Rice'tan PKK için destek istedi Iraq, Turkey to Sign an Anti-Terrorism Pact Targeting Kurdish Militants Ahmadinejad: US has no role in gas deal with Turkey ABD'den İran ültimatomu Irak'la PKK'ya karşı anlaşma Mutabakatın ve yapılacak anlaşmanın arkasındayız Turkey's Botas says Iran is important gas partner Reuters CSM Iraqi oil exports to north rise Attacks fall sharply on oil pipeline to Turkey thanks to new security measures. EDM EXPECTATIONS LOW FOR AL-BULANI VISIT TO ANKARA TO DISCUSS MEASURES AGAINST THE PKK Google News KurdishMedia Kurdish Kurdish Aspect BBC Monitoring ‘KDP, PKK’lıların peşmerge olmasını istiyor’ PKK'lılara seslendi: Peşmerge olun Belediye aracıyla PKK'ya yardıma 25 yıl hapis Kurdistan Tries To Rebuild Economy Irak’ın üçe bölünmesi planına ABD’de onay Rice: "PKK bitirilmeli"
ERDAL ŞAFAK DTP'nin çilesi! Lale Sarıibrahimoğlu Legality of crazy acts? Babacan'dan Zebari'ye serzeniş Border closure costs Iraqi Kurdistan $1 million a day Exclusive: Know Thy Enemy: The Kurdistan Worker's Party
Family Security Matters, Iraq Awards Kirkuk Oil Tender To ExxonMobil, Tupras -SOMO -3- Iranian Border Closure Roils Kurdistan; Is Weapons Baiting a War Crime? Iraqi Kurdish Press Highlights 26 Sep 07 Iraqi Kurdistan "Stuck" Between Two Allies, Iran and USA - Article Kurdish Islamic Party Says Iraqi Government Should Be Reformed, Not Dismantled Iraqi Kurdish Article Sees KDP-PUK Pact As Repression of Freedom Tehran Suspects Iraqi Kurds Participated in Arrest of Iranian - Paper Iraqi Kurdish Writer Says USA "Undermining" Regional Government Iraqi Kurdish Article Says Good Relations With Iran Should Have a Limit Syrian Kurdish Parties Need Regeneration, Stronger Leadership - Article US working with Turkey to deal with PKK: Casey PKK'nın kadın bölge sorumlusu öldürüldü Iraqi Kurdish Official Comments on Influx of Migrants into Mosul Syria to Try 49 Kurds in a Military Court - Paper PKK'ya malzeme taşıyanlara hapis Yine yürekler yandı "Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) in Iraq and Afghanistan: Effects and Countermeasures," updated August 28, 2007. Kürdsüz Kürd Konferansı Rice: PKK'nın bütün dünyada bitirilmesi önemli Batıdan teminat getirmeyen şirkete Doğu'da kredi yok [SOUTHEAST’S BASIC ISSUE: ECONOMY-2] IN-DEPTH NEWS - Banks discriminate against southeastern SMEs PKK'nın kadın bölge sorumlusu öldürüldü İran'a yatırıma yaptırım tasarısı ABD Senatosu, Irak üçe bölünsün tasarısını onayladı Iraqis fleeing Turkish shelling, migration group claims Batman'da 4 binden fazla aileye eve teslim yardım Giuliani to Meet With Iraqi President Talabani Suicide epidemic striking Kurdish women Tahran'dan önce Şam 'düşürülecek'
ABDULBARİ ATWAN Google News Greece Cyprus Turkish Cypriot Press ABHaber Kouchner kafa karıştırdı Sami KOHEN Sarkozy değişti mi? Ankara, Paris to establish working group on EU Türkiye'ye enerji naklinde AB'yle işbirliği çağrısı Ekrem Dumanlı EU ‘behind closed doors’ AB, başörtüsü yasağını anlamakta zorlanıyor Bekir Coşkun AB’yi unutun... 'Siyasi manevra' AP üyesi Marco Cappato, 'Türkiyesiz euroları' yorumladı TÜSİAD AB'den daha güçlü destek istedi Türkiye bugün davet mektubu bekliyor BBC Back on track
The outlook could be getting brighter for Turkey's EU entry bid
Man on a mission Karamanlis faces big reform test after Greek poll triumph US Flip-Flops on Caspian Gas BusinessWeek Barçın Yinanç Fransıza sopa yerine havuç
C. Cem OĞUZ
AB’ye vizesiz giriş henüz mümkün değil Amerikalı senatörlerin imaj sorgusu Merkel offers closer cooperation on EU Far right wins battle for history in Greece Greek government withdraws controversial history textbook Rauf Denktaş Görüşmelere devam (?) [ARMENIAN RESOLUTION TAKES US-TURKEY RELATIONS HOSTAGE-2] Malaysia vs. Turkey cafebabel.com Business forum held to boost Turco-Russian relations
Sylvia TIRYAKI
Korkusuzca tartışmak yararlı
YUSUF HALAÇOĞLU Kuraklık 453 bin çiftçiyi etkiledi, fatura 3 milyar YTL TCDD'de terör önlemleri alınıyor "Su sıkıntısı zamanında yatırımla çözülür" "Göçmenlere DNA testi" tasarısına ret Memur maaşına basamak sistemi geliyor Türkiye hızlı trenine kavuşuyor Türkiye yolsuzluk liginde 4 sıra düştü Cumhuriyet boyunca 712 kişi idam edildi Emekli maaşında yüzde 25 zam için Sezer tebrik etmedi Gül göklere çıkardı Sebahattin Önkibar Sabah-ATV için Gül-Erdoğan çekişmesi! Hilton arazisi hâlâ SİT alanı Demirkent Ödülü Utku Çakırözer'e Tanjevic İçini Zaman'a döktü: Niye istifa edeyim bana güven tam Ünlü hacker’dan Uzanlar ve Kamhi’ye sanal tuzak 27 Eylül 2007 Basın Özeti | H3 Fikret BİLA TSK'nın ABD'den beklediği nedir? M. Ali BİRAND Orgeneral Başbuğ için asıl sorun Kuzey Irak... Semih İDİZ Orgeneral Başbuğ'un çıkışının Batı'daki yankıları İsmail Küçükkaya O sözlerin şifresi Şükrü Küçükşahin ABD’den beklenen jest Referandumda halk EVET derse ne olur Ruşen Çakır| TÜRKİYE MALEZYA OLUR MU? İki anayasa taslağının arasında 31 ciddi fark Prof. Özbudun'un, başka ekiple 2000'de TOBB için hazırladığı anayasa, AKP'ye yapılandan 31 yerde farklı: İlkinde ifade daha özgür, türban yok, gözaltı kısa Prof. Köker’e göre taslaktaki Avrupa ruhu Taha AKYOL Hükümetten yeşil ışık Ertuğrul Özkök Cümle hatalarına bile dokunmadık
ALİ BAYRAMOĞLU Hürriyet Gazetesi'nin niyeti ne? Cüneyt Ülsever Bir 21 Ekim senaryosu Suat Kınıklıoğlu The illusion of Turkish-American partnership HASAN BÜLENT KAHRAMAN Amerika ve Türkiye ERDAL ŞAFAK DTP'nin çilesi! Liberallerin kırılma noktaları
İsmet Berkan Bir referandum bir yerel seçim
Altan Öymen Anayasada doğru bir adım Tarhan Erdem
Malezya, mahalle ve Çankaya Nuray Mert Cengiz Çandar Lübnan’ın eylülü Türkiye’nin nisanı ASLI AYDINTAŞBAŞ Ahmedinecat ODTÜ'ye gelse...
SOLİ ÖZEL Kibir ve haysiyet Toptan 1 Ekim Meclis açılış konuşmasında Anayasa çağrısına hazırlanıyor Murat Yetkin Mustafa Erdoğan Anayasa ne anlamda bir sözleşmedir? Şamil Tayyar Doğmadan öldürülmesin 'Diplomat olmaya henüz çocukken karar verdim' Burak BEKDİL Modern Oluş Çiçeği Perihan Mağden Mustafa Karaalioğlu Bu kadarı ürkütücü Can Dündar Ilımlı İslam ve ABD (2) Vamıl Volkan Toplumsal çatışma tehlikesi görüyorum-1 Volkan: Türkiye’yi milliyetçilik kurtardı-2 Mehmet BARLAS En ciddi tehdit ve tehlike liberal demokrasidir... Erdoğan'ın yoğun diplomasi trafiği
Cengiz ÇANDAR
Fikret Ertan 6 Eylül'de ne oldu? 11 milyon üyeli sivil toplum örgütleri ekimde sivil anayasa zirvesi yapacak Sivil toplum, bireyi öne alan özgürlükçü bir anayasa istiyor Taha Kıvanç Fehmi Koru Sis perdesi Fehmi Koru Much ado about nothing DAVUT DURSUN Anayasa yapımı ve meşruiyet sorunu Hasan CEMAL Kafayı serin tutun! Mehmet Yılmaz Sıra ’ulusalcı - milliyetçi’ ilk 11’de! Yalçın Doğan Fikir babası Hisarcıklıoğlu Ahmet Hakan Yetişin komşular ’takımsız’ kaldım Oktay Ekşi Ölüm denenemez Yılmaz Özdil Euro haritası... MUHARREM SARIKAYA ERDAL ŞAFAK DTP'nin çilesi! ERGUN BABAHAN Kritik sözcük "ama" EMRE AKÖZ 'Ikınmanın' bu kadarı Umur Talu NAZLI ILICAK Mantık hataları MAHMUT ÖVÜR "Radikal demokrasi" zamanı mı? YAVUZ DONAT Şehit aileleri Köşk'e çıkarken İBRAHİM KARAGÜL İslamcıların ilk onbiri ve mahalle maçı
Mehmet Altan ikincicumhuriyet.org
[Yorum - Mümtaz'er Türköne] İşporta tezgahında darbe Gülay Göktürk “Oyun bozanlar” -
Son günlerin popüler konularından biri de liberallerin Ak Parti'ye verdiği destek... Anlaşılan "liboş" "takkeli" "Fetullahçı" "Ak Parti yardakçısı" gibi aşağılayıcı ve küçümseyici ifadelerle [Yorum - Nicole Pope] Kadın şahsiyeti bu kadar itibarsız mı? İhsan Dağı Who is afraid of the West and westernization? İbrahim Kalın A new form of bigotry: Islamophobia Andrew Finkel Out of the cold war and into the fire İlnur Çevik New constitution debate is creating more confusion
Güler Kömürcü
Panteizm grup kurar ise... AKP'yi durduran hukukçu ABDURRAHMAN YILDIRIM Hem para çekme, hem faiz düşürme formülü mü?
Güngör URAS IMF'nin hatalarını ödeye ödeye perişan olduk Ercan Kumcu IMF ile seçeneklerimiz Seyfettin Gürsel Sanayinin rekabet gücü eriyor World Bank’s report: business reforms on track in Turkey Salih Neftçi Merkez Bankası faizleri ve gıda enflasyonu Volkan Akı
İstikrarsızlığın bedeli ağır olur Hasan Ersel Yangın, itfaiyeci ve merkez bankacı Erdal SağlamHükümet sivil dilekçeyi iyi değerlendirmeli UPDATE 3-Turkey sells $1.25 bln bond, tests investor appetite UPDATE 1-Turkey sees 2007 imports at $160 bln-trade minister Yabancıya daha reel faiz
Mahfi Eğilmez Acil eylem planı? Fatih Özatay Hurşit GÜNEŞ 'Yeterli rezerv' ne kadar olmalı? 100 milyar dolar mı, 200 mü? Turkey intends to become patent champ Kuraklık 453 bin çiftçiyi etkiledi, fatura 3 milyar YTL [SOUTHEAST’S BASIC ISSUE: ECONOMY-2] IN-DEPTH NEWS - Banks discriminate against southeastern SMEs |
| Mohamed ElBaradei should insist that Iran do what the U.N. Security Council has ordered: Suspend enrichment and answer all questions. ROGER COHEN Refugees? What Refugees? Of all the Iraq war scandals, America’s failure to do more for refugees, including those who helped the U.S., stands out for its moral bankruptcy By VACLAV HAVEL As a result of our endeavors and our irresponsibility, our climate might leave no place for us. Sunni Insurgents in New Campaign to Kill Officials By: Alissa J. Rubin | The New York Times
Sunni Arab extremists have begun a systematic campaign to assassinate police chiefs, police officers, other Interior Ministry officials and tribal leaders throughout Iraq, staging at least 10 attacks in 48 hours. | H5 Washington Post Senate Endorses Plan to Divide Iraq: Action Shows Rare Bipartisan Consensus Defense Secretary Gates Seeks $190B for Wars New request is $42.3 billion more than initial projection; Gates says money is necessary to refurbish equipment and consolidate bases in Iraq. Pentagon Team To Study Oversight Of Security Firms Report Says Hussein Was Open To Exile Before 2003 Invasion: He Is Said to Have Sought $1 Billion and Information on Arms David Ignatius Markets' World of Worry Wake Up, America: Iran is Not What You Think
Editorial Save Burma | Will China and Russia give Burma a green light to slaughter monks? My Wonk Is Better Than Your Wonk
Early Warning | The battle for and of policy advisors to the presidential campaigns has surprisingly little to do with ideas Sunni Insurgents in New Campaign to Kill Officials By: Alissa J. Rubin | The Sunni Arab extremists have begun a systematic campaign to assassinate police chiefs, police officers, other Interior Ministry officials and tribal leaders throughout Iraq, staging at least 10 attacks in 48 hours. | H6 Guardian Divided and voiceless Sami Abdel-Shafi: Any progress in the Middle East must begin with building a peace among Palestinians. Diplomats accuse Bush of attempting to derail UN climate conference Fear that US will again reject limit on emissions. al-Quaida solidifies in Pakistan
Violence in Waziristan as President Musharraf battles to retain power. 165 Taliban killed in two battles in south Air and artillery strikes left more than 165 Taliban fighters dead, the US-led coalition said yesterday. Living up to the progressive ideal
World briefing: New UK foreign policy rhetoric is promising, but will deeds match words, asks Simon Tisdall. Leader The world looks on
Burma: Yesterday, what everyone feared would happen in Burma, started happening. Police sent in to disperse thousands of demonstrators in the administrative capital Rangoon opened fire on the protesters. Only Burma's neighbours can stop its dictators beating up the Buddha
Timothy Garton Ash: There is frustratingly little Europe and the US can do to halt the unfolding tragedy. India and China must take the lead. Pressure for a real break from Blairism is bound to intensify
Seumas Milne: It will take another election victory for Labour to abandon virtual politics and move on tax and inequality. Labour's new crime drive Labour to launch "zero tolerance" criminal justice drive and review of self-defence laws. |
| H7 Salon Does a bigger Army mean another Iraq? Every major presidential candidate, including the Democratic front-runners, wants a much bigger Army. But that means an Army expressly designed to fight another war like this one. By Mark Benjamin How to Build U.S.-Iran Relations By: Abbas Maleki and Kaveh L. Afrasiabi | The Boston Globe
The ongoing saga between Iran and the United States, more than a quarter of a century old, has all the marking of a potentially serious, even catastrophic, chapter in international relations. UPI Analysis: EU to support Iran sanctions? The United States and France are pushing for EU sanctions against Iran if those fail to be agreed upon at the United Nations, but it remains unclear how many other powers in Europe would support such a plan. Asia Times The Iraq oil grab that went awry
US officials have consistently dismissed the notion that the Iraq war was all about oil as too simple-minded for serious debate. Now former Federal Reserve chief Alan Greenspan has waded in, writing that "the Iraq war is largely about oil". The dreams of black gold have spawned a story of greed, mismanagement and incompetence of spectacular proportions. - Dilip Hiro Iran's New Fighter By: Reuben F. Johnson | The Weekly Standard
The latest in a series of "messages" being sent to the West is the news reported this past week of Ahmadinejad presiding over a military parade that featured a cornucopia of weapon systems now in the hands of the Iranian armed forces. Iran the Bully By: Peter Brookes | New York Post Ahmadinejad spent much of his U.N. speech yesterday complaining of “bullying” by the West. Funny - in addition to its well-known bloody works in Iraq and Lebanon, Tehran’s meddling in Afghanistan is a major, and rising, menace. Who's Afraid of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad? By: Jesse Walker | Reason When Ahmadinejad spoke at Columbia University yesterday, he did not emerge with the "propaganda victory" that neocon pundit Bill Kristol assured us he would receive. French Warmongering Aids Iran's Cause by Kaveh L. Afrasiabi State Dept: Corruption in Iraq Is Classified
by David Corn The dispute over Iran's nuclear program is far from over, despite Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's assertion before the U.N. General Assembly that his government considers the issue "closed." Boston Globe Editorial The Ahmadinejad distraction World Mustn't Ignore Iran's Extremism By: Frida Ghitis | Miami Herald
Watching Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad lecture the world from the podium at the United Nations, most people wonder whether the man with the strangely eerie smile is just an irritating figure from a curious land, or the president of a truly dangerous country that will end up in a major war with the United States and even Europe Financial Warfare Source: Foreign Policy Research Institute Even if Dems Win, Troops Likely to Stay - Carolyn Lochhead, SF Chronicle
Conditions in Iraq & Interference by Iran - John Burns, Hugh Hewitt Show
| H8 IraqSlogger Google News Iraq Iran Syria Mideastwire.com - NPR Iraq stratfor US Papers Thurs: War Budget Request Grows
Arabs Want Syria to Take Part in Peace Talks but in "Separate Room" - Paper New Study: Private Security Firms Hurt U.S. Mission in Iraq US Embassy Report on Corruption in Iraq US Embassy in Iraq Kuwaiti National Security and the U.S.-Kuwaiti Strategic Relationship after Saddam
Source: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College Full Paper (PDF; 438 KB) US to review Iraq security firms The US defence secretary orders a review of private security firms in Iraq following a shoot-out in which 11 died. Egypt angry at US rights comment Egypt brands Washington's criticism of its human rights record "unacceptable interference". Asia Times All power to the weak in LebanonIf the first round of Lebanon's presidential elections - postponed on Tuesday - is anything to go by, the country is in for a long haul in finding a replacement for Emile Lahoud. Powerful factions backed by powerful countries, notably Saudi Arabia, Syria and the United States, have strong likes and dislikes. A weak, malleable compromise choice looks the only way out. - Sami Moubayed Risk Grows of Horn of Africa Conflict By: Barney Jopson | Financial Times
Ethiopia has threatened to terminate the pact that ended its border war with Eritrea in 2000, a move that could bring the two countries closer to a new conflict in the Horn of Africa. In a letter sent on Tuesday, Seyoum Mesfin, Ethiopia's foreign minister, told Eritrea it had breached the agreements that ended the war and that one of Ethiopia's options was to respond by terminating all or part of those agreements. On Point Interviews Flynt Leverett on Iraq Oil
Iranian Daily: "The Intelligence That the West Currently Has on Iran's Nuclear Program is Limited to the Sites Accessible to IAEA Inspectors – And More Than That They Do Not Know"
Do not undermine moderate Islamists: The case of Muslim Brotherhood leader, Khayrat El-Shater Bush Threatened Retaliation Against Nations That Didn't Back Iraq War Jerusalem Post Islamic economics: what does it mean? | H9 Ha’aretz – Rabbi calls American Jewish community 'not too Jewish' Rosner: Ahmadinejad, cruel or not, is a world-class celebrity Syria willing to transfer disputed Shaba Farms to UN custody Jerusalem Post Nine Palestinians reported dead as Gaza violence intensifies Saudi FM calls summit 'encouraging' Prince says Saudis could recognize Israel after peace, calls to freeze building in settlements. BBC 'Eight die' in Israeli Gaza raids At least eight Palestinians are killed in two separate Israeli raids in the Gaza Strip, Palestinian officials say. US Intel: Israeli Air Strike on Syria Did Not Hit Nuclear Facility Daily Alert.org – Middle East Progress - EJC Israeli Press Review – Google News Israel - Palestine Without Peace, Economics Will Lead Nowhere By: Yossi Beilin | The Daily Star There is the approach that argues in favor of aiding the Palestinians in the West Bank and creating an economic Garden of Eden there, while turning Gaza into an economic hell. This is not only inhuman, but has no chance of achieving its objective. Israel Airport At Peril For Disaster By: Joshua Mitnick | The Washington Times
Passengers traveling through Israel's Ben Gurion Airport are more likely to fall victim to an aviation accident rather than a hijacking, authorities and analysts warn. The Rise of Islamists in the Near East: The EU, the US and Hamas (PDF; 228 KB)
Source: Center for Security Studies BBC Fresh push
Mid-East peace quartet sees chance to end years of deadlock US readies new sanctions against Iran
Bush administration rebukes Ahmadinejad, tries to get support for more sanctions in int'l talks. 'Israel struck nuclear or missile site'
Bolton says he "definitely hears" that N. Korea was involved with target of alleged IAF action.
Without peace, economics will lead nowhere
By Yossi Beilin Israel and the Palestinians: Domestic Developments and Prospects for Talks
Time Will Hizballah Attack UN Troops? |
| H10 Christian Science Monitor Bush's fiscal legacy: bigger debt Indebtedness of $5.5 billion will limit future US spending options. Auto workers make concessions to keep jobs in US But innovative fund secures healthcare for retirees even if General Motors goes bankrupt Did N. Korea Give Syria Nuclear Aid? By: Donald Kirk | The Christian Science Monitor
The US faces a dilemma going into the next round of six-nation talks on North Korea's nuclear weapons: how firmly to press North Korea for details of proliferation of its nuclear technology to foreign clients. Ahead of the Thursday meeting in Beijing, the issue has assumed critical importance with revelations of an Israeli raid early this month on a Syrian base where North Koreans were suspected of imparting not only know-how but also materiel needed for Syria to develop nuclear warheads. ASIA The Trajectory of Chinese Doctoral Education and Scientific Research
Source: Center for Studies in of Higher Education, University of California-Berkeley "India-U.S. Economic and Trade Relations," August 31, 2007. Asia's Challenge to China By: Daniel Twining | Financial Times (subscription required)
Democracy is creating a basis for co-operation that could replace foreign powers’ management of the region. India in the 21st Century: Perspectives | Speaker: K. Kasturirangan, Member of the Indian Parliament; Dinesh Trivedi, Member of the Indian Parliament; Tariq Anwar, Member of the Indian Parliament; Lakshman Singh, Member of the Indian Parliament; Prenet Kaur, Member of the Indian Parliament Asian Development Bank Outlook, 2007 158 pages; PDF IHT The despotism formerly known as Burma
Will the countries with the greatest influence on Myanmar's generals - China, Russia and India - have the good sense to condemn the current reign of fear? Hudson Institute Folly and Hubris of Musharraf's Rule The Fact and Fiction of Sino-African Energy Relations
Source: China Security (via The Brookings Institution) Bhutto Pitch For Power Urges U.S. to see Her As Best Ally Against Terror By: Suzanne Goldenberg | The Guardian
Benazir Bhutto, the exiled former leader of Pakistan, yesterday tried to persuade a Democratic-controlled Congress to support her return to power by arguing that she would be a more effective ally against al-Qaida than the country's military leader. The Bush administration's partnership with the country's president, Pervez Musharraf, in the war on terror was a "strategic miscalculation", Ms Bhutto said. Difficult Road For Afghan Army By: Ahto Lobjakos | Radio Free Europe It is symptomatic of some of the woes of Afghanistan that the higher the rank of the person you talk to, the more optimistic they are. Drawing on seemingly inexhaustible reserves of pride, the Afghan National Army's top officers are anxious to drum up respect for the institution they represent - and talk down the prowess of their enemy. The soldiers on the ground, however, appear a good deal more guarded in their assessments, and their accounts are more in keeping with the slow progress of the ANA and its Western backers in Afghanistan's deep south. Substitution between foreign capital in China, India, the rest of the world, and Latin America : much ado about nothing ?
Source: World Bank Policy Research Working Papers Pakistan’s political and security challenges
63 pages; PDF. Source: House of Commons Library, UK Banking System Reform in China: The Challenges of Moving Toward a Market-Oriented Economy Source: RAND Corporation Chinese admit Three Gorges Dam is a 'disaster' Unprecedented admission says that ecological cost of world's biggest hydropower project may be catastrophically high ASEAN and Its Security Offspring: Facing New Challenges
SSI Getting to Grips again with Dependency: Japan's Energy Strategy
Clingendael Keep the Arctic Free of Nuclear Weapons By: Ramesh Thakur | The Japan Times
There is an opportunity and an increasingly urgent need to emulate the situation with Antarctica and establish an Arctic nuclear-free zone. Heritage Fukuda May Tack Back on Japan's Assertive Foreign Policy Freedom for Burma By: Jody Williams | The Wall Street Journal
Before the United Nations General Assembly yesterday, President Bush called for tough new sanctions against the Burmese regime and asked member nations to help bring an end to its "19-year reign of fear." But don't expect China, a permanent member of the U.N. Security Council, to add its voice to the call for change. Moment of Truth for Mayanmar's Military By: Brian McCartan | Asia Times
It is clear the patience of Myanmar's military rulers is running out over the escalating monk-led protests against their rule. The army now holds all the cards and only with a split and revolt in the ranks will the protesters achieve their goal of unseating the dictatorship Daily Telegraph China could hold key to monks' revolt A democratic revolution on China's southern border brought about by people power could set a dangerous example to its disaffected citizens, says Simon Scott Plummer. Who will make Burma play by the rules? We should not expect too much of practical worth to emerge from the emergency UN and EU meetings, which have, from Srebrenica to Darfur, shown themselves inadequate when it comes to preventing bloody repression. | H11 IHT Kosovo is looking forward By AGIM CEKU A resolution of Kosovo's final status can't wait any longer. Inflation creeping back into world markets The integration of two billion more people into the world economy since the early 1990s is clawing back some of the benefits it gave Europe and the United States over the past decade, and higher prices are an increasingly likely result. Roger Cohen: Closing the door to an Iraqi Mandela By ROGER COHEN
Of all the scandals of the Iraq war, America's failure to do more for refugees, including thousands who put their lives at risk working for the United States, stands out for its moral bankruptcy. Reports in U.S. and Europe dent confidence in economy The latest data dealt another blow to European hopes that the Continent might withstand the slowdown in the United States. Lead, follow or move over By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN
Getting America's climate regulations in order is necessary, but it will not be sufficient to move China. Pumping up Ahmadinejad By MAUREEN DOWD
New York's hot blast of nastiness and jingoism toward Mahmoud Ahmadinejad only served to pump him up for his domestic audience Another death in Lebanon Friends of Lebanon in Washington, Europe and the Arab world should encourage the Lebanese factions to elect a president who will stand up for Lebanon's independence. The Planet Is Not at Risk. We Are By: Vaclav Havel | International Herald Tribune
Maybe we should start considering our sojourn on Earth as a loan. There can be no doubt that for past hundred years at least, the Euro-American world has been running up a debt, and now other parts of the world are following its example. EUROPE European press review The European Union may be seen as the last great world-historical achievement of the bourgeoisie, proof its creative powers were not exhausted by two world wars... more» The British Anomaly By: Paul Belien | The Washington Times
How long will the English tolerate the situation in which Scottish members of the British Parliament have a (sometimes decisive) say about issues affecting only England, while English parliamentarians have no say about the same matters in Scotland. Kosovo: Breaking the Deadlock USIP Kosovo Demands Independence to Attract Investors, Lift Economy By: Monica Ellena | Bloomberg News
Prime Minister Agim Ceku is counting on independence from Serbia to attract investors who will rebuild the plants and the economy of Kosovo, administered by the United Nations since 1999. Enel SpA, Italy's largest utility, and Germany's RWE AG are among the companies interested in building a 3.9 billion-euro ($5.5 billion), 2,100-megawatt power plant near the coal fields. Bosnia: Penchant For Partition By: Anes Alic | ISN Security Watch
The Bosnian Serb prime minister stirs up ethnic sentiments once again by calling for the further partition of the country to include a separate Bosnian Croat entity in an attempt to ease international pressure to unify the country. BBC Mardell's Euroblog
Is Belgium ready to split or will Brussels glue it together?
Unlocking the Eurozone's Potential
Chatham House The Social Situation In The European Union 2005-2006: The Balance Between Generations In An Ageing Europe
176 pages; PDF What France Is Really Up To On Iran
Source: Center for Strategic & International Studies French Defense Minister Hervé Morin on France, NATO and 'New' Security Threats World Politics Review
In his Sept. 11 speech to France's summer "Defense University," attended by many of the key decision-makers involved in formulating French defense policy, new French Defense Minister Hervé Morin criticized French behavior in NATO in remarkably vivid language, observing that "we are too often those [in NATO] who quibble and vacillate." Morin then went on to envision precisely that modification of French policy that Védrine in his report had denounced as the greatest "temptation" threatening French independence: namely, France's reintegration into NATO's military command structures, which it departed in 1966. Croatia's Politics The Economist
Ahead of the parliamentary election, now expected on November 25th 2007, the opposition Social Democratic Party (SDP) has consolidated its poll lead over the incumbent Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ). The SDP first opened up a clear lead over the HDZ during the first half of 2007, following the illness and subsequent death of its leader, Ivica Racan. Under his successor, the 40 year-old Zoran Milanovic, the SDP has maintained its popularity, and in many polls appears to have built an even stronger advantage. Why is there so little friction between mainstream U.S. culture and American Muslims? What can Europe learn from the U.S.?... more» | H12 RFE/RLDemocracy Survey Faults Russia, Tajikistan
BY ANDREW TULLY
Freedom House, the U.S.-based human rights advocacy group, has issued "Countries at the Crossroads 2007," the annual update to its ongoing analysis of the level of freedom in 60 countries. China and Russia topped the list of countries still in the thrall of authoritarian rule yet struggling to control their growing economies. Tajikistan is also having troubles with its growing economy, and despite the promises of President Mahmud Ahmadinejad, Iran hasn’t been able to translate its great oil wealth into prosperity for its citizens. RFE/RL spoke with Sanja Tatic Kelly, the managing editor of "Countries at the Crossroads." Google News Azerbaijan 49 Steps To Improve Human Rights and Security in the North Caucasus
Source: Center for Strategic & International Studies Full Report (PDF; 1 MB) Asia Times Russia is far from oil's peak Russia has a radically different scientific approach to discovering oil, turning the Peak Oil theory on its head. With Moscow possessing this geopolitical trump card, it is not surprising that the US has gone about erecting a "wall of steel" - military bases and anti-missile shields - around Russia to cut its pipeline and port links to western Europe, China and the rest of Eurasia. - F William Engdahl Courted From All Sides By: Martha Brill Olcott | The Moscow Times
Turkmen President Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov is having a kind of coming out party in New York this week, ending the self-imposed semi-isolation into which late former President Saparmurat Niyazov plunged Turkmenistan and its top leadership. BBC Georgia condemns Russian 'terror' Georgia's President Mikhail Saakashvili accuses Russia of leading "terror" missions on his country's territory. Moscow diary
Russia's assertiveness does not mean a return to the Cold War The Tsar's Opponent By: David Remnick | The New Yorker
On a recent summer evening, the greatest player in the history of chess, Garry Kasparov, wrapped up an exhausting series of meetings devoted to the defeat of the Kremlin regime. The 'Peace Mission 2007' Exercises: The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Advances
Clingendael The Hizb Al-Tahrir in Central Asia: How America Misreads Islamist Threats
MERIA Lawmakers up ante on oil groups LETTERS TO THE EDITOR: Europe must not forget Georgia EDM SERDYUKOV'S FAKE RESIGNATION
- YANUKOVYCH SAYS YUSHCHENKO’S TEAM WILL RIG ELECTION
- EXPECTATIONS LOW FOR AL-BULANI VISIT TO ANKARA TO DISCUSS MEASURES AGAINST THE PKK
- SPORTS BECOMES PUBLIC DIPLOMACY OPPORTUNITY FOR AZERBAIJAN |
| H13 The Times Wall Street Journal Bush and Iran Tehran has been told it will pay a price for killing Americans, but it never has. Why the 'Law of the Sea' Is a Good Deal
Our participation would increase our ability to wage the war on terror.
By JAMES A. BAKER III and GEORGE P. SHULTZ GM'S TENTATIVE PACT with the UAW, which includes shifting $51 billion in retiree health-care liabilities to an independent trust, ushers in a new era for the U.S. auto industry. The deal is a striking example of a bigger trend of employers renouncing their role as chief health-care buyer Dollar falls to another euro low The dollar falls to yet another all-time low against the euro, after further weak US economic data. Drawing historical parallels might worsen the financial crisis
By Harold James | WORLD NEWS: US sanctions bill against Iran focuses on energy WORLD NEWS: US House backs tough Iran sanctions WORLD NEWS: Germans hit back in row over fresh curbs on Iran EU fears Kosovo deadlock Relations with Russia head for more trouble as an impasse over Kosovo raised the danger of instability spreading across a broader area of eastern Europe and Transcaucasia COMPANIES UK: Petrel sticks to Iraq plan despite losses COMMENT: The Fed must weigh inflation against the risk of recession The Fed may have been right to be bold, but it cannot be foolhardy about inflation, writes Martin Wolf Narrowing the gulf between the rich and poor seems to be the new theme of the government after realising that economic reforms alone will not solve the country’s problems Editorial Paulson's resolve The big question has always been whether the US administration can sustain its supportive approach to foreign investment in the face of a hostile Congress At a dramatic congressional hearing that saw the eviction of several dozen mostly female protesters, Robert Gates, the US defence secretary, urged lawmakers to approve $190bn to pay for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan Al Gore, the former US vice-president, called for a ‘Marshall plan’ to make job creation and measures to address climate change compatible and urged President Bush to commit to mandatory cuts in carbon dioxide emissions. COMMENT: The new Asian order's challenge to China BETWEEN THE LINES - QUENTIN PEEL: China tested by unstable neighbour China and India can help Burmese Delhi and Beijing should use their influence and withdraw support to the junta unless it stops trampling on its people. That is the only thing that will give what the Security Council decides real teeth France puts off balancing budget The government unveiled a 2008 budget that does little towards balancing public finances only days after the prime minister warned the country was ’bankrupt’ Lawmakers up ante on oil groups Turkmenistan opens up gas and oil fields Time to learn and move on, says Miliband WTO hears claim of $27bn in lost revenues Europe must trust US on climate change The US has – contrary to popular opinion – played a crucial leadership role on environmental issues, writes Boyden Gray LETTERS TO THE EDITOR: Wanted: examples of when appeasement worked COMMENT: Toughlove is the best regime for failed banks National champions: French energy mergers test Europe's free market puritans Sarkozy is seen as a liberal in France, but he harks back to an era of state intervention Burma: the world must be ready with a response If the junta falls, an international force should be ready to fill the security vacuum and restore peace, writes Drew Thompson The climate for doing business improved in Egypt more than in any other country last year, according to a global study that revealed a wave of company-oriented reforms... COMMENT: Business is not ready for the grey pound | H15 Los Angeles Times Senate endorses policy to create a Balkans-style Iraq Arrests are made linking Iraqi army, sectarian militias Editorial Liberty vs. equality at the U.N. President Bush's freedom agenda butted up against Third World complaints about inequality. |
| H19Military Intelligence Terrorism Talking to the Enemy: Track Two Diplomacy in the Middle East and South Asia
Source: RAND Corporation Summary (PDF; 164 KB)
+ Full Document (PDF; 890 KB) Getting the Policies Right: The Prioritization and Sequencing of Policies in Post-Conflict Countries
Source: RAND Corporation Summary (PDF; 123 KB)
+ Full Document (PDF; 1.2 MB) Getting in the Minds of Terrorists (.ppt; 105 KB)
Source: International Center for the Study of Terrorism Pennsylvania State University (Dr. Kevin R. Murphy) Unclassified Studies in Intelligence Vol. 51, No. 3 In Print: Enemies of Intelligence A TNR Online Debate
by Reuel Marc Gerecht
Backing away from "War on Terror" is dangerous, pre-9/11 thinking To understand Al Qaeda, we must come to terms with its rhetoric and internal theology – not just with the propaganda it aims at the West... more» Thwarting Terrorists: More to Be Done By: Matthew Bunn | The Washington Post
The world must do 'everything in our power' to keep nuclear weapons and materials out of terrorist hands. We aren't there yet. Salon Does a bigger Army mean another Iraq? Every major presidential candidate, including the Democratic front-runners, wants a much bigger Army. But that means an Army expressly designed to fight another war like this one. By Mark Benjamin Foreign Relations of the United States, 1969–1976, Volume E–2
Source: U.S. Department of State A 25-Year Quagmire: The War on Drugs and Its Impact on American Society (PDF; 414 KB) The Possible Costs to the United States of Maintaining a Long-Term Military Presence in Iraq (PDF; 56 KB) Source: Congressional Budget Office Networked and lethal (Arnaud de Borchgrave) ABC Blotter From China, With Love: Cyberwar the Next Big Threat to the US? The bin Laden needle in a haystack
Six years after September 11, 2001, why is Osama bin Laden still free to roam as he seemingly pleases, in between issuing global primetime broadcasts? The answers are dishearteningly simple, but include too few pursuers searching poorly mapped, overwhelming and treacherous terrain for a man who is probably hiding elsewhere among supporters who would sooner die than betray him. In other words, don't count on seeing him in handcuffs or on a morgue slab soon. - Michael Scheuer New Al-Qaida Transcripts, Terrorism Legal Documents Now Available Analysis: Outsourcing war is good business
Published: Sept. 26, 2007 at 10:38 AM
The private armies employed by the United States as auxiliary forces in the war in Iraq have come under criticism following an incident that drew the ire of Iraq’s prime minister, who demanded their immediate withdrawal.
"U.S.-China Military Contacts: Issues for Congress," updated August 20, 2007. "United States Military Casualty Statistics: Operation Iraqi Freedom and Operation Enduring Freedom," updated August 17, 2007. "Defense: FY2008 Authorization and Appropriations," updated September 17, 2007. "Presidential Claims of Executive Privilege: History, Law, Practice and Recent Developments," updated September 17, 2007. "Arms Sales: Congressional Review Process," updated September 12, 2007. DHS Releases National Preparedness Guidelines
Source: U.S. Department of Homeland Security "Federal Prison Industries," updated July 13, 2007. "Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) in Iraq and Afghanistan: Effects and Countermeasures," updated August 28, 2007. United States Military Casualty Statistics: Operation Iraqi Freedom and Operation Enduring Freedom (PDF; 71 KB) Pentagon probes security contractors in Iraq Rice Accused of Interfering in Blackwater Inquiry Army Chief: Military Unprepared for Unforeseen Events Interactive Map: What Are You Paying for the War? From The New York Times, a series of articles on space, including a look at how Sputnik changed everything — history, geopolitics, the scientific world. A reflection on the triumphs and disappointments of the space age; the space age launched more than satellites and spaceships, it launched a trend that changed pop culture forever; Moon or Mars, or both? Economic incentives of political? And who will lead the way?; and it has been 35 years since anybody was on the Moon, or more than 300 miles from Earth, for that matter. What happened to the so-called space age? A review of Red Moon Rising: Sputnik and the Hidden Rivalries That Ignited the Space Age by Matthew Brzezinski. | H20 Slate How to Save Globalization from its Cheerleaders Source: Harvard University, Kennedy School of Government, Faculty Research Working Paper Series Full Paper (PDF; 264 KB) Globalization, Multilateralism, and Trade NYRB Can Anyone Stop It?
By Bill McKibben
During the last year, momentum has finally begun to build for taking action against global warming by putting limits on carbon emissions and then reducing them. Driven by ever-more-dire scientific reports, Congress has, for the first time, begun debating ambitious targets for carbon reduction. Al Gore, in his recent Live Earth concerts, announced that he will work to see an international treaty signed by the end of 2009. Even President Bush has recently reversed his previous opposition and summoned the leaders of all the top carbon-emitting countries to a series of conferences designed to yield some form of limits on CO2. Education at a Glance 2007: OECD Indicators OECD This 468-page (annual) report provides comparative data on educational performance in OECD countries Potential Impacts of Biofuels Expansion on Natural Resources (PDF; 1.6 MB)
Source: Environmental Defense Democracy is not a panacea for the poor of the world. Economic liberty first brings wealth, and then democracy... more» Foreign direct investment inflows: The countries with the highest and lowest foreign direct investment inflows | H21 That Clive James remembers so much so well is testament to what a passionate reader he is... more» The Clive James website Why are men happier than women? Secrets Revealed: How Magicians Protect Intellectual Property without Law Source: Social Science Research Network (SSRN) Half of World’s Languages May Become Extinct by 2100 The Big Question: Why are allergies on the rise – and how can medicine combat them? From Recipients to Creators: Intellectual Property Protection and Innovation
Source: Center for Strategic & International Studies (By Christopher Shea, It's a government program whose impact rivals the New Deal. It pushes whole communities out of society's mainstream. It costs tens of billions of dollars a year. Scholars are just beginning to understand how prison is reshaping the country. NYRB Are Diplomats Necessary?
By Brian Urquhart
Diplomacy is one of the world's oldest professions, although diplomatic practice as we know it is a relatively recent development. Using ambassadors and envoys, often distinguished personalities of the time (Dante, Machiavelli, Peter Paul Rubens), was an accepted practice throughout recorded history. It was also regarded, in Europe at least, as "a kind of activity morally somewhat suspect and incapable of being brought under any system." Google advances on Europe Portals: Imagine controlling your computer with your brain. |
