Foreign Press Review - April 12 2006
0412-200
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FOREIGN PRESS REVIEW (FPR) - ‘Relevant news, views, comments and analysis from all around the world’ Compiled by Şanlı Bahadır Koç
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ReportsH
1 William Arkin
Wild Speculation and the Nuclear OptionAnalytic Culture in the US Intelligence Community An Ethnographic Study Rob Johnston (7.8 mb) – Center for Studies of Intelligence (CIA)
Curing Analytic Pathologies: Pathways to Improved Intelligence Analysis (pdf)- Dr. Jeffrey Cooper
Los Angeles Times
U.S. leaders to Iraq: Unite or fail By Zalmay Khalilzad and George W. Casey Jr.
Iraqi Institutions Drifting in a Postelection LimboSlate
Cousins in Arms: What Lebanon's civil war might tell us about Iraq. Michael Young
Asia Times - Spengler
Bush's October surprise - it's coming Bush: Method in the madness? Jim Lobe RCP
The U.S.-Russia Divide Widens Again - Ian Bremmer
IMF
Global Financial Stability Report—Market Developments and Issues
IMF: Bird flu could prompt world recessionHa’aretz
The Irony of Great Power Politics Ha'aretz
The Reorganized US Intelligence System after One Year By Richard A. Posner - American Enterprise Institute
Washington Institute
How Much Do the EU and Russia Care about Iran? Walter Posch, Vladimir Esveev, and Patrick Clawson
UPI
Analysis: Who are the players in Iraq?Dan Drezner "
The Realist Tradition in American Public Opinion"
Guardian
If ever there was a nation not to drive to extremes, it is Iran Simon Jenkins: The US and Britain are goading Iran to acquire nuclear weapons, while Blair's jihadist rhetoric is inciting a fourth crusade.
Liberty, Equality, Mediocrity - Charles Krauthammer, Time
The State of Trans-Atlantic Relations - RN BurnsH2 Washington Post
An Iranian Missile Crisis? By David Ignatius,
Bush's advisers -- and most of all, the president himself -- must keep searching for ways to escape the inexorable logic that is propelling the United States and Iran toward war.
How to Get Out of the Iran Trap Anatol Lieven
CFR
IRAN CLAIMS TO ENRICH URANIUMStratfor
Iran: Crossing the Red Line? Iranian officials are trumpeting a major advance in their country's nuclear program. Here is what it means -- and does not mean.
Slate
Today's Papers Wikipedia antiwar.com technoratiDebka
US-Iranian Iraq Dialogue Fails Before StartingJerusalem Post
Analysis: Iran's misguided ploy?Christian Science Monitor
Calculus of a military strike against IranNew Republic
What went wrong in Iraq? Cobra II is the best attempt yet to answer the question. by David Rieff
Asia Times
Iran flirts with confrontation The best-case scenario for Tehran is that the US military is forced to withdraw from Iraq, leaving Iran with a dominant sphere of influence over a Shi'ite-dominated Iraq. The worst-case scenario is that the US or Israel launches a preemptive strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. Iranian leaders will resort to complex brinkmanship and tactical retreats to get the outcome they want.
Financial Times
A 'complex political crisis' leaves Iraq stranded in post-election limbo Gunmen waving weapons out of the windows of unmarked cars are the most distinct sign of what it's like to live in political limbo. They have been roaming the streets
COMMENT: It is too soon to talk of attacks against Iran By Richard Haass The likely costs of carrying out an attack substantially outweigh the benefits, writes Richard Haass of the Council on Foreign Relations
COMMENT: Fragile governments at the heart of Europe augur ill By Martin Wolf Germany, France and Italy contribute just over two-thirds of the gross domestic product of the eurozone. Chirac’s perhaps predictable surrender to the protesters, the results of the Italian election, and last year’s election in Germany now combine to raise a compelling question: what are Europe’s prospects when the three continental giants are so politically weak? The simple answer is: “dire”.
H3 U.S.
Embassy Statement (April 11, 2006)BBC
City celebrates Istanbul's joy at European capital of culture decision Morgan Stanley Turkey:
Adjustment Pain Structural changes and institutional bottlenecks limit the pace of employment growth. The economy is struggling to create enough jobs for Turkey’s growing workforce. The shift from labour-intensive industries to capital-intensive sectors is a drag on job creation. Agriculture and manufacturing sectors are no longer a silo of low-paying jobs. A modern, post-agrarian economy needs higher educational attainments.
The Iraq mess: Kurdish separatists add to witch's brew Scripps Howard News Service
İşgal Türkiye'nin Kürt sorununu da tetiklediTürkmeneli
Kuzey Irak ve Kürt YayılmacılığıExt links-
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Attention Focuses on Iran in Bush-Aliyev TalksThe Kurdish resistance to Southern Kurdistan annexing with IraqKurdishMedia
Kurdish parties use their peopleKurdishMedia
Tigris ties severedWashington Times
Building bridges (Tulin Daloglu)Interfaith group explores Jerusalem and Istanbul Wesleyan Argus
Mavi Boncuk
The Asia Minor Style in the United StatesH4 New York Times
Iran Reports Big Advance in Enrichment of Uranium A Foreign Policy QuandaryTHOMAS L. FRIEDMAN
The Hamas Dilemma Hamas doesn't deserve to be treated like a democratic government, but it has something Israelis want: a cease-fire.
MAUREEN DOWD
Wag the Camel Iran was whipping up real uranium while America was whipped up by fake uranium.
Deaths of U.S. Soldiers Climb Again in Iraq At least 32 soldiers have been killed this month, already surpassing American military deaths for all of March.
50 Killed in Bombing at a Sunni Prayer Service in KarachiEditorial
Italian Vote, American Echoes Italian elections did not used to be like this — so closely fought, so ideologically polarized — in short, so like the American presidential elections of 2004 and 2000.
Police Seize Top Mafioso After 43 YearsH
5 Washington Post
Cause for War Found in Trailers Without Biolabs In 2003, Bush administration pushed the notion of banned Iraqi weapons made in mobile "biological laboratories" despite evidence to the contrary.
Iran Declares Nuclear ProgressClaim advances country's nuclear program and the international controversy surrounding it.
An Iranian Missile Crisis? By David Ignatius, Bush's advisers -- and most of all, the president himself -- must keep searching for ways to escape the inexorable logic that is propelling the United States and Iran toward war.
How to Get Out of the Iran Trap Anatol Lieven
Editorial
The Disappearing PresidentCAN THIS PRESIDENCY be saved?
Editorial
Mr. Berlusconi's DefeatA victory for Italy's civil society, but no help for the sickest economy in Western Europe
Poison and Power In Ukraine By Anne Applebaum, Although president of a country which that imagines him omnipotent, the Ukraine's Viktor Yushchenko is limited by corrupt officials with ties to the old regime and his country's parliamentary system.
Archives Kept a Secrecy Secret Agencies Removed Declassified Papers From Public Access The National Archives helped keep secret a multi-year effort by the Air Force, the CIA and other federal agencies to withdraw thousands of historical documents from public access on Archives shelves, even though the records had been declassified.
H6 Guardian
Iran: we are in the nuclear club West surprised by swift and successful enrichment of uranium.
Defiance plays into hands of hawksExplainer: Enriching uraniumIf ever there was a nation not to drive to extremes, it is Iran Simon Jenkins: The US and Britain are goading Iran to acquire nuclear weapons, while Blair's jihadist rhetoric is inciting a fourth crusade.
Leader
Different problems, different solutions Close elections like Italy's do not automatically create paralysis, as Angela Merkel's newly confident Germany is proving.
Italy's knife-edge election results are a symptom of this age of stalemate Jonathan Freedland: As in Germany and France, Italian voters were denied a clear alternative to the rightwing agenda of Silvio Berlusconi.
Sarkozy pushes claims in wake of Chirac retreat France's interior minister uses the defeat of employment law to position himself as the hope for French reform.
H7 Le Monde
L'Allemagne, la Russie et la Realpolitik, par Daniel VernetAsia Times - Spengler
Bush's October surprise - it's coming Things may not look too bright for the US president right now, but George W Bush is poised for the strongest political comeback of any US politician since Abraham Lincoln. Republicans will triumph in November's congressional elections because by then Bush will have bombed Iran's nuke installations, and Americans will rally around him again.
Bush: Method in the madness? There could be method in the seeming madness behind reports that President George W Bush wants to bomb Iran. Bush may be banking on his reputation as an irrational loose cannon to keep Tehran off balance. - Jim Lobe
Iranian, Arab roles in peace talks urged There is a growing sentiment in foreign policy circles in Washington that the US will need to bring Iran and Arab states into Iraqi peace negotiations. Whether the Arab states would want to help the US in its endeavors in Iraq is another matter. - Gareth Porter
Iran seeks 'non-aggression pacts', joint military excercises with neighbors: Iran Defense MinisterThe Human Costs ofBombing Iran by Matthew Rothschild
Washington Times
U.S. leverage on Baghdad By Harlan Ullman - Kerry right to push diplomatic alternative
Group seeks Iraq solution A high-level bipartisan group, asked by policy-makers to come up with new solutions to the challenges in Iraq, said yesterday that it was proceeding with "a sense of urgency."
The State of Trans-Atlantic Relations - RN BurnsUS 2002 Pre-invasion Plan to Divide Iraq Into Three Separate ...Center for Research on Globalization
H8 US Iran Strike Planning 'Similar to Iraq'Juan Cole
Muqtada al-Sadr's Bloc backs alternative to JaafariUPI
Outside View: Dark demographics Some analysts have been focusing on the economic and demographic pressures that drive the Middle East towards terrorism and extremism.
BBC
US condemns Iran nuclear advance The United States says Iran is "moving in the wrong direction" by announcing it has enriched uranium.
Iran raises stakes in nuclear row Iran 'years from nuclear bomb' Q&A: Iran nuclear stand-off Iraqi minister denies terror link Iraqi Interior Minister Bayan Jabr tells the BBC his forces have no connections with Shia death squads.
UPI
Analysis: Belfast, Beirut rules in BaghdadShi'ites Fail to Solve Jaafari DisputeRivalry for Shiite Leadership Complicates Deadlock in Iraq's Govt TalksKR
Iran announces production of enriched uranium, defying U.N.Top general defends pre-war planning for IraqRetired General's Iraq Critique Hits a Nerve at the PentagonCouncil on Foreign Relations told of U.S. plans for Iran strike... Helena Cobban -
Converging with Gerecht on (aspects of) IraqThe Quiet War Against Muqtada Sadr - Austin Bay
Report: U.S. intel knew Bush 'WMDs found' claim probably untrueAnalysis: Who are the players in Iraq?Political Turmoil Leaves Iraq AdriftDjerejian
So Steely Steyn!Mehran Riazaty: Iran Analyst
Iran: Unclear Activities, Oil Price, and IraqH9 Ha’aretz –
Envoy: U.S. supports road map but understands unilateral moveThe Irony of Great Power PoliticsHa'aretz
PINR "The Israeli Elections: A Recipe for Further Crisis"
Full text of reportYedioth Ahronoth
'Iran on fast track to Bomb' Israeli security officials worry Iranian president's statements country succeeded in enriching uranium pose real threat, warn international community not moving fast enough with sanctions against Muslim republic MEMRI
Apr 12 SD# 1139 - Saudi Writer Critiques the Arab Press: "Out of Ideas? Then Curse the West"Der Spiegel SPIEGEL INTERVIEW WITH ISRAEL'S FOREIGN MINISTER
"We Must Remain Resolute with Hamas"Weekly Standard
The Latest Zionist Conspiracy Hamas explains why American Christians support Israel.by Mark D. Tooley
UPI
Israel: World should stop Iran's nuke planJim Lobe
Iran Showdown Tests Power of Israel LobbyMultilateral Diplomacy Re Iran Must Include SanctionsDaily Star
Arab reform, a boxer in between rounds By Rami G. Khouri
Europe is no closer to solving its immigration dilemma By James Badcock
Things Aren't What They Used To Be Moshe Dayan Center for Middle East Studies A 2-page analysis of the reasons for the impasse at the Khartoum Arab Summit
H
10 Christian Science Monitor
Calculus of a military strike against Iran The White House reiterated its desire for diplomacy, but maintains that a nuclear Iran is unacceptable.
Bush had good reason to believe there were WMD in Iraq Bush may have been misled by the information he had, but he did not lie.
Palestinians starting to feel the aid pinch Funding cuts to the Hamas government are having an impact on everyday life.
Brookings
President Hu Jintao's Visit: The Economic Challenges and OpportunitiesWeekly Standard
Back to the Maoist Future China's African ambitions. by Peter Brookes
H
11 IHT
Stop in the name of the law IRENE KHAN Governments must stop turning a blind eye to "extraordinary rendition" - the unlawful transfer of people from one country to another, part of the Bush administration's "war on terror."
H.D.S. Greenway: Morocco's challenge Morocco's brand of tolerant, moderate Islam, not at war with modernity, is the West's best hope.
Washington Times
Europeans 'see need' for power to snoop In Europe, Big Brother is listening -- and being allowed to hear more and more.
Liberty, Equality, Mediocrity - Charles Krauthammer, Time
Der Spiegel
Letter From Berlin: Germany Sheds "Sick Man" Image to France and ItalyUPI
Analysis: Europe flexes its musclesIran’s Rafsanjani to hold talks with al-Assad in DamascusH12 RFE/RL
Iran: The Military Option And The Iraq FactorGeorgia
Saakashvili Cozies Up To ChinaHeritage Foundation
Ukraine’s Parliamentary Elections: What Next? by Ariel Cohen
RCP
The U.S.-Russia Divide Widens Again - Ian Bremmer
EurasiaNet
Georgian Opposition Boycotts ParliamentUPI
Analysis: Schroeder and Russia's GazpromEDM
ORANGE REVOLUTION LEADERS DECIDE TO RE-UNITEH13 The Times
We've started to enrich uranium, Iran tells worldFreed - with a huge debt and empty purse Fatah left Palestine with a crippling $1.2 billion of debt - and it is up to Hamas to fix it, says the new Finance minister
In
Times Online weblogs:
Gerard Baker debunks Seymour Hersh's latest theory on a war with Iran
Irwin Stelzer on the stalling of the Doha round of trade-opening talks
An insult to a smart nation Rosemary Righter Neither the buffoon Berlusconi nor the puny Prodi deserved to win an election that has solved nothing
WSJ
Iranian Bomb Scare It's irresponsible not to have military plans.
Europe's Feckless Right Why conservatives fail on the Continent.
Dollarize the U.K. Playing Hamlet without the Prince. By TED W. HALL Dollarize the U.K. For years the UK has debated whether to adopt the euro. Hall says the UK should consider the US dollar as currency. He argues that adoption of the dollar would eliminate exchange rate risk and improve risk-adjusted returns for all asset classes. It would keep more venture capital there (and flow to it from the US), stem brain drain, and foster innovation. Also, the cost disadvantage and illiquidity premium associated with participating in the euro would be higher than with the dollar, partly due to cultural and linguistic commonalities.
China's Nuclear Diplomacy Beijing is still stalling on Iran. By GORDON G. CHANG Chang says Western nations must step up and ask China to prove that its "Peaceful Rise" is actually peaceful by ending its nuclear support of Iran. He says its current policy may be driven by its oil exploration and gas interests in Iran. China's activities raise questions about Beijing's adherence to international norms to prevent nuclear proliferation. He says China has changed its past policies without significant international pressure and with the right carrot and stick approach, Washington can help China make the right choices about its future now.
H14 Financial Times
A 'complex political crisis' leaves Iraq stranded in post-election limboIran says it has mastered uranium enrichmentCOMMENT: It is too soon to talk of attacks against Iran By Richard HaassThe US is reported to be plotting against Iran’s emerging nuclear capability. The likely costs of carrying out an attack substantially outweigh the benefits, writes Richard Haass of the Council on Foreign Relations
COMMENT: Fragile governments at the heart of Europe augur ill By Martin Wolf Germany, France and Italy contribute just over two-thirds of the gross domestic product of the eurozone. Chirac’s perhaps predictable surrender to the protesters, the results of the Italian election, and last year’s election in Germany now combine to raise a compelling question: what are Europe’s prospects when the three continental giants are so politically weak? The simple answer is: “dire”.
Editorial
Rising US bond yieldsLast Friday long-term US interest rates rose through the psychological threshold of 5 per cent. This coincided with a fall in the US jobless rate in March from 4.8 per...
Leader Italy -
Left limps into power after bruising battleSome countries can sail on for long periods without needing a touch from the political tiller, notably in the US where political gridlock can allow a well-calibrated...
COMMENT: Italy's election duel leaves no winners By Alexander Stille
H15 Los Angeles Times
U.S. leaders to Iraq: Unite or fail By Zalmay Khalilzad and George W. Casey Jr.
The U.S. ambassador and top general in Iraq say the country must come together to face a harsh sectarian test.
Iraqi Institutions Drifting in a Postelection LimboEditorial
Iran: A credible threat? Bush's reasonable (public) position on Iran suffers from his own credibility gap.
FT
China's trade surplus surges amid US concern over renminbiINTERNATIONAL ECONOMY: WTO spells out threats to global tradeRussia to supply less oil than expected Oil supplies from Russia will fall short of expectations over the next four years
Europe urged to curb demand for oil and gasAs little as five years ago, the ambitions of Spanish companies rarely extended beyond Latin America. Now scarcely a week passes without a Spanish group announcing an investment initiative in the US, continental Europe or the UK
COMMENT AND ANALYSIS: Straitjacketed: how Taiwan is evoking business ire by curbing deals in China For Taiwanese companies, including electronics industry leaders, the cost of sitting on the fault-line of one of the world’s most complex conflicts may just be too high.
H16 David Corn
The Cheney Conspiracy?Prosecutor Links White House to CIA LeakBlogometer realclearpolitics –
ABC’s The Note -
Early Bird thru GovExec -
Newt Gingrich: Pull back in Iraq; occupation 'was an enormous mistake'...H
17 Daily Telegraph
Iran: In nuclear club Iran has declared that it has mastered the means of enriching uranium, boasting that "our enemies cannot do a damned thing" to stop its nuclear ambitions.
Point of no return?'Islamic terrorism' too emotiveEuropean governments should shun the phrase "Islamic terrorism" in favour of "terrorists who abusively invoke Islam," guidelines from EU officials have said.
Leader
Prodi's slim majority bodes ill for Italians Last September, a close race saddled Germany with an inherently weak government. The same will now happen to Italy. With so many problems demanding radical treatment, it seems set to remain the sick man of Europe.
No sign of a last act in Italy's comic opera With his promises unkept and so few practical achievements to his credit, writes Carla Powell, Berlusconi could only fall back on clowning and on increasingly wild and uncosted promises as the election campaign went on.
H18 Independent
Iran announces it has joined world's nuclear nations Blair isolated on Iraq conflict as Berlusconi bows out End of the line for the godfather Hamish McRae: Why there will be many more angry voters and hung elections in Europe H19
Racing to the Top: How Global Competition Disciplines Public PolicyGlobal Burden of Disease and Risk Factors World Bank This 552-page book summarizes the concepts and estimates of the burden of disease and the attribution of this burden to several key risk factors (single page linking to each chapter)
The Impact of Disasters on International TradeWorld Trade Organisation
H20 Slate
Cousins in Arms: What Lebanon's civil war might tell us about Iraq. Michael Young
Current Trends in India-U.S. Relations: Hopes for a Secure Future Center for Contemporary Conflict
Pakistan's Kashmir Policy After the Bush Visit to South AsiaCenter for Contemporary Conflict
H21
Pharma Invents Disease: Report2006 Webby Awards nominees releasedThe Google Book Search Project: Is Online Indexing a Fair Use ...Ext links Blogs -
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