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TurcoPundit
4 March 2009
  March 04, 2009

030409f - FOREIGN PRESS REVIEW (FPR) - ‘Relevant news, views, comments and analyses for informed debate’ Compiled by Şanlı Bahadır Koç U.S. / Britain / Turkey / Magazines / Think-tanks / Blogs / Misc /Books / Quickread / Numbers / Reports - Subscribe to FPR FPR Table - H4 NYT WP GU H7 ME Isr H10 CSM IHT Eur FSU Asia H13 Times WSJ FT LAT H16 USP DT Ind H19 Mil Int Ter Wonk H21 Misc

H1

Financial Times To nationalise or not – that is the question We are painfully learning that the world’s mega-banks are too complex to manage, too big to fail and too hard to restructure. Nobody would wish to start from here. But, as worries in the stock market show, banks must be fixed, in an orderly and systematic way, writes Martin Wolf

IRANIAN POLITICAL AND
NUCLEAR REALITIES AND
U.S. POLICY OPTIONS

Haass Iran Testimony (76K PDF)

Karim Sadjadpour Iranian Political and Nuclear Realities and U.S. Policy Options

New York Times Syria Talks Signal New Direction for U.S. An understanding with Syria could increase pressure on Iran to respond to the United States’ offer of direct talks.

Washington Post Obama Team Seeks to Redefine Russia Ties

U.S. Aims to Bolster Strategic Goals With Proposals on Arms Reduction, Missile Defense, Economic Support

Editorial No Deal Barack Obama and Dmitry Medvedev offer welcome clarity on Iran and missile defense.

U.S. Sends Senior Officials to Syria To Revive Relations Successful Talks Could Reshape Mideast

Yedioth Ahronoth No chance for 2 states Giora Eiland says Israeli leaders must realize there are better options than two-state solution

Iraq: Politics, Elections and Benchmarks CRS A 16-page US report providing an overview of the current state of politics in Iraq

Stratfor Geopolitical Diary: Russia's Sleight of Hand Russia is sending stronger signals that it wants a grand bargain with the United States on a number of issues, and it wants the deal struck sooner rather than later.

The Financial Crisis and the Six Pillars of Russian Strength

The global financial crisis has lulled the West into a false sense of security regarding the Russian resurgence.

US cannot abandon the Mideast
GulfNews By Amir Taheri

US-SYRIA: Washington Ends Its Diplomatic Embargo

Obama More Popular Than Ever

70% dissatisfied with the economy, 60% of American approve of President Barack Obama and 41% of Americans say the country is headed in the right direction. Before the 2008 election, only 12% believed America was moving in the right direction; in mid-January 26% thought so. This is the most positively Americans have rated the nation's future since January 2004. 44%, however, say the country is on the wrong track.

FT Clinton to send two diplomats to Syria Clinton has said the Obama administration will send senior officials to Syria for preliminary talks on improving relations between Washington and Damascus

Potency of reformist challenge diluted by rival candidacies Supporters of Iran's reformists cheered when Mohammad Khatami, the moderate former president, agreed to contest the June presidential elections in an effort to unseat..

No withdrawal date for US troops in Afghanistan Robert Gates, US defence secretary, stressed that it was “impossible” to determine when US troops would return home from Afghanistan, underscoring the increasingly tough security situation in the war-torn country

Time Clinton Courts Syria, but Will Israel Play Ball?

Iran’s tide, global sea , Fred Halliday

The TimesThe enemy within Pakistan's rulers have long failed to confront extremism; yesterday's hail of machine-gun fire in Lahore is the result

What's Behind Iran's Warning to Syria? : Tariq Alhomayed

“Middle East Peace and the U.S.-Saudi Relationship:,” by Lippmann

Is Global Democracy Possible?

CFR Iraq and Afghanistan: Tough Balancing Act for Obama

CEPS NATO and the US in the Obama Era

Chatham House More Foreign, Less Office: Doing Diplomacy in the 21st Century

H2 Arif Keskin İran Neden Türkiye’nin Arabuluculuğunu İstemiyor?

Bahadır Koç ABD ve Orta Doğu Barış Süreci

Turkey-Iran Relations: A Trade Partnership or a Gateway for Iran to Escape International Sanctions?n

Bloomberg Erdogan Democracy Means One Man, One Fridge in Turkey Election

Eastern promise splits Turkey
The National

Asia Times Turkey hops aboard Russia's ride Continuing its efforts to firm alliances in the region, Russia has initiated cooperation with former rival Turkey in a variety of political and economic areas, taking advantage of Ankara's cooling relations with the United States and the European Union. Washington is waking up to its worst nightmare: strategic cooperation among the powers of Eurasia. - F William Engdahl

Shlomo Ben-Ami Turkey’s New Mission

Zeyno Baran Engaging with Muslim Communities around the World

Obama’nın “Kırkı Çıkarken”

İç Basında Türk Dış Politikası Dış Basında Türkiye BBC Türkçe 0700 1800 – VOA Türkçe 0630 1345 2130 DW - (UTC) 0830 1130 1530 Turkish Press Review Google News Turkey TurcoPundit ASAM

Google News Fırat News Agency KurdishMedia Kurdish Kurdish Aspect Dış Basında Irak BBC Monitoring Inter-national

Kurds Headed for Conflict With Baghdad?

EurasiaNet Eurasia Insight - Turkey: The Country's Biggest Religious Movement Educates Kurds, and not Everyone Is Happy

Arab, Kurd crisis has legal solution (UPI) -- Conflict between Arabs and Iraqi Kurds can be averted if the status of the oil-rich city of Kirkuk is resolved through legal provisions, officials said.

Sunni Guerrillas at Mosul Kill a US Soldier; Kirkuk Council Member Predicts Permanent US Base in Kirkuk

Turkey awaits Iranian delegation to finalize natural gas deals

Syria wants Turkish mediation to continue

Iran-Turkey gas price dispute drags on

Dursun Peksen Economic sanctions have never worked before and they won't work now

Are Kurds, considered as Turkish citizen?

Clerical Whispers: Barzani’s visit to Vatican annoys Assyrian ...

Cevdet Aşkın

Google News Greece Cyprus Turkish Cypriot Press ABHaber Dış Basında Türkiye-AB İlişkileri Günlük Haftalık

Turkey sees looming Armenian resolution in U.S. as a risk factor

Turkey hops aboard Russia's ride

Armenia, Turkey ‘Close’ To Normalizing Ties

Free Fall Armenia's national currency, the dram, has lost some 30 percent of its value in one day after the Central Bank stopped intervening to support it. The sudden drop is the first blow from the global economic crisis to strike Armenia, which until now has been largely shielded by its dependence on remittances from abroad.

Obama/Biden and Turkey
Greek News -

CBO: Land-Based SM-3s in Europe Would Be Cheaper than Sea-Based
InsideDefense Deploying 20 land-based SM-3s at Ramstein Air Force Base in Germany and Incirlik Air Force Base in Turkey would cost $9 billion to $13 billion over 20 years

Hedo Okur Tuncay Nihat Altintop

In Turkey, Women Playing Soccer Vie for Acceptance

H3

Son Dakika Milliyet Hürriyet Zaman GH Türkiye

Birinci Sayfalar Akşam Birgün Bugün Cumhuriyet Dünya Hürriyet Milli Gazete Milliyet Posta Radikal Referans Sabah Star Taraf Tercüman Türkiye Vakit Vatan Yeni Şafak Zaman Arşiv

Video NTV CNNTürk Milliyet

Cengiz Çandar

Ahmet Taşgetiren

Ruşen - Çakır

Taha Akyol

Fikret Bila

Hasan Cemal

Murat Yetkin

İsmet Berkan

Fehmi Koru

Taha Kıvanç

Şamil Tayyar

Ali Bayramoğlu

Yasemin Çongar

Ertuğrul Özkök

Hasan Ünal

Ahmet Hakan

M Ali Birand

Cüneyt Ülsever

Enis Berberoğlu

Oktay Ekşi

Özdemir İnce

Mehmet Y Yılmaz

MUHARREM SARIKAYA

ERDAL ŞAFAK

ENGİN ARDIÇ

ERGUN BABAHAN

EMRE AKÖZ

Umur Talu

HASAN BÜLENT KAHRAMAN

NAZLI ILICAK

MEHMET BARLAS

MAHMUT ÖVÜR

YAVUZ DONAT

Ekonomi

ABDURRAHMAN YILDIRIM

Ercan Kumcu

Erdal Sağlam

H4 New York Times Syria Talks Signal New Direction for U.S. An understanding with Syria could increase pressure on Iran to respond to the United States’ offer of direct talks.

Editorial The Tortured Memos

While admitting to destroying videotapes of interrogations and releasing the terrorism memos is a good start, a lot more transparency is needed from the government.

For Pakistan, Attack Exposes Security Flaws A coordinated, commando-style ambush on the Sri Lankan cricket team in Pakistan on Tuesday revealed embarrassing security gaps in an increasingly unstable country.

Avoiding Pakistan, New Supply Route to Afghanistan Opens

THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN Obama’s Ball and Chain I fear that President Obama’s first term could be eaten by Citigroup, A.I.G., Bank of America, Merrill Lynch, and the whole housing/subprime credit bubble.

Lahore Murder Mystery By ALI SETHI

The assault on the Sri Lankan national cricket team left Pakistanis clinging to rumors that their own government, or perhaps India, was involved.

MAUREEN DOWD

Stage of Fools

This is the first pork-filled federal budget from a new president who promised to go through the budget “line by line” and cut pork.

News Analysis: Amid a Lackluster Review of His First Year, Cuba’s Leader Jolts the Government

Party Elders Press for Checks on China’s Stimulus Plan

Obama and Brown Pledge Cooperation

Russian Welcomes Letter From Obama

New Trial of Ex-Tycoon Begins in Russia

Fed Chairman Backs Call for Higher Spending

H5 Washington Post Obama Team Seeks to Redefine Russia Ties

U.S. Aims to Bolster Strategic Goals With Proposals on Arms Reduction, Missile Defense, Economic Support

Editorial No Deal Barack Obama and Dmitry Medvedev offer welcome clarity on Iran and missile defense.

U.S. Sends Senior Officials to Syria To Revive Relations Successful Talks Could Reshape Mideast

A Week of Revelation By Michael Gerson, When Obama's tax overhaul is complete there won't be any wealthy people left to bleed.

As Markets Slump, U.S. Tries to Halt Cycle of Fear Top Officials Push to Inspire Confidence in Crisis Response By Emphasizing the Long-Run

Obama Gives Brown a Chilly Reception at White House Our British cousins are getting the feeling that the new administration doesn't fancy them.

Imprisoned Oil Tycoon Khodorkovsky Appears in Moscow Courtroom to Face New Charges

Rescue Turns to Toxic Assets

New funds to vie for the securities, setting a market price so banks can sell them, sources say.

A Strike at the 'Soul' of S. Asia

Gunmen Target Cricket Team in Pakistan Attack

In China, Despair Mounting Among Migrant Workers Millions Are Without Jobs, Options

It's Renovation, Not Socialism

By Harold Meyerson, Take it from a democratic socialist: Obama isn't one of us.

Minority Leader Limbaugh

By David Plouffe, Even as Obama scores high marks with Americans, Republicans continue to follow their fearless talking head.

Picks for Key Government Posts Play Long Waiting Game The vetting process for federal appointees has intensified dramatically since problems emerged with several of President Obama's early nominees.

Topic A: The Obama administration's staffing problems

Debt Need Not Be a Burden

Opinion | What's missing in all this sudden hand-wringing over the deficit is a sense of perspective.

Steven Pearlstein

H6 Guardian A failing state Editorial: If a democratic ruler in Pakistan cannot seize control, then other forces will move into the vacuum

Top US officials dispatched to Syria as Clinton pursues Middle East peace on 'many fronts'Independent Palestinian state 'inescapable' and two-state deal in Israel's best interests, US secretary of state says

Obama hints at deal with Russia over Iran Medvedev welcomes conciliatory letter from US but both leaders deny it contained quid pro quos over nuclear crisis

The grand bargain with Tehran Meir Javedanfar: Peaceful resolution of Iran's nuclear programme through negotiations would be the best outcome for Israel

The speech of his life - but Brown will not say sorry

Gordon Brown uses vital speech to Congress to urge US not to lapse into protectionism

Brown can again come back from the dead. First, he needs to accept fault Jonathan Freedland: The refusal to take any blame was repeated yesterday at the White House. But Labour needs its moment of catharsis

H7 Iraq: Politics, Elections and Benchmarks CRS A 16-page US report providing an overview of the current state of politics in Iraq

Washington Ends Diplomatic Embargo of Syria

Debating the Iraq Exit - Gary Kamiya, Salon

Obama's Foreign Policy is Tough Yet Modest - Gabor Steingart, Der Spiege

What's Behind Iran's Warning to Syria?


Are We Witnessing the End of Democracy? - Michael Petrou, Macleans

Obama's NSC takes power

The Iranian Empire Forbes


STEPHEN WALT The administration's mixed diplomatic signals

Obama's budget sacrifices U.S. primacy BY DOV ZAKHEIM

Obama gets tough on Syria BY DAVID KENNER

Dursun Peksen Economic sanctions have never worked before and they won't work now

Iran, Bahrain and the Arabs - Ali Younes, Al-Arabiya

No rush to Damascus until Syria has proved a change of heart

Mubarak's son slips into Washington

Jones, Rice, Clinton and the Hustle for Foreign Policy Power - The ...

IAEA 'mismanagement' raises Tehran's ire
The International Atomic Energy Agency's recent flip-flop over Iran's nuclear file has angered Tehran, raising questions as to why director general Mohammad ElBaradei insists on downplaying Iran's cooperation. Meanwhile,
Russia is also fast moving into Tehran's bad books as it continues to play politics with the Bushehr nuclear plant it is building in Iran. - Kaveh L Afrasiabi

Is Obama's missile defense bargain Yalta all over again?

H8 Iraq Updates IraqSlogger Google News Iraq Iran Syria Mideastwire.com - NPR Iraq

Pressure grows on Obama to engage Iran directly

US Commanders Hone Battlefield Diplomacy in Iraq

U.S., Iraq work toward SOFA progress (UPI) -- A bilateral U.S. and Iraqi committee is ramping up efforts to execute provisions of the Status of Forces Agreement, officials said.

Obama strategy a 'reasonable compromise' (UPI) -- The strategy to draw down U.S. military forces in Iraq while building troop strength in Afghanistan is a "reasonable compromise," an analyst said.

H9 Ha’aretz Amira Hass: U.S. aid to Gaza dwarfed by billions given to bolster IDF

Clinton: Netanyahu's 'economic peace' futile without diplomacy

Gershom Gorenberg: AIPAC no longer has a monopoly of concern in U.S. for IsraelIn his new term, Netanyahu won't be able to count on Congress as a counterweight to the administration in his relations with America

Abbas to push for tougher U.S. stance on Israel

Jerusalem PostPM alongside Clinton: Israel cannot tolerate a nuclear Iran

In earlier discussions with secretary of state, Netanyahu and Barak call on US to set a deadline for dialogue with the Islamic republic.

Clinton in Ramallah

She should tell Abbas that the Palestinians must inject some pragmatism into their negotiating position.

Yedioth Ahronoth No chance for 2 states Giora Eiland says Israeli leaders must realize there are better options than two-state solution

Powers want Iran dialogue
At IAEA meeting in Vienna Tuesday permanent Security Council members voice concern over Iran's atomic advances, but say they remain committed to dialogue, diplomatic solution, make no mention of sanctions

'Hizbullah now $1B richer'

Report: Iran boosting group ahead of Lebanese elections; terrorists benefiting from market crisis

Daily Alert.orgHebrew Press Editorials (2008) - Middle East Progress - EJC Israeli Press Review – Google News Israel - Palestine

Bahadır Koç ABD ve Orta Doğu Barış Süreci

Daily Star Clinton, instead of promising us Palestine, create an Israeli state

MARC LYNCH What Hillary got right at Sharm al-Shaykh

The grand bargain with Tehran Meir Javedanfar: Peaceful resolution of Iran's nuclear programme through negotiations would be the best outcome for Israel

Settlement test Is the two-state solution in the Mid-East still viable?

Could Netanyahu Be an Israeli Maverick?

George Mitchell's Mideast Challenges - Peter Rodgers, The Age

Redefining the "Peace Process" BY: C.M. Sennott | Global Post If there is consensus about anything regarding Hillary Clinton’s first visit to the Middle East as Secretary of State, it is that a dramatic new approach is needed in what is lazily referred to as the Israeli-Palestinian “peace process.”

Gaza needs trust, not just aid Caroline Lucas: If the Palestinians are able to put together a government of genuine unity, then the international community must recognise it

US Israel support 'unshakeable'

Hillary Clinton declares "unshakeable" US support for Israel during her first visit to the region as secretary of state.

Challenge of Israeli settlements

The Monumental Folly at Sharm el-Sheikh by Rami G. Khouri

For Obama, Helping Gaza Is Harder Than It Looks
TIME

H10 Christian Science Monitor

Clinton travels to a hardened Israel On Syria, Iran, and a Palestinian state, Israel's new leadership disagrees with the Obama administration.

Catch F-22 for Obama

A cut in weapons like the F-22 jet fighter will also cut jobs. But that's not really the point.

The market's harsh verdict on Obamanomics

The Dow is sinking and Obama's budget is a disaster. But despite dire trends, free markets will prevail.

Build on Bush's Middle East progress Despite Bush's early mistakes, Obama's team can keep valuable momentum there.

A drawdown of contractors in Iraq

US commanders there may find it hard to quickly reduce the use of almost 150,000 contractors.

Pakistani vigilantes take on Taliban Residents of Peshawar, the main city outside militants' stronghold in the tribal areas, are forming armed patrols to defend their villages – sometimes with official backing.

ASIA

Clinton's Big Mistake: Skipping India - John Lee Cheong Seong, Japan Times

Who Has the Power in Afghanistan? The Christian Science Monitor Afghanistan is facing yet another rocky year ahead. Increased international troop levels here will probably mean more fighting -- and more civilian and military casualties.

WSJ Afghan War Hinges on Far-Flung Outposts Gen. Petraeus and his backers believe small, remote bases in Afghanistan will help protect against attack and build strong relationships with local residents

Afghanistan's Complicated Election Plans - Stratfor

Afghanistan: Constitutional Crisis Developing in Kabul, as Karzai Strives to Remain Relevant

Will Japan be the first country to actually use missile defense? BY JOSHUA KEATING

China to boost military spending

China says it will increase military spending by a "modest" 14.9% this year to 480.6bn yuan ($70.2bn; £50bn).

Japan: Dipping into Foreign Exchange Reserves The Japanese government said it will begin using its foreign exchange reserves to supply desperately needed capita

East Asia: Exports in Decline

East Asia's all-important export sectors continue to get pummeled amid the global recession

The Not-So-Strongman in Pakistan - Nicholas Schmidle, New Republic


Washington Needs to Ditch 'Af-Pak' - Brian Burton, World Politics Review

India Poised for Fierce Poll Battle BY: James Lamont and Amy kazmin | Financial Times

India’s ruling Congress party is poised for a fierce battle to retain its hold on power next month in an election that is likely to focus on management of the economy and national security.

'Cricket' attack marks a shift in Pakistan Tuesday's brazen assault by 12 heavily armed men on a convoy carrying Sri Lankan cricketers in Lahore, Pakistan's second-largest city, has strong similarities to the terror attack in Mumbai in India last November. For reasons that could be linked to the recent peace deals signed in Pakistan's tribal areas, militants are now taking the battle into their country's major urban centers. - Syed Saleem Shahzad

Pakistani political shake-up faulted in cricket team attack

In China, Despair Mounting Among Migrant Workers

Millions Are Without Jobs, Options

Painting a smile on 'brand ASEAN' Billed as a "new dawn" for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, its lavish annual summit saw it attempt to shed its image as a talking shop in which poverty and human rights take a back seat to diplomatic platitudes. While a new flag, motto and stirring anthem tried to emphasize this, the refusal of authoritarian governments to meet civil society groups revealed some "ugly scars" on the ASEAN psyche. - Charles McDermid and Jakkapun Kaewsangthong

Pakistan Is Steadfast Against Terror By Asif Ali Zardari
We aren't appeasing the Taliban or terrorists in Swat.

Beijing's Consumption Blues By Michael Pettis
Boosting
China's domestic spending will be painful.

H11 IHT David Brooks: A moderate manifesto The U.S. has never been a society riven by class resentment. Yet the Obama budget is predicated on a class divide.

Obama and Brown reaffirm U.S.-British ties President Barack Obama and Prime Minister Gordon Brown of Britain pledged Tuesday to join together to implement updated financial regulations to help address the economic crisis.

U.S.-Russia missile deal could be a setback for Czechs The Czech government, which is firmly pro-Washington, had set very few conditions for stationing a radar system close to Prague, and it has little recourse if the Obama administration decides to halt the project altogether.

EUROPE European press review

Spain: Socialists' Glass Half Full BY: Brian J. Forest | Diplomatic Courier

Spain’s regional elections deliver mixed results for Prime Minister Zapatero’s Socialist Party and a blow to Basque nationalists.

Europe's Disunion

BY: Anne Applebaum | The Washington Post It is impossible to understand what is happening in the somewhat surreal world of the European political economy at the moment without first tossing out every stereotype, every cliche and every assumption that has ever been made about Europe's political geography.

Britain's Great Right Hope BY: James Crabtree | The American Prospect As the Republican party struggles to develop a new message and regain popular support, their British counterpart is on the verge of a comeback. Will the Tories become the model for conservatives everywhere?

GM Europe on the brink with 300,000 jobs at risk The carmaker wants £3bn from European governments to keep its factories open, with Belgian and German plants most at risk

Mardell's Europe

EU failure to agree East Europe rescue package queried

Who foots the bill for the EU? German taxpayers are expected to bail-out the EU - again, writes Daniel Hannan.

Opinion: Germany Must Bail Out its Ailing Eurozone Neighbors

Europe: Xenophobia Rising

Economic crisis in Europe will precipitate a rise in xenophobia and related social unrest. This is the first part of a two-part series on xenophobia in Europe.

H12 RFE/RL

Google News Azerbaijan

Free Fall Armenia's national currency, the dram, has lost some 30 percent of its value in one day after the Central Bank stopped intervening to support it. The sudden drop is the first blow from the global economic crisis to strike Armenia, which until now has been largely shielded by its dependence on remittances from abroad. More

Armenia lets currency float, seeks IMF bailout - International Herald Tribune

Stratfor Geopolitical Diary: Russia's Sleight of Hand Russia is sending stronger signals that it wants a grand bargain with the United States on a number of issues, and it wants the deal struck sooner rather than later.

The Financial Crisis and the Six Pillars of Russian Strength

The global financial crisis has lulled the West into a false sense of security regarding the Russian resurgence.

Ukraine: Nation on the Brink of Bankruptcy BY: Mary Dejevsky | The Independent When the United States sneezed, Old Europe's banks caught a heavy cold, and New Europe's mini-tiger economies have succumbed, one by one, to a nasty bout of flu. But in the so-called neighbourhood states immediately to the east, chief among them Ukraine, pneumonia threatens – and the experts' prognosis is not good.

DANIEL DREZNER

The Russia bargain is a win-win for Obama

Medvedev Rejects Missile Deal

Gazprom Plans to Reduce Spending Gazprom posted a solid quarterly profit but said it will be forced to cut spending this year due to falling natural-gas demand in key markets.

Analysis: Obama reaches out to Russia

Border Dispute: A Long Shelf Life BY: Anca Padaruru | ISN Security Watch A recent ICJ ruling on a Black Sea continental shelf partition between Ukraine and Romania shows that issues concerning oil and water make a controversial mix.

Russia Brushes Off Obama: No Haggling

Medvedev Takes the Hit for Putin - Nikolai Petrov, Moscow Times

Central Asia: The US State Department Paints a Bleak Democratization Picture
BY JOSHUA KUCERA The US State Department
s annual assessment of global human rights conditions give Central Asian states generally poor marks.

H13 The TimesThe enemy within Pakistan's rulers have long failed to confront extremism; yesterday's hail of machine-gun fire in Lahore is the result

ANALYSIS: Pakistan is 'a nation at war with itself'

Abuse of science Protests against Israeli universities are the voice of anti-intellectualism

Obama pledges to bolster 'special relationship' President Obama also backed Gordon Brown’s calls for action to stimulate the world economy and clean up banks

Clinton says two-state solution 'inescapable' New US Secretary of State puts pressure on Binyamin Netanyahu with pledge to work for Palestinian statehood

Secret Obama letter reveals plan to stop Iran President writes to Russian counterpart, offering to abandon missile shield if Kremlin stops Tehran's nuclear drive

Wall Street Journal Obama's Iran Crisis

Obama Gets Strong Support Despite Crisis A Wall Street Journal/NBC poll indicates Obama enjoys widespread backing for his ambitious agenda, while opposition Republicans are getting drubbed in public opinion

Robert J. Barro: What Are the Odds of a Depression?

Afghan War Hinges on Far-Flung Outposts Gen. Petraeus and his backers believe small, remote bases in Afghanistan will help protect against attack and build strong relationships with local residents

Justice in Iraq The court that convicted Saddam shows temperance towards his henchman.

IMF: Poor Nations Need $25 Billion The IMF urged world leaders to step up assistance to low-income countries, warning that the rapidly spreading global-economic crisis will create an additional financing need of at least $25 billion this year

U.S. Reconsiders Missile-Defense Plan

The Obama administration is suggesting to Russia that it might be willing to roll back U.S. missile-defense plans in Europe, in what senior U.S. officials called one plank of a strategy to isolate Iran.

The Obama Budget: A Summary and Analysis (PDF; 440 KB)
Source: U.S. Senate Budget Committee (Minority)

H14 Financial Times To nationalise or not – that is the question We are painfully learning that the world’s mega-banks are too complex to manage, too big to fail and too hard to restructure. Nobody would wish to start from here. But, as worries in the stock market show, banks must be fixed, in an orderly and systematic way, writes Martin Wolf

Clinton to send two diplomats to Syria US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has said the Obama administration will send senior officials to Syria for preliminary talks on improving relations between Washington and Damascus

Potency of reformist challenge diluted by rival candidacies Supporters of Iran's reformists cheered when Mohammad Khatami, the moderate former president, agreed to contest the June presidential elections in an effort to unseat..

No withdrawal date for US troops in Afghanistan Robert Gates, US defence secretary, stressed that it was “impossible” to determine when US troops would return home from Afghanistan, underscoring the increasingly tough security situation in the war-torn country

Obama gives few clues to his world view ahead of summit

An epic battle looms over Obama’s big push Roger Altman on plans for a new progressive era

Obama’s chance to lead the green recovery As the world moves to a low-carbon economy, there will be a competitive advantage for those who embrace these green technologies, write Joseph Stiglitz and Nicholas Stern

Not so MaastrichtEurozone membership criteria must in future be applied more strictly than they have been across the eurozone. But today they must be interpreted flexibly

Terrorising cricket The commando-style ambush of the Sri Lankan cricket team in Lahore is a double body blow to Pakistan, a country that is already reeling

Not much chance of any ‘Yo, Brown’Britain and the US have shared interests and can work together. A relationship that is less special and more businesslike would better serve both

Russia hails new US tone on missiles Russia and the US dismiss suggestions of a “quid pro quo” deal on Washington’s defence plans for central Europe but their presidents stress improved prospects for co-operation

Emergency eurozone aid signalled Authorities would help a member-state in serious economic difficulties before it needed to turn to the IMF because of a risk of debt default, says senior EU policymake

Hopes and fears as details of housing rescue plan are awaited

Rethink would leave Polish and Czech leaders twisting in the wind

GM urges EU states to come to its aidCarmaker says 300,000 jobs at risk

Brussels set to agree financial system reforms New structure could be in place by 2010

European shares slump to 12-year low Insurers and energy shares weigh

How the competent bankers can be assisted John Kay suggests the least bad way forward

A trade surplus is not always a sign of strength Simon Tilford praises Britain’s service sector

H15 Los Angeles Times Deadly attack on cricket team shakes Pakistan psyche The militant strike on a Sri Lankan team bus in Lahore leaves eight dead and threatens to undermine the Pakistani government's fragile political stability.

U.S. to send envoys to Syria

Two officials will hold preliminary talks with Damascus in the coming days, the latest signal that the Obama administration intends to engage longtime U.S. rivals

Editorial

H16 American Politics

Mark Murray / MSNBC:

Poll: Obama's rating at all-time high

Conservatives and Their Pity Parties THE TILTING YARD
By Thomas Frank
Out of power and out of touch, they feast on stale slogans and whine.

Obama urges anxious Americans to look at the long term The $787 billion stimulus has begun flowing into the economy, but President Obama isn't done selling its merits to Americans. To counter ever-sliding stock prices and consumer angst, he's ramping up a marketing campaign

Obama: A Course Correction Needed? - David Gergen, CNN

Obama More Popular Than Ever

Though a new WSJ/NBC poll shows a record 70% dissatisfied with the economy, 60% of American approve of President Barack Obama and 41% of Americans say the country is headed in the right direction. Before the 2008 election, only 12% believed America was moving in the right direction; in mid-January 26% thought so. This is the most positively Americans have rated the nation's future since January 2004. 44%, however, say the country is on the wrong track. One Democratic pollster says the number reflects how modern America is "apprehensive about the future, but willing to undertake big, bold policy initiatives." Democrats and African-Americans are the post positive, but Independents' and Republicans' views are increasingly negative. Nonetheless, 80% approve of Obama's Iraq plan, and while approval is still high on the president's healthcare plans, it's waning, likely due to apprehension about taxes and spending. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton also achieved an all-time approval rating high in the WSJ/NBC poll.

Obama is Not Who Moderates Thought He Was - David Brooks, NY Times

Jonah Goldberg / Los Angeles Times:
The tired war on Rush Limbaugh

realclearpolitics memeorandum

Daily Beast Cheat Sheet

Politico ABC’s The Note MSNBC FirstReadTime ThePage Politico Playbook

PoliticsHome fivethirtyeight US News Political Bulletin

Who's steering this sinking GOP ship?

The Republican Party is not just adrift, but fighting about which way to steer the lifeboat and over who's its captain. If the GOP is to chart a path to the future, it can't simply sit by and hope the president fails. (By Scot Lehigh, Globe Columnist)

H17 Daily Telegraph Speaking softly, but without the big stick

Personal View: Irwin Stelzer highlights the dangers of Obama's nascent foreign policy.

Obama wants to cut a deal with Medvedev

Telegraph View: The American president is thinking creatively about the threat from Iran.

Pakistan must confront its enemy within Telegraph View: Attack on Sri Lankan team is a blow to the country's reputation.

Europe sees trouble rising in the East Economic crisis has brought tensions between the 'old' and 'new' EU to boiling point, say Adrian Michaels and Bruno Waterfield.

Who foots the bill for the EU? German taxpayers are expected to bail-out the EU - again, writes Daniel Hannan.

H18 Independent

H19 Military Intelligence Terrorism

U.S. missile-defense policy under review

Strategic Arms Control After START: Issues and Options CRS A 30-page updated US report on the status of the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty between the US and Russia

Overhauling Homeland Security
Council on Foreign Relations

100,000 Foot Soldiers in Cartels The U.S. Defense Department thinks Mexico's two most deadly drug cartels together have fielded more than 100,000 foot soldiers - an army that rivals Mexico's armed forces and threatens to turn the country into a narco-state.

Guantánamo: The Definitive Prisoner List

Pakistan Attack on Sri Lankan Cricket Team: Echoes of Mumbai?

H20 Slate

The Heat Is On Climate Believers - Debra Saunders, San Francisco Chronicle

CSIS Food Security and the Global Economic Crisis

H21

One in 31 U.S. Adults are Behind Bars, on Parole or Probation
Source:
Pew Center for the States Full Report (PDF; 2.1 MB)

Rousseau was a genius, but also a selfish, half mad, paranoid egomaniac. The lovable David Hume, on the other hand... more»

History is larger than science, since science is part of history, says John Lukacs. First came nature, then came man, then science. No scientists, no science... more»

Intelligence no guarantee of goodness

Intelligence alone will not make the world a better place, and if anyone's career proves the point, it is prominent Australian philosopher Peter Singer's (By Jeff Jacoby, Globe Columnist)

A Google Search of a Distinctly Retro Kind

Victor Serge had helped bring the Soviet Union to power. He then became a moral and intellectual lighthouse to its fiercest opponents... more»

Ian McEwan once tried to give away novels in a park. Only women took them, not men. He predicts, “When women stop reading, the novel will be dead”... more»

Artificial intelligence may one day replicate the human brain and its awareness. But will it do so with digital, on/off switches? That is a very hard question... more»

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U.S. foreign policy, Middle East, Turkey and Beyond

ABD dış politikası, Orta Doğu, Türkiye ve Ötesi

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Makaleler


Ankara ve Güneydeki Riskler 29 Aralık 2011
İslamcı Dalga Üzerine 5 Aralık 2011
Ankara’ya Suriye ile İlgili Bazı Tahlil, Tahmin, Uyarı ve Öneriler 2 Kasım 2011
İran ile İlgili Son Amerikan İddiaları ve Türkiye 16 Ekim 2011
Ankara Suriye’de “Rejim Değişikliği” Politikasına Geçerken 28 Eylül 2011
Türk Dış Politika Gündemine Dair 7 Kısa Not 6 Eylül 2011
“Zafer İlan Et ve Kaç:” ABD ve Afganistan’dan “Sorumluca” Çekilmenin Mantığı 23 Haziran 2011
Orta Doğu'da Durum Raporu 25 Mayıs 2011
Bin Ladin’in Öldürülmesi Üzerine Notlar 25 Mayıs 2011
Bin Ladin’in Öldürülmesi Üzerine 15 Kısa Not 3 Mayıs 2011
ABD ve Karadeniz Nisan 2011

Türkiye Beşar’a Ne Demeli? Suriye'de “52 Cuma” Reformsuz Geçmez 20 Nisan 2011
Amerika-Sonrası Dünyanın Provası Olarak Libya Krizi ve Türkiye 22 Mart 2011
“Demokratikleştiremediklerimizden misiniz?”: Orta Doğu’daki Değişim Dalgasının Neden, Şekil ve Olası Sonuçları 10 Şubat 2011
Analiz Üzerine Notlar 14 Ocak 2011
Wikileaks Üzerine Notlar ve Yorumlar 23 Aralık 2010
Enerji ve Güvenliği Üzerine Notlar 29 Kasım 2010
Amerikan Travması ve Kongre Seçimleri 23 Kasım 2010
Füze Savunması Üzerine 20 Soru ve 5 Seçenek 20 Ekim 2010
Obama Ekibinde Yaprak Dökümü - Beyaz Saray’dan Kaçış mı? 12 Ekim 2010
"Kürt Devleti" Üzerine Notlar ve Çeşitlemeler 23 Eylül 2010
Mullen’ın Ankara Ziyareti 7 Eylül 2010
ABD’nin Afganistan’daki Seçenekleri 24 Ağustos 2010
Financial Times Haberinin Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri Üzerine Düşündürttükleri 18 Ağustos 2010
İsrail-ABD-İran-Türkiye Dörtgeni 26 Temmuz 2010
Bay Netanyahu Washington’a Gitti: Böyle mi Olacaktı, Obama? 16 Temmuz 2010
Stratejik Dehlizlerde Derinlik Sarhoşluğu: Bir AKP Dış Politikası Eleştirisi Temmuz 2010
Rus Casusluk Olayı: "John Le Carre mi, Austin Powers mı?" 5 Temmuz 2010
“Mahalleye Hoş Geldin”:Türkiye’nin Orta Doğu’da İlk Günü 02 Haziran 2010
Nükleer Takas: “Savaşı Bitiren Anlaşma” mı, “Acem Oyunu” mu? 20 Mayıs 2010
ABD Irak’tan Çekilirken Riskler ve Hesaplar 1 Mayıs 2010
ABD-İsrail İlişkilerinde “Normalleşme” Sancıları 22 Nisan 2010
Obama’nın Nükleer Cazibe Taarruzu: Bardağın Üçte Biri Dolu 9 Nisan 2010
ABD-İsrail İlişkilerinde “Tektonik Kayma” mı? 5 Nisan 2010
Irak Seçimleri: Sonun Başlangıcı, Başlangıcın Sonu 19 Mart 2010
Ermeni Karar Tasarısı Üzerine Notlar, Yorumlar ve Öneriler 8 Mart 2010
Ermeni Karar Tasarısı Üzerine Notlar, Yorumlar ve Öneriler 8 Mart 2010 (word)
Bütçe Açığı ve Amerikan Gerilemesinin Ekonomi Politiği 19 Şubat 2010
Cemaat-skeptic 6 Ocak 2010
AKP bir seçim daha kazanırsa burası FC olur 4 Ocak 2010
ABD bu işin neresinde? 29 Aralık 2009
Türkiye-Ermenistan Protokolü Üzerine Düşünceler 3 Eylül 2009
"Obama’nın Savaşı":AfPak Üzerine Notlar 20 Nisan 2009
Obama’nın Ardından 17 Nisan 2009
Obama’nın Türkiye Gezisi ve Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri 19 Mart 2009
ABD ve Orta Doğu Barış Süreci Mart 2009
Obama’nın “Kırkı Çıkarken” Mart 2009

ABD-PKK “İlişkisi” Üzerine Notlar Şubat 2009
Mahşerin Üç Atlısı: Ross, Holbrooke ve Mitchell 5 Şubat 2009
SOFA ABD için Irak’ta “Sonun Başlangıcı” mı? Ocak 2009
Obama Döneminde ABD ve Asya 15 Ocak 2009
Obama’nın Güvenlik Kabinesi Üzerine Notlar 4 Aralık 2008
Yeni ABD Başkanı Obama ve Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri 6 Kasım 2008
ABD Başkanlık Seçimlerinin Türk-Amerikan İlişkilerine Muhtemel Etkileri 30 Ekim 2008
ABD Başkanlık Seçimleri Ekim 2008
Obama’nın Biden’ı Tercihinin Bir Tahlili 26 Ağustos 2008
Amerikan Sağı Üzerine Notlar Ağustos 2008
Gürcistan Krizi, ABD ve Türkiye 11 Ağustos 2008
Obama'nın Dış Gezisi 29 Temmuz 2008
Başkan Bush’un Avrupa Gezisi ve Transatlantik İlişkileri 18 Haziran 2008
ABD Seçimleri (ppt) - 10 Haziran 2008
"Sessiz Tsunami": Global Gıda Krizi (ppt) - 29 Nisan 2008
Amiral Fallon'un İstifası 13 Mart 2008
ABD ve PKK İlişkisi Üzerine Notlar 22 Kasım 2007
“İçeride Liberal, Dışarıda Şahin”: K. Irak’a Harekat Üzerine Notlar 25 Ekimy 2007
K.Irak'a Ekonomik Müeyyideler Üzerine Sorular 25 Ekimy 2007
Irak "Hamle"sinin Muhasebesi Eylül 2007
Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri - Yeni Dönemin Gündemi Eylül 2007
ABD, K. Irak ve Türkiye Üzerine Notlar ve Sorular Haziran 2007
ABD ve Orta Doğu: "Müflis mirasyedi" mi "stratejik deha" mı? Mayıs 2007
Recommendations for Strengthening U.S.-Turkish Relations February 26, 2007
ABD'nin Irak'taki Seçenekleri Ocak 2007
'Topal Ördek'le İki Yıl Daha: 2006 Kongre Seçimleri Aralık 2006
U.S.: Empire, Gulliver or the “First Among Unequals” (ppt) - ASAM 2023 Conference - October 2006
Türk-Amerikan İlişkilerinde “İkinci Bahar” mı, “Sonun Başlangıcı” mı? Stratejik Analiz - Haziran 2006 -
Irak’ta Direnişin ve İşgalin Gölgesinde Demokrasi Deneyi Avrasya Dosyası - İslam ve Demokrasi Özel Sayısı
Gurur ve Önyargı: ABD İran Gerginliği ve Türkiye Stratejik Analiz Nisan 2006 - (pdf)
Arzın Merkezine Seyahat: ABD Ulusal Güvenlik Konseyi - Journey to the Center of the World: U.S. National Security Council Avrasya Dosyası 2005
Dört Tarz-ı Siyaset: Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri ve Başbakan Erdoğan’ın Washington Ziyareti Temmuz 2005
11 Eylül’den Sonra Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri: Eski Dostlar mı Eskimeyen Dostlar mı? Avrasya Dosyası - 2005
“Dört Yıl Daha”: Yeni Bush Yönetimi ve Dünya Aralık 2004
2004’ten 2005’e Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri Aralık 2004
Türkiye, Iraklı Kürtler ve Statükonun Meşruiyeti Nisan 2004 - eksik
Askerî Alanda Devrim: Askerî Bir Senfoni Ocak 2004
Çirkin Amerikalı’ ile ‘Güven Bunalımı’: ‘Süleymaniye Krizi ve Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri Temmuz 2003 - ( pdf )
The Middle East: A Land of Opportunity and Peril for Turkey - May 2003
Türk-Amerikan İlişkileri Üzerine Notlar: Ataerkil Yapıdan Tüccar Mantığına mı? Mayıs 2003
Türkiye, ABD ve Irak Harekâtı: Hayır Diyebilen Türkiye? - Şubat 2003
Değişim, ‘Sense of Proportion’ ve Tarihin Yararları ile Sınırları Üzerine Nisan 2003
ABD Güvenlik Politikalarında Güç Kullanımı ve Caydırıcılık Ağustos 2002
“Yalnız Kovboy” ya da “Eşit Olmayanlar Arasında Birinci”: ABD Dış Politikasında Tektaraflılık-Çoktaraflılık Tartışmaları Mart 2002
İyi, Kötü ve Çirkin: ABD'nin Orta Doğu Politikaları Ocak 2002
Unilateralism corrupts, absolute unilateralism corrupts absolutely Turkish News, May 21, 2002
ABD ve Afganistan: Çıkış Var mı? Kasım 2001
Realism and Change
Crime and Punishment - Deterrence and its Failure in Theory and Practice 2001
“Tüketebileceğimizden Daha Fazla Değişim” ya da Eskimeyen Dünya Düzeni Ekim 2001
“ABD-AB İlişkilerinde Metal Yorgunluğu” Haziran 2001
It never rains circa. 1991.
.



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